Comment Re:Forward Looking Policy? (Score 1) 473
Thorium fission.
Awesome potential. No research to speak of (compared to the 'other' nuclear fission).
That one will need a lot-lot-lot of research to become economically viable. Yes, we all know the articles that pop up from time to time and the fact that it was researched in the past and all 'forgotten' because it couldn't make Pu. And that everywhere around the world there are small cells of underfunded, understaffed, under-appreciated researchers still working on it.
Personally I'd very much like the tech being available and ready for use. But it isn't. And as long as there is no corporate America or scientific Europe or 'communist' China willing to sink some major time+money in it, it won't happen. India seems to work on something in that direction but even then, how many decades do you think it'll take before that is going somewhere and is your country willing to import an Indian reactor model? And when it does... there will be certification which will take more time+money. And when we have that certification for a particular set-up, we'll need to convince all those NIMBYs it really isn't all that bad.
When the first Thorium reactor opens at last we probably have ITER already breaking the net-energy barrier and all of us who are having this discussion here, retired and chasing kids off our lawns. That is
There is much more research going on in improving efficiency of solar and wind and even in nuclear fusion than there is on Thorium. The way I see it currently, the world will have efficient renewables covering most of the energy production (certainly for domestic use) first, then a break-through in fusion and the first solely-built-for-commerce fusion plant one decade later. The second generation fusion plants in another decade will make energy so abundant we no longer want to pump oil but rather generate the fuel from thin air... And then somewhere in half a century a dusty old tech museum, only we granpas tend go to, opens an exhibition about the energy source that never happened. The exhibition is called 'The Thorium Cycle'. The youths we just chased off our lawns just won't care... or if they have an interest in antiquated tech will take the full immersion virtual tour from their couch.