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Comment Re:That's a lot of supersmart robots! (Score 1) 208

Read on up on quckly automobiles caught on and consider that many robots being sold today are fairly cheap.

Besides, an individual robot doesn't need to be better than every human at every task.

The 3,000 noodle chef's laid off in china by noodle robots are still out of work. And customers prefer the noodles created by the noodle robots (which.. keep in mind... cost less than the salary of a noodle chef in CHINA).

Comment And it still won't be considered A.I. (Score 1) 208

The bar will keep being moved. Even when computer programs are 'smarter' than 99% of humans, they won't be considered "real A.I." by many people. Some for religious reasons. Some for property reasons.

It may be not one versitile A.I. that can do everything better than humans- but hundreds of "idiot savant" who each excel human beings in a particular area.

Comment Re:My job... (Score 1) 361

Because american workers don't have unlimited rights to immigrate to india.
Because the cost of living here is much higher. A person will starve to death on the same salary that would be excellent in india.

Now, IF capitalism were allowed to work and we could buy products from india at the prices indian consumers pay- that would help a lot. But we have artificial laws preventing that.

Flatly ILLEGAL web sites offer the same drugs for sale from india at under 1/4th the cost the same drugs are sold in the U.S.

Microsoft charges U.S. citizens over $1,000 for the same products they give away free to indians.

It's a short term problem. It's going to resolve itself and indians are going to experience tremendous inflation while u.s. workers stagnate until automation wipes them both out.

And then it will be very stark. Some people will have money and the majority of everyone else in the world will have no way to trade their labor for money ,food, lodging. And at that point, the mass market collapses.

Comment Re:Not insignificant (Score 2) 271

When the program was started, the minimum salary was set at $60,000. Adjusted for inflation, it would be $110,000 today.

Not many bachelor's degree programmers with less than 7 year experience make $110,000.

Any fixed value we set it too would quickly become cheap again due to inflation.

So we need to set it at a quintile. If we said that H1B's had to be paid a minimum of top 10% income, then companies would only import workers they really needed (as was intended).

However, the cow is out of the barn. If wages go up in the U.S., many companies will simply offshore the work. Try to ban it, and they'll set up "separate" companies under the corporate umbrella offshore which do the work.

 

Comment Re:Another breakthrough! News at 11! (Score 1) 218

The number of charge cycles and the capacity of batteries has been improving by 5-8 percent per year for a while.
That's slow enough that you don't notice it but 2016 batteries last 2 to 3 times as many charge cycles as 2008 batteries lasted.

For example:
300 cycles MacBook (Mid 2007)

500 cycles MacBook (13-inch Aluminum, Late 2008)

1000 cycles MacBook Pro (15-inch, Late 2016)

Capacities of the batteries have also increased similarly (if not even more). Some laptops ran off of batteries with the capacity in milliamp hours that we now run our smartphones with.

And the cost of the batteries has dropped by over 75% during the same time period.

Comment Re:What could possibly go wrong? Pick a number! (Score 1) 110

Just FYI, the officer may need to be in a position where they can see the light turn red so they can testify the person definitely ran the red light. The person running the red may literally honestly believe it was green by the time trial arrives or there could be some mechanical fluke or these days even hackers messing with the light.

I was on a jury for a red light case and the map showed us the officer set up to where he could see the light and the people running the light.

I have seen some horrific red light accidents. I'm extra wary at feeder road intersections because I've seen so many people run red lights seconds after the light changed at speeds well over 50 mph. In the closest accident the people ahead of me started to cross the intersection and a pickup truck coming from the left took out 3 cars including a suburban hard enough to push it sideways and break the light poll on the corner.

And the driver of the pickup truck wasn't killed either.

Comment Re:See, this application actually makes some sense (Score 1) 113

I also read (unconfirmed) that the tesla vehicle accelerated in the last few seconds. It couldn't see the truck and thought it had open road. That might speak to the optics systems.

Really tho, anything you say could be said in abundance with any younger driver, or any distracted driver (tired driver, driver arguing with passengers, driver glancing at cell phone after it beeped, eating driver who just dropped something in their lap): "you don't know what their capabilities are or how they might react or what dangers they potentially pose".

The thing is, once a tesla makes a mistake and they figure out why, after the next update, no other tesla will make that mistake again.

Automated cars will only get better (and fairly quickly) until their accident rate is vanishingly small compared to human drivers.

I had a friend who was nearly killed (months of therapy) after a driver behind her dropped their cell phone on the floor and bent over to pick it up and so plowed into her from behind so hard that the rear passenger seats were sandwiched into the driver seats (anyone in the rear would have been killed).

Humans mistake rate is known and will continue. Autonomous drivers is unknown and will get better.

At some point, insurance for autonomous cars will be substantially cheaper than for human drivers.

Comment Re:See, this application actually makes some sense (Score 2) 113

From what I recall the truck driver was ticketed for making an illegal left turn.

A human driver could have also failed to react in time if they were distracted for just a few seconds by an incoming text, changing the radio etc.

I'll be the first to agree that automated vehicles are not perfect yet but there are already indications that they are safer than many classes of human drivers. And by safer, I mean they have a lower accident rate and a lower fatality rate per 100,000 miles.

Automated vehicles are not yet equal to well rested humans whose cell phone is turned off who have 5+ years of experience driving and who have no mental challenges.

Comment Re:Worked with digital TV (Score 1) 194

Which we have no more clue about how they will really work or decommission in 50 years. It's all roses and lilacs up front.

Then 30 years later, suddenly the public has to pony up 500 million dollars when the original projected cost was $6 million ($39 million adjusted for inflation) because the utility company and executives took all the money for 3 decades and then skipped on the cost.
.
I'm all for building some small reactors (5,000 houses) which are impossible to fuck up and then letting them run for a couple decades and optimizing them as long as they are backed up by a breeder reactor in a crazy secure place like on a major military base.

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