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Comment Re:Bad Risk Assessment (Score 0) 1025

At its core, the anti-vax movement is bad risk assessment for a few reasons. First of all, the horrors of the diseases that most vaccinations prevent against haven't been seen in a few generations. People my age (30's) with kids have never lived in a world where you could get polio or mumps at any moment and wind up dead, on an iron lung, deaf, scarred for life, etc..

That's right, people of your age never lived in a world where you could get polio or mumps at any moment. People of my age (55) have, so my experience might be a bit better than yours. I've had measles, I've had mumps, I've had chickenpox. So did all my friends. My wife (48) had all those and she had whooping cough, and so did several of her classmates. No big deal. Neither she nor I know anyone who were scarred for life, etc. Maybe we are both statistical anomolies, or maybe it just wasn't as bad as you seem to believe. I'm not suggesting it was perfect; but it just wasn't that way.

Comment Re:There's a shock... (Score 1) 1025

Because of the effectiveness of widespread childhood vaccination, we've had at least a generation of people with minimal firsthand exposure to all the wacky pathogenic fun that used to be quite common.

Indeed. BTW, how old are you. I'm 55, I've had measles, I've had chicken pox, I've had mumps, I've very likely had rubella. My wife is 48. She's had all those, she's had whooping cough. No big deal, and neither of us can remember "all the wacky pathogenic fun". In 1988, when MMR was introduced in the UK (measles vaccine had been around a while but take up was patchy) there were 16 deaths (http://www.hpa.org.uk/web/HPAweb&HPAwebStandard/HPAweb_C/1195733811885): since measles was endemic and virtually all kids would get it, that would be 16 deaths in around 600000. Not nice, but absolutely awful either. So vaccines may be good (broadly, I agree); vaccine *policy* may be good (broadly, I disagree); but most of the things vaccinated against were not the mass killers/mass complications that the pro-vaccine people would have others believe.

Comment Re:Hardly surprising (Score 3, Informative) 131

Except: A woman is born with all the eggs she will ever have (they are not produced over the woman's lifetime). On the other hand sperm are produced more on an as-needed basis. So, there is much more opportunity for problems to arise with eggs (presumably why the chance of having a Down's Syndrome child increases with the mother's age).

Comment Re:Good .... but what's the right analogy (Score 1) 141

Alternatively, suppose I run a company newsletter, which is posted out, and includes customer commends, and someone submits a comment "ThunderBird89 is a dirty paedo, go torch his house with him in it". Could I reasonably claim that I have no responsibility? BTW, this isn't a rhetorical question - the whole area is horribly complicated.

Comment Re:Blizzard distributes patches via Bittorrent (Score 1) 272

Met a Canadian once, he came over on Autumn (Fall) "You guys don't know what winter is", left in Spring "that was the coldest winter I've ever experienced". Because our weather is not as cold, we can manage with crappy houses with crappy insulation and crappy heating .... as he discovered!

Comment Unanswered questions (Score 3, Interesting) 78

Back when H5N1 was doing the rounds, my wife had a long running worse-than-average but not debilitating chest infection which came and went over two or three months; I had something pretty similar; and lots of people we know and work with had much the same. But none of us or them were ever diagnosed as having H5N1, because none of us got bad enough to see a doctor. My wife (a biologist who worked in an immunological research laboratory a while back) thinks that the H5N1 infection rate was really much much higher than it was supposed to be, but the infection was much much less severe than H5N1 was hyped to be in all those cases. If she's right - and it seems pretty plausible to me - then H5N1 was just not the risk it was painted as. Granted it was nastier than the average flu bug, but nothing like governments would have us believe. Does anyone have any thoughts on this?

Comment Gamification is very important (Score 1) 290

The important thing to understand about modern use of gamification, is that the benefit is not to the employees (or students), nor to the company (or school). The benefit is to the management, so they can say "look, we are actively monitoring performance" and "look, we are actively seeking to improve performance". Plus, with a bit of inflation in the system, "look, performance is improving". The wider the disjunction between how the company creates products, and the typical manager's understanding of that process, the more gamification you'll see.

