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Comment Re:I guess Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking (Score 1) 417

We are already seeing the huge risk in automating data gathering, almost precisely on the points you are mentioning too.

Loans are granted or denied based upon arbitrary criteria that is often full of biases that frequently even the loan officer rarely knows or understands. Try to ask one of these guys why your credit score is at a certain number, and they really can't honestly reply. They won't even be able to tell you how to improve your score other than some broad and vague generalities either... and no promise that if you engage in certain actions that it will have any impact at all. Furthermore, they can't even look at a particular credit score and history to tell you with any certainty that you will be approved... other than if your credit score (something very arbitrary) is very high that it is "very likely" or if it is low it is "very unlikely".

People get put on or removed from a travel "Watch List" with just as much arbitrariness... often because of messaging this kind of BIG DATA that you are talking about too. In that case it is more than just if you are going to get a fancy car, but basic liberties or where you may even be incarcerated simply because some computer algorithm thought your Slashdot post was a little too anti-government or scary based on keywords or something else you said.

There is massive misuse of these tools even now. Some of it has valid reasons for it being developed, but the blind trust of computers is already happening in a number of ways. This isn't a future concern but something right now that needs to be evaluated.... and like you said autonomy is not necessarily the issue at hand.

Comment Re:I guess Elon Musk and Stephen Hawking (Score 2) 417

You clearly either didn't read or didn't understand the article.

Or understood it all too well. Self-aware AI is something that is still centuries or even millennia away, not mere years. Well funded AI research has been around for quite some time and has broken a great many careers from people trying to reach that golden grail with very little to show for it except for parlor tricks. Useful ideas have certainly come from the effort and in some cases have even made a considerable amount of money (AI techniques used on Wall Street are worth billions of dollars today and consume more top engineers and technicians than the rest of the technology industry put together).

I will be dead for a long, long time before real self-aware AI raises its head.

Comment Re: programming (Score 1) 417

AI will hardly be eternal. I dare you to show me a computer system that is currently running that is more than a century old. Perhaps one of Charles Babbage's machines, but those aren't likely to be used for AI either. For that matter, what operating system is going to be functional in a hundred years from now? Most operating systems from Microsoft barely last a decade.

This is a concept of some fictional notion of artificial intelligence that may likely never exist to be considered "eternal". If something like that is ever produced, will will be something made thousands of years from now, if even that. It certainly isn't anything that could possibly be produced in my lifetime or for that matter the lifetime of by great grandchildren.

Comment Re:As far as I'm concerned, Pluto is still a plane (Score 1) 77

The Kepler folks have been calling them planets though, which is my point. As for naming the planets, it has been historically up to the discoverer to propose a name.... but they've discovered so many planets (in admittedly a team effort) that it is sort of pointless to bother trying to give them names at this point. Enough data is being obtained from the Kepler mission that it is possible for you to discover a planet yourself, and the team is even encouraging private individuals to try and do just that too.

Still, re-read the IAU rules, and note that it requires something to be called a planet as something which orbits the Sun, and only the Sun instead of any other star. That is only one part of my criticism as other things like orbit clearing and domination have much more to do with the age of the planetary system, the number of stars in the whole stellar system, and a good many other factors that come into play that think eventually the whole definition as it stands is going to break down without significant revision to acknowledge that things which are planets may or may not even be near stars at all and certainly can be found in varieties far more complex than the IAU rules currently permit without dealing in a pure physical description language of the celestial object to form the definition.

This still wouldn't change the status of Pluto or make most asteroids fit the definition, but it might make considering Europa, Callisto, and the other Gallelean moons as dwarf planets in their own right as well as Triton and a few other things in the Solar System.

Comment Re:Hibernation (Score 1) 77

What goes unappreciated is that the technology being sent into space is usually quite antiquated in comparison to what is currently being used in consumer electronics. Most people think of NASA as having bleeding edge equipment and using computers that is decades ahead of anything other folks are using in the computer industry, when in fact the opposite tends to be the case.

