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Comment Meme Theory Simplified (Score 1) 186

I posted my first Meme Graph and reference here on Slashdot back in 2006.
What comes next?
We go from measurement to manipulation.

http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry=meme_theory

Diffraction is my term for measuring how well a new meme captures more bandwdith. In a Quality-Of-Service network, bandwidth always has contention and grabbing more bandwidth is difficult. If you understand how to grab bandwidth through meme patterns, you can propagate your information ahead of others.

Comment Flex Versus Silverlight Meme (Score 1) 388

Flex versus Silverlight meme from three months ago, although I first ran this graph one year ago for a client deciding on technology direction...

http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme/?entry=flex_vs_silverlight

Rate-of-growth for Flex and Silverlight is almost the same and Flex maintains a comfortable lead.

Comment Speciation Of The Internet (Score 1) 194

"a government gone feral"

I argue that it's an inevitable outcome of ecological diversification of information and the Internet. It's not just occurring in the United States. The internet is "speciating", evolving differentiation in order to limit infectious memes.

http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry=global_differentiation

Is our government nuts?
Well, yes.
But that's a separate issue.

Networking

Submission + - IPv6 - Finally Ripe Enough To Eat (realmeme.com)

Broward Horne writes: "IPv6, the IETF next-generation protocol for the Internet, has languished in the shadow of IPv4 for over a decade. Every so often a burst of IPv6 enthusiasm would sweep the Net, only to quickly fade away. After awhile, the "Dawn of IPv6" became a joke. According to Wiki, as of Dec, 2008, IPv6 is running less than 1% of Internet traffic. I've tracked the IPv6 meme for several years, waiting for its true emergence and I believe that it finally began last year. I suspect that part of IPv6's breakout is related to the global slowdown and cost of deployment, and possibly to Internet censorship movements which are surfacing in several countries. The odds are good that it's time to invest in IPv6 for your career. http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry=ipv6_revisited"

Comment Meme Theory 101 (Score 4, Interesting) 219

You guys are finally catching up to me.

http://www.realmeme.com/Main/theory101/index.jsp

Here's the mechanism for Naomi Klein's "Shock Doctrine"....

http://www.realmeme.com/Main/theory101/diffraction.jsp

You can determine patient zero entry points, periods of susceptibility, etc, through simple keyword counts and some semantic analysis.

Comment He's Still Dead, Jim! (Score 1) 570

I originally redicted Mono's demise in Dec, 2005 (reconfirmed in Jan, 2006), well before Neil McAllister and received quite a bit of jeering and obnoxious commentary -

http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry=mono_meme_update_mono_still

However, as we all know now, it has indeed been dead for the past 2 1/2 years and it will stay dead. Check out the relative trend strength for Mono versus Silverlight or Ruby.

http://www.indeed.com/jobtrends?q=linux+mono,+silverlight,+ruby&l=

He's still dead, Jim.

Comment Internet Inflection Point (Score 1) 506

There's good evidence that the rate of Internet growth has peaked and is now declining. There were several signs about eighteen months ago when I made this prediction...

http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme/?entry=internet_state_change

Netcraft rate of change in host growth could be a good proxy for overall growth, too...

http://www.realmeme.com/roller/page/realmeme?entry=internet_inflection_point_microsoft

I say the Internet inflected in Winter of 2007 and the after-effects are just now showing up in employment and revenue figures. Marginal companies will have increasing difficulty in making money, which is possibly why the newpapers are finally starting to fail en mass.

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