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Comment Re:Holy flamebait batman! (Score 3, Insightful) 886

The problem is UBI is money not goods and services.

Unless UBI is essentially the government saying "X% of all production is to be distributed equally to all the population" then it's pointless - so essentially, UBI must be fractional (and a significant fraction at that) nationalization of all productive resources.

If it's not implemented that way, then the inevitable result of UBI is simply inflation.

Comment Re:So the bureaucrats have solved all the problems (Score 2, Informative) 296

For personal transportation the issue is and always will be recharging. Until we get 400kW chargers, it's kind of a step back in personal transportation. That is, basically until we get full-range (300mile / 500km) recharge times down to 15 minutes or less... boo.

Either that, or we lose the idea of personal ownership of transportation capital - which is what all the people talking about "but just Uber (or equivalent) the self-driving car when you need one, or take public transportation" are really espousing even if they don't know it.

As for trucking - that's a different issue, because the constraints are very different. You've got much larger vehicles so mass tolerances for batteries are different, duty cycles are different, and capital ownership is different.

Comment Re:For very specific hard to reach areas (Score 2) 44

There's a reason I likened drone pollution to light pollution - around population centers, there's now going to be this cloud of moderate density drone traffic. Doesn't affect "remote rural areas" where population density is low, you won't notice it in highly urban areas because they are already light and noise polluted beyond notice.

It's the type of thing that you probably won't notice unless you want to enjoy the scenery in some particular way that isn't really accounted for by the commercial drone users - just like light pollution makes it just a bit hard to stargaze.

Comment Re:these new companies trying to get around old la (Score 1) 261

You do know that dealers don't make money on new car sales, right? They make it on used car sales and service. Ever price out basic maintenance at a dealer? Or major maintenance?

Fact of the matter is, Tesla could have chosen to go through dealers, and they didn't - I wouldn't say this was wholly altruistic, either. In some ways direct sales are good, in others they aren't.

Comment Re:Will automated cars lift or stiffle the poor (Score 2) 239

All those previous things you mentioned were technologies that greatly increased productivity - that is, they produced greatly more output with less input, so they had a significant effect of reducing cost of pretty much everything. This meant the temporary effects of job transitions were not as harsh, because there was an environment of increased standard of living.

We aren't in a world like that any more - technology is not passing the results of increased productivity on to higher standards of living at the same rate to the people whose jobs got displaced* so the transient effect of disruptive technology is going to be more severe.

*This is important - yes, people in "third world" countries are having their standards of living increased rapidly, but this is now at the expense of standard of living of people in the highly-developed nations. We just got out of a strange century or so where people were gaining standard of living without reducing others' standards of living.

The potential for productivity increases for automated personal transport is low - we are so far along the curve of diminishing returns that it is costing society significant amounts for small gains in this industry, and when it comes to automotive safety, we are actually now probably spending more as a society (at least in the US) to eliminate one accident than that accident itself - even a fatal one - would cost society in terms of productivity.

Comment Re:bad inductor selection (Score 1) 196

I don't care what causes it, but it drives me nuts. I've had this on a Dell laptop (circa 2012) and on my current (2014) Macbook Pro. It's kind of terrible that this is now spreading to phones.

I'm more and more convinced that society hit a local peak in technology quality in about the 2000-2010 decade. I hope the next stage of improvement comes soon; even purely mechanical things are going downhill at the moment (the front panel of my 2-year-old dishwasher is detaching from the door frame; makes we want to go ask the person who designed and/or approved it would find that acceptable on their appliances).

Comment Re:It's the Incentives, Stupid (Score 1) 537

It's not even as simple as just issues due to externalities - markets can fail all the time when there is incorrect or unequal information across all participants in the market. A market can also "fail" if the interested parties in the market are aiming for some effect other than what is perceived as a "success".

Put another way: markets are not magic and are inherently subject to "garbage in, garbage out."

Comment Re:Thelema (Score 1) 539

True leaders create more leaders, not more followers.

I would probably amend that to be "One aspect of a good leader is to teach people to know when best to lead and when best to follow." After all, it's simply not possible for everyone to be a leader simultaneously in a universe with limited physical resources. And you can't by definition be a leader if nobody is following you...

Comment Re:Look at it from Google's POV (Score 1) 49

So what you're saying is, that Google's own employees - not one among the vast number of them - cannot find this type of exploit, or aren't allocated to this type of exploit finding, so basically Google has opted to contract that work out in the form of a "bounty program"?

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