Mind you, there are legitimate reasons for using tried and true systems in spaceflight as opposed to cutting edge systems, especially when those computers (like this New Horizon spacecraft) needs to operate for several decades in extreme environments that are nothing like typically found anywhere on the Earth. Furthermore, simply due to the enormous distances, data bandwidth for transmitting signals is incredibly slow to the point it is closer to dial-up model speeds or even slower. The need for faster CPUs is definitely not something expected or needed.

Comment Re:Hibernation (Score 1) 77

But it is a PlayStation One system (well sort of). The main CPU used in this probe has the same CPU that the original Sony PlayStation uses... admittedly radiation hardened and with a custom operating system intended for spacecraft operations. It is amazing what these planetary scientists can do with such minimalistic computer systems.

That beats the Voyager 2 probe though, which may very well be one of the last operating (as intended) computer systems in the Solar System with core memory.

Comment Re:As far as I'm concerned, Pluto is still a plane (Score 2) 77

I really have problems with the "dominating its environment" rule in the IAU definition of a planet. Much more objective (and non-heliocentric criteria) should be used for defining a planet. Thank goodness the Kepler team has chosen explicitly to ignore the IAU rules when defining what is and is not a planet with their discoveries.

For myself, using a definition of a planet as something which forms a sphere due to gravitational influence and hydrostatic pressure is more than sufficient to define a planet. For that matter, I would even go so far as to suggest a "terrestrial" planet (aka something "Earth-like") as having an atmosphere above 1 millibar on its surface but less than 10% of its mass as the atmosphere would be plenty sufficient. And yes, that would include Titan as a terrestrial planet. I don't even mind that the Earth's Moon should be classified as a dwarf planet either.

And fortunately, it is more like about a thousand names of planets if you include the planets of other star systems that have been legitimately identified with specific orbital parameters and size characteristics. We are indeed living in exciting times and an era of massive discovery, where the definition of a planet should reflect that scope of potential candidates for what is a planet.

Comment Re:Finally! (Score 1) 59

So you base your argument on a set of criteria confined to low earth orbit, as if humans in low earth orbit are exploring.

It would help if you actually read what I wrote:

They use robots with those human in these very difficult situations, and I am suggesting this won't end at the edge of the atmosphere of the Earth either.

That means people can be in the rest of the universe too. The edge of the atmosphere is also known as the Kármán line, which is (usually) the legal definition of space, and I am implying that people don't need to be confined to just living on the Earth. Since you got this so wrong, I need not reply any further.

Comment Re:Finally! (Score 1) 59

What you are demonstrating is a clear belief without objective facts to back up what you are saying. "In the real world" you have robots that work side by side with human technicians performing amazing feats leveraging each other's strengths and abilities. There is a point to doing both crewed and robotic missions, which seems to be the point you are missing.

I am not at all saying robotic missions need to be cancelled, and I am certainly not a luddite. I'm also not delusional to think that mankind is going to be replaced by robots any time soon.

My point is that there is a role for crewed missions into space. There may be some better planning that goes on too with those missions and money might be better spent in some cases on robotic missions too, but it is just flying in the face of logic to say that robots alone can get the job done as well. They are an extension and an amplification of the human mind... in all cases. That means they need to have the people in the loop at some point, as they are creations of mankind.

Robots working in a coal mine do occasionally need human technicians to pull things apart and rework the equipment. Deep sea drilling even has divers that go underwater for weeks at a time for critical repairs... doing things that are enormously expensive and even approaching costs for sending astronauts into space. They use robots with those human in these very difficult situations, and I am suggesting this won't end at the edge of the atmosphere of the Earth either.

None of this even touches the need for humanity to spread beyond the Earth as a species and become multi-planetary in terms of its long-term survival. Perhaps you are one of those who thinks that humanity is something which should go extinct and hopes a mass genocidal attack or either natural or man-made origin happens to wipe us all out. But in this case I'm not even arguing that line of reasoning but merely pointing out that as the influence of humanity expands through the use of robots, there is going to be a need to send people in some capacity to work with those robots at a much closer range than something measured in astronomical units. So far other than massive insults to me personally you have failed to offer any conclusive reasons for why I am wrong.

