Actually my hypothesis is that you're pretty dim. Reality matches.
It must be humiliating for you to get your predictions wrong when someone else, whom you call dim, gets their predictions correct. If your intelligence was as high as you appear to believe it is, you wouldn't have been so completely blind-sided by an electorate.
Reality: Fairly progressive website (/.) scored my comment +5 insightful.
So, you agree with every +5 post out there! This should be interesting.
I notice you still haven't provided any evidence for your original claim beyond a few upmods.
Which claim? That your predictions were wrong? That governments (literally) telling media that if the media doesn't censor, then the government will censor for them? FTFS:
"If Facebook, YouTube, Twitter and Microsoft want to convince me and the ministers that the non-legislative approach can work, they will have to act quickly and make a strong effort in the coming months