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Comment Re:Uhmmmm (Score 5, Funny) 178

This reminds me of an old joke about a retired Admiral who is responsible for sounding the morning cannon at the naval base, walking past a watchmaker's shop every morning and setting his pocketwatch to the correct time from a reliable old grandfather clock in the store window.

One day, on the walk in, he happens to see the watchmaker cleaning the store windows and mentions how he finds it amazing that the old grandfather clock keeps such flawless time.

"Oh, that old thing?" says the watchmaker. "It drifts horribly, and I have to reset it almost daily."

The Admiral then asks, "Since I've always noticed that it's reliable, from where do you get the time to set it?"

The watchmaker replied, "I use the report from the morning cannon at the naval base. It's always right on time."

Comment Re:Ridiculous Comparison (Score 4, Interesting) 247

Actually, for mobile devices, the most important metric is performance per unit of power instead of just performance per unit time. After a certain speed/throughput has been reached, nobody cares how fast the CPU is, only how long the battery lasts.

For scientific purposes, back when Cray was building systems, you got charged by the second you had access to the computer. So you carefully composed the solution to your problem to make darned sure every whizz-bang aspect of the computer was doing something useful all the time. Today, you just want to play a game for a while, then make a voice call, and don't want the battery to fizzle out before you get home (and maybe have some juice left for watching a show during your train ride home.)

Mobile devices don't try to match the throughput of all parts of the system, because it's not in anybody's interest to keep the I/O subsystem saturated close to capacity 100% of the time you're using your Droid/iPhone... in fact, they turn them off (go into a low power state) and do aggressive power management that is coordinated system-wide.

Comment Re:SATA port multipliers (Score 2, Interesting) 609

I'm in the process of building a 5-bay SATA port-multiplier solution right now. What I've learned thus far is:
  * Most commodity motherboard chipsets don't support port multipliers. You'll need an expansion card.
  * If you have this much data, look into ZFS and RAIDZ2 for reliability. Avoid RAID5.
  * The bigger the disk, the longer it takes to rebuild a degraded array
  * FreeNAS is at an inflection point. If you're not scared, use PCBSD directly instead to serve your data.
  * You don't need "enterprise-class" storage speeds to serve up movies and media. Slow, green drives are fine.
  * Don't buy all of your drives from the same lot, all at once.
Cheers, and have fun in the process.

Comment Other types of bias and logical fallacy (Score 1) 629

Bandwagon effect: n. The tendency to do (or believe) things because many other people do (or believe) the same. Related to Groupthink.

Bias blind spot: n. The tendency not to compensate for one's own cognitive biases.

Choice-supportive bias: n. The tendency to remember one's choices as better than they actually were.

Confirmation bias: n. The tendency to search for or interpret information in a way that confirms one's preconceptions.

Congruence bias: n. The tendency to test hypotheses exclusively through direct testing.

Contrast effect: n. The enhancement or diminishment of a weight or other measurement when compared with recently observed contrasting object.

Disconfirmation bias: n. The tendency for people to extend critical scrutiny to information which contradicts their prior beliefs and accept uncritically information that is congruent with their prior beliefs.

Endowment effect: n. The tendency for people to value something more as soon as they own it.

Focusing effect: n. Prediction bias occurring when people place too much importance on one aspect of an event; causes error in accurately predicting the utility of a future outcome.

Hyperbolic discounting: n. The tendency for people to have a stronger preference for more immediate payoffs relative to later payoffs, the closer to the present both payoffs are.

Illusion of control: n. The tendency for human beings to believe they can control or at least influence outcomes which they clearly cannot.

Impact bias: n. The tendency for people to overestimate the length or the intensity of the impact of future feeling states.

Information bias: n. The tendency to seek information even when it cannot affect action.

Loss aversion: n. The tendency for people to strongly prefer avoiding losses over acquiring gains.

Neglect of Probability: n. The tendency to completely disregard probability when making a decision under uncertainty.

Mere exposure effect: n. The tendency for people to express undue liking for things merely because they are familiar with them.

Color psychology: n. The tendency for cultural symbolism of certain colors to affect affective reasoning.

Omission Bias: n. The tendency to judge harmful actions as worse, or less moral than equally harmful omissions (inactions).

Outcome Bias: n. The tendency to judge a decision by its eventual outcome instead of based on the quality of the decision at the time it was made.

Planning fallacy: n. The tendency to underestimate task-completion times.

Post-purchase rationalization: n. The tendency to persuade oneself through rational argument that a purchase was good value.

Pseudocertainty effect: n. The tendency to make risk-averse choices if the expected outcome is positive, but risk-seeking choices to avoid negative outcomes.