Comment Re:Federal Funding is not contingent on speed limi (Score 2) 525

Interstate Highways are much older than even the European Union although they were designed after concepts introduced in Germany with the Autobahn. I should point out that the E-roads that you are talking about were originally conceived as emulating the Interstate Highway system (at least that is what the wiki claims) and was something instituted in the 1970's.... about when construction of the Interstate Highway system was wrapping up.

It should also be pointed out that the E-90 road that you are talking about also happens to cross over a major part of the Mediterranean Sea (I presume that is by ferry) on its route.

If you want at least one source of information on the difference between the Autobahn vs. Interstate Highways, at least read this article:

http://gizmodo.com/5857416/why-american-roads-are-so-bad

I would hope that Europe didn't follow everything that happened on the Interstate Highway System, as there were definitely some corners that were cut on the 40,000 mile system as it was being built. U.S. highways definitely don't follow Autobahn standards, even though at this point I feel that any repaving/rebuilding of interstate highways likely should be following those standards when practical.

Comment Re:Federal Funding is not contingent on speed limi (Score 3, Interesting) 525

The Autobahns are also built to higher standards in terms of thicker roadbeds, better maintenance, and more gradual curves that are designed to be used at higher speeds. Admittedly you can restrict speed limits for just parts of a highway where curves are more common and raise limits on straight stretches of the road, but the smaller roadbed is a major concern and something that needs to be considered.

The reason for the lower standards on the American Interstate Highways is in part due to the huge scale of the whole project being a continent spanning system as opposed to something that simply runs through a much smaller country. Distances are huge in America and the higher standards used for the Autobahn would have been prohibitive in terms of how much it cost to build those highways... especially in rural America.

Interstate Highways are not the Autobahn, even though there are some superficial common features. If Interstate Highways had their construction standards raised and roadbeds rebuilt to those higher standards to accommodate these higher speeds, I would be more inclined to support some higher speeds.

Comment Re:Finally! (Score 1) 59

What were those arguments in detail? Do the arguments generalise beyond Mars (noting that Mars is the most boring place in the solar system)? I'm disinclined to bow because the pope of outer space made a pronouncement.

The argument is pretty simple: When you have researchers on the Earth running a robotic probe, you have at least a half hour or longer reaction time trying to respond to anything that happens on Mars. It gets worse the further out in the Solar System you travel... simply due to the speed of light. Keep in mind that these robotic probes are moving very slow. There are some systems designed to permit the rovers in particular to respond to things sort of like what Google is using for the driverless cars, but there still needs to be some substantial decisions made about what it will be doing.

I'm merely invoking the MSL researchers because if anybody has a reason to be "robots first!", it would be them. They are obviously folks who are getting paychecks from the robotic missions being run by NASA and have the most to gain by dissing the crewed missions of NASA (like Carl Sagan did). If they instead are pointing out the need for crewed missions, it would seem like a contrary opinion that needs some extra attention.

If you think we don't need to send people to Mars or Europa, my argument is that we don't even need to bother with space exploration in general either. Stop sending the robots too because it is a waste of time.... for the very same logic that it means we shouldn't send people either. The whole enterprise is either necessary to send both or it is important to send neither. There is no reason to make a preference for one or the other and judge that only robotic exploration is necessary.

Comment Re:Faith in future (Score 1) 59

Why bother talking about private sector flights? In 1961 Alan Shepard performed the first sub-orbital crewed flight in America.... something really no more exotic than a Virgin Galactic flight. Less than a decade later he was walking on the Moon.

In that same period of time NASA is going to boldly leap from a test flight of this capsule to sending a crew to an asteroid.... and still won't have the capability of sending somebody to the Moon even if they had to do so. That is the point I'm making, and how NASA has totally screwed up in a big way. Something is seriously screwed up and is hardly inspiring anybody any more.

If some billionaires can get to the Moon before NASA can return, my hat is off to them. It should be embarrassing that the last person to walk on the Moon is still Gene Cernan. He didn't even expect to be the last one in the 20th Century.

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