I doubt that.
Something like 70+ percent of iPhone4s sold were to existing users.
The iPhone market is pretty close to dried up.
Everyone that wanted one has gotten one by now.
Then you have the people that would jump ship off of AT&Ts crappy network to Verizon.
Those would likely be a lot of existing users.
Apple won't be gaining many new users but shuffling its existing users.
In the US the one carrier option probably did not hurt them very much, everyone that I know with one is actually thinking about jumping ship even if
it comes to Verizon citing the fact that it's 'boring' to them now.
iGadgets are driven by cliques and the desire for an image, and that audience is starting to fade away.
I don't see the kids at the bus stop with white earbuds anymore holding iPods - I am seeing kids with Droids, Zunes and Sansas.
There still are some with iPods but not as many as I used to see.
It's appeal is starting to fade away because in the end people like choice.
The only thing iWidgets have going for them is that on day 400 they behave like they did on day 1... unless Apple manages to botch updates
Hell, even the women I work with jumped off iPhones to Droids - that to me was a sign that things are shifting.
Eventually, Android will be dropped for the next best thing... and I hope that all of this competition leads to greater things down the line
because consumers will all benefit.