Comment WTF were they smoking? (Score 5, Insightful) 202

OK, the blog is slashdot'd at the moment, but lets see if I have this right. Basically, you take an active record and just copy values from the POST data into it and then save it ... and this is the default behaviour? Do I have that right because, is so .... .... dear god, what were the ruby-on-rails people smoking when they thought that was a clever idea, its puts ROR on a level with PHP and its magic global variables. Note only that, but what were the github people smoking, the same? Using an insane facility is doubly insane. Methinks a lot of people need to go and read some web design stuff and realise that active records (or models - django users take not) are not synonymous with the "Model" (business logic) in MVC.

Comment H5N1 infection rates (Score 2) 273

Aside to the main topic, is there actually any data on how many people were infected with H5N1. Around the time of the last big scare (late 2009 in the UK IIRC) it seemed to me that a lot of people (myself and my wife and a lot of people we knew, and anecdotally in the population at large) got unusually bad colds and chest infections and what-not, that took a long time to shake off. FTA, "The virus, A(H5N1), causes bird flu, which rarely infects people but has an extraordinarily high death rate when it does" .... are there actually useful figures from random sampling amongst the population, or it is based on people being actively diagnosed with the infection and their subsequent death rate? Call me a cynic, but I have the feeling that there is a significant chance that the number of people infected was much larger than commonly supposed, adn the death rate correspondingly much smaller.

Comment Re:Gonna get flamed (Score 1) 668

Sigh. One last try.

IANA M.D., but it seems to me that when people around your are actually DYING from serious illnesses like cholera, scarlet fever, small pox and many, many more, the medical professionals (who were not in any way gathering statistical information in the 1800s) would tend to disregard all instances of allergies as imagined illnesses. Actual life threatening epidemics sweeping the country EVERY YEAR have a way of sharpening the focus of those who deal human suffering. Are allergy rates rising? Sure, why not. I'd like to see your stats but I'm flexible on this. Are allergy rates higher than in the 1800s? Who knows. There aren't any stats.

http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1365-2222.1988.tb02872.x/abstract "It was only in the early 19th century that the disease was carefully described and at that time was regarded as most unusual"

Please don't state your OPINIONS as facts. That's what started this mess in the first place.

I am also old enough to remember chicken pox 'parties' where stupid parents would force their perfectly healthy children to 'go play' with fever-ridden children in horrible itchy agony. I bet you never actually contracted measles or chicken pox from one of those 'parties'

Pre-vaccination, chicken pox and measles are far better as a child than later in life. I don't know whether I got them at a party or elsewhere, but neither chicken pox nor measles were "horrible itchy agony". Maybe they were for some, but don't misrepresent on groups experience for everybodies.

Again, please bring me the stats on the number of people per year who don't 'survive' multiple vaccine injections. I'm curious as to what that would be. Do you think it would be higher or lower than the number of people killed in car accidents each year, or killed by lightning, or killed in trout-fishing accidents, or suffocated by eating too many marshmallows. My lord, lets outlaw Campfire Marshmallows in that case.

No idea, and I have no need of those figures. My question - for what its worth, since you don't seem to be able to read my posts - is what are the negative effects; and I don't mean autism, I mean auto-immune problems in general, such as allergies (which also kill).

Talk about your knee-jerk reactions.

Oh, and by the way, I have this for you about Rubella from Wikipedia: "During the epidemic in the US between 1962–1965, Rubella virus infections during pregnancy were estimated to have caused 30,000 still births and 20,000 children to be born impaired or disabled as a result of CRS (congenital rubella syndrome)." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Rubella Thank you but I for one respect life and want everyone to have a fair chance of being born WITHOUT PREVENTABLE BIRTH DEFECTS. Obviously you feel differently and that's your right.

No, I don't feel differently. Test girls for rubella antibodies pre-puberty and then vaccinate as needed; there is no need for this blanket forced medication.

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