Rosy retrospection: n. The tendency to rate past events more positively than they had actually rated them when the event occurred.

Selective perception: n. The tendency for expectations to affect perception.

Status quo bias: n. The tendency for people to like things to stay relatively the same.

Von Restorff effect: n. The tendency for an item that "stands out like a sore thumb" to be more likely to be remembered than other items.

Zeigarnik effect: n. The tendency for people to remember uncompleted or interrupted tasks better than completed ones.

Zero-risk bias: n. Preference for reducing a small risk to zero over a greater reduction in a larger risk.

Ambiguity effect: n. The avoidance of options for which missing information makes the probability seem "unknown".

Anchoring: n. The tendency to rely too heavily, or "anchor," on one trait or piece of information when making decisions.

Anthropic bias: n. The tendency for one's evidence to be biased by observation selection effects.

Attentional bias: n. Neglect of relevant data when making judgments of a correlation or association.

Availability error: n. The distortion of one's perceptions of reality, due to the tendency to remember one alternative outcome of a situation much more easily than another.

Belief bias: n. The tendency to base assessments on personal beliefs.

Belief Overkill: n. The tendency to bring beliefs and values together so that they all point to the same conclusion.

Clustering illusion: n. The tendency to see patterns where actually none exist.

Conjunction fallacy: n. The tendency to assume that specific conditions are more probable than general ones.

Gambler's fallacy: n. The tendency to assume that individual random events are influenced by previous random events: "the coin has a memory".

Hindsight bias: n. Sometimes called the "I-knew-it-all-along" effect, the inclination to see past events as being predictable.

Illusory correlation: n. Beliefs that inaccurately suppose a relationship between a certain type of action and an effect.

Myside bias: n. The tendency for people to fail to look for or to ignore evidence against what they already favor.

Neglect of prior base rates effect: n. The tendency to fail to incorporate prior known probabilities which are pertinent to the decision at hand.

Observer-expectancy effect: n. When a researcher expects a given result and therefore unconsciously manipulates an experiment or misinterprets data in order to find it.

Overconfidence effect: n. The tendency to overestimate one's own abilities.

Polarization effect: n. Increase in strength of belief on both sides of an issue after presentation of neutral or mixed evidence, resulting from biased assimilation of the evidence.

Positive outcome bias (prediction): n. A tendency in prediction to overestimate the probability of good things happening to them.

Recency effect: n. The tendency to weigh recent events more than earlier events.

Primacy effect: n. The tendency to weigh initial events more than subsequent events.

Subadditivity effect: n. The tendency to judge probability of the whole to be less than the probabilities of the parts.

Barnum effect: n. The tendency to attribute high accuracy to descriptions of their personality that supposedly are tailored specifically for them, but are in fact vague and general enough to apply to a wide range of people.

Egocentric bias: n. Occurs when people claim more responsibility for themselves for the results of a joint action than an outside observer would.

False consensus effect: n. The tendency for people to overestimate the degree to which others agree with them.

Fundamental attribution error: n. The tendency to favor personality-based explanations for behavior in others while understating the importance of situational influences on the same behavior.

Halo effect: n. The tendency for a person's positive or negative traits to "spill over" from one area of their personality to another in others' perceptions of them.

Illusion of asymmetic insight: n. People perceive their knowledge of their peers to surpass their peers' knowledge of them.

Ingroup bias: n. Preferential treatment people give to whom they perceive to be members of their own groups.

Just-world phenomenon: n. The tendency for people to believe the world is "just" and so therefore people "get what they deserve."

Lake Wobegon effect: n. The human tendency to report flattering beliefs about oneself and believe that one is above average.

Notational bias: n. A form of cultural bias in which a notation induces the appearance of a nonexistent natural law.

Outgroup homogeneity bias: n. Individuals see members of their own group as being relatively more varied than members of other groups.

Projection bias: n. The tendency to unconsciously assume that others share the same or similar thoughts, beliefs, values, or positions.

Self-serving bias: n. The tendency to claim more responsibility for successes than failures. It may also manifest itself as a tendency for people to evaluate ambiguous information in a way beneficial to their interests.

Trait ascription bias: n. The tendency for people to view themselves as relatively variable in terms of personality, behavior and mood while viewing others as much more predictable.

Self-fulfilling prophecy: n. The tendency to engage in behaviors that elicit results which will (consciously or subconsciously) confirm our beliefs.

Comment Re:Successful poll (Score 1) 465

The options are not worthless, but aren't realistically scaled for a decent distribution of responses.

Essentially, the question asks how many of yourself you'd need to lay down, end-to-end, in order to get from where you are to where you were born.

