Comment Re:Misleading summary (Score 1) 459
They were correct. There "was probably not going to be" an earthquake within any time frame people would be interested in (i.e.: "During the period of my vacation?" or "During the period in which 60% of our yearly profit is generated?" ). Which way do you phrase it? Most likely first (probably not gonna happen), or least likely (yeah, it could happen this weekend)? Are meteorologsts jailed when they predict thunderstorms without appending "...AND YOU MAY BE STRUCK BY IT AND KILLED IF YOU DO NOT TAKE PROPER PRECAUTIONS WHICH I AM NOT LEGALLY RESPONSIBLE FOR PROVIDING!!!"??
It doesn't matter how it was phrased, or if the non-prediction suited some business interests or government functionaries...it was. still. true. , for any given short term period.
Now, whenever the "Coming up next, your Weekend Geological Activity Forecast!" segment comes up, they HAVE to say "There is indeed a chance of geological activity in the following areas...we'd tell you what the odds are, but you're clearly not interested in the actual numbers, nor what they mean. And if I'm to be held criminally liable for not warning you when there's a chance of earthquake or vulcanic activity, I'M WARNIN' YA NOW!!!"
Geologists need to come up with a euphemism for the activity of trying to figure out when this shit will happen. Something that implies "predicting" but means more ""prediction", but NOT in the sense the panicky, innumerate and litigious public thinks of it.".