The possible answers should be logarithmically scaled according to a distribution between 1 and 10,000,000 which, pulling numbers out of my backside, is roughly half the distance around the world in units of a 6-foot-tall person.

The logarithmic scale should group those who were born at home and work/live in their parents' basements, those who live in the same small town, county, state, country, continent, or hemisphere.

Communications

Comcast Shoots For New Image, Rebranding As Xfinity 356

artemis writes "Comcast is making efforts to repair and restore its 'former glory' by the act of transformation, rebranding itself as Xfinity. Hopefully step 2 is an actual change in quality and customer service. 'Comcast will use the Xfinity rebranding to talk up its improved customer service as well as its technical upgrades. “There’s a lot to be proud of,’’ said Steve Hackley, Comcast’s senior vice president for the Greater Boston region. “We want to take credit for it.’’ W2 Group’s Weber said such a rebranding is “a bit old-fashioned’’ and a new name is unlikely to impress consumers. “I think the public is smarter than that now,’’ he said.'"
Media

Sony Announces First 3D Blu-ray Disc Players 145

angry tapir writes "Sony has announced a new 3D Blu-ray Disc player and upgrades to existing players so that they will be able to show high-definition 3D movies too. The company introduced the BDP-S470 Blu-ray Disc model and upgraded existing home theater systems, which will be able to play Blu-ray movies when related firmware for the devices is released later this year. Movies based on the Blu-ray 3D specification, which was finalized by the Blu-ray Association in December, can be shown on the players."

Comment Re:can somebody explain to me... (Score 1) 345

Do you really think that intel/apple/microsoft/sony/moster want a technology ecosystem in which everything works cheaply, robustly, and for a long time without replacement? Planned obsolescence has been a feature of the durable goods industries for a long time, otherwise there'd be no reason for you to spend any more money, ever.

Once the velocity of money slows, your economy tanks.

Sure, you could do this all over one fiber connection, but once you did, it would JUST WORK!

Comment Just for posterity (Score 1) 578

(I'm only posting this because I want it archived with this article.)

This reminds me of the paper "The Camel Has Two Humps," which details the author's theory that some people just aren't cut out for computer programming because they lack the ability to conceptualize in a machine-friendly manner.

This is a problem that is not best served by "dumbing down" computers to be useable by people who have no business programming them, in the same manner as television shows should not be dumbed down to be readily accessible to the visually-impaired.

Why is so little effort being spent making it easy for me to repair my own car with soft, clean, lego-like tools?

If you want to be a plumber, you have to be willing to occasionally shove your arm into a pile of s#it to solve a problem.
If you want to program computers, you have to be willing to occasionally shove your brain into a pile of mathematics to solve a problem.

I'll believe computer programming is "ready for the masses" when plumbing is "ready for the masses".

It's all about the tubes, people.

Science

Why a High IQ Doesn't Mean You're Smart 808

D1gital_Prob3 writes "How can a 'smart' person act foolishly? Keith Stanovich, professor of human development and applied psychology at the University of Toronto, Canada, has grappled with this apparent incongruity for 15 years. He says it applies to more people than you might think. To Stanovich, however, there is nothing incongruous about it. IQ tests are very good at measuring certain mental faculties, he says, including logic, abstract reasoning, learning ability and working-memory capacity — how much information you can hold in mind."

Comment It depends on what you're used to hearing (Score 4, Insightful) 567

Today's low-bitrate MP3/AAC will be tomorrow's vinyl.

I firmly believe that you prefer what you're accustomed to hearing in the first place. Most kids today have grown up hearing nothing better than highly-compressed FM or low-bitrate MP3 music. They don't know anything better, and given the option of hearing better music, perhaps even uncompressed, with a much larger dynamic range and noise floor, they'll gravitate to what their ears and brain have been trained to appreciate.

Tomorrow's world will have "128Kbps MP3 Afficionado" publications extolling the virtues, "warmth", and "naturalness" of the low-bitrate MP3. And audiophiles will pay top-dollar for crippled hardware and overcompressed, undersampled music tracks.

Earth

Google Wants to Map Indoors, Too 174

An anonymous reader writes "Google maps are getting extended indoors next month with a new app called Micello that takes over where conventional navigators leave off — mapping your route inside of buildings, malls, convention centers and other points of interest. You don't get a 'you are here' blinking dot yet — but they do promise to add one next year using WiFi triangulation. At the introduction next month, Micello will only work in California, but they plan to expand to other major US cities during 2010."

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I think there's a world market for about five computers. -- attr. Thomas J. Watson (Chairman of the Board, IBM), 1943

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