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Comment Re:He had me until... (Score 1) 728

I would have a lot more respect for the "Its all saudi arabia" appart from the fact that it is rich individuals in SA who are providing the cash. By your reasoning the UK should have attacked the US a long time ago (well appart from we would have lost :D ). http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/americas/1563119.stm Rich Americans have been funding terrorism by the IRA for years. I am sure it still goes on, but as the article above says the climate changed after 9/11 and the Rich americans realised that funding terrorism was probably not a good idea, so it must be reduced now.

Now back to the point, of what should have been done to shut down Al Qaeda. Before the invasion they had pretty much free reign in Afghanistan, the government was happy for them to be there and they could run pretty openly. Shutting that down was necessary and a good thing. The problem was then that the focus was turned to the neocons wet dream of taking over Iraq, with the attempt to link Iraq to Al Qaeda and the whole WMD fiction. http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/2859431.stm ("Iraq probably has no weapons of mass destruction in the commonly understood sense of the term"). This meant that the reconstruction of Afghanistan was starved of resources, it also gave North Korea a couple of years of low international attention an pressure, which mean that as long as they kept their heads down they could carry on wiht their nuclear program, resulting in a functional bomb. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_Korea_and_weapons_of_mass_destruction

I am really not sure what you are proposing the US does about Saudi Arabia, another invasion? The hey lets bomb mecca option, that will stop them! option (how well did the lets bomb the wtc, that will stop them! option work? ). The fact remains the Al-Sauds (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/House_of_Saud) are the US best friends in Saudi Arabia. I am sure they are clamping down. It is rather hard to stop wealthy individuals (and there are rather a lot of those in SA) giving cash to "islamic charities" with terrorist connections. I really don't know what you think you can acheive appart from another HUGE mess in SA. So 1/ Afghanistan was a sensible target, it was a large military base and staging ground for Al Qaeda. 2/ Iraq was for sure a distraction 3/ I have have no idea what you want to try to do in Saudi Arabia, but you would most likely make the situation worse, the government there is about as pro america as anyone in the region, and a lot more pro america than the public opinion in the country is. So any change of government is likely to result in more problems for hte US not less.

Comment Re:It sure is undeniable. (Score 1) 1657

Using your logic by the time we find out CO2 is NOT the cause we will have destroyed the world economy and have the devastation to humanity already also.

Another lie.

A lot of reputable economists have put the cost at about 1% of global GDP. Fine lets say they are wrong and it is TWICE that, it is still peanuts.

Comment Re:More Info & Dashboard (Score 1) 1657

"We have no means, other than computer simulation, of teasing out whether the human contribution to CO2 emissions is tipping the system into instability, or simply being damped out and absorbed into the whole process"

Exactly what is your problem with computer simulation? The climate is unfortunately incredibly complicated system. There are very very compliated feedbacks in it. The most important measure (the sea surface temperature) is not as well recorded as the land temperature. Yet there is more energy in the top 1m of the sea than in the whole atmosphere. The strongest greenhouse gas is WATER VAPOR. Which is totally out of control of anyone. You leave that out you get completely the wrong answer. Exactly how to you propose to model this stuff without computers? Airplanes, race cars and nuclear bombs are modelled pretty well with computers. The climate models are not perfect by any streach, but you can see by how good the 5 day weather forcast is that they do have a decent knowledge of the atmosphere now.

Science is about doing the best you can do with the tools you have. There is enormous variation in the estimates of warming from 1 degree (which will not make much difference) to 6 degrees which will radically change all life on earth.

"I'm not denying climate change, far from it, I am saying that there are aspects of it that smell of bad science, and the demonisation of skepticism is a very dangerous precedent"

Well the problem of course is it not sceptecism we are seeing it is denialism. Picking holes in small bits of the science, attacking the integrety of the scientists. The artful selection of data to give misleading impressions. Like the claim that the earth has not warmed much since 1979 (when there was a new series of satellite measurements), ignoring hte fact that 1979 was a particularly hot year in the context of the time, so what was considered hot in 1979 is now considered normal...

The fact that the absolute miniumum of arctic sea ice was in 2007, coupled with the claim that the ice has been increasing for the last two years. True but completely misleading. The extrapoloation of a warm temperatures in europe in the "medievil warm period" to be a global phenomonen to explain away current record global temperatures. People seem to have a problem with the GLOBAL part of global warming.

The "14 tree ring data from the NORTHERN HEMESPHERE" disproving GLOBAL warming, thing which was just insane.

Yes scientists are imperfect, yes they often have an agenda. BUT that is science, it is messy not done by people in ivory towers, that is the way all science has always been, but it WORKS. In the end the facts speak for themselves and truth will out.

"the fact that the majority of scientists believe the theories says absolutely nothing about the science"

Man you have a terrible opinion of scientists. But that is the point, the whole game has been played against the integrety of the scientists not against the science itself (because the first one you can attack, the other one no not really, it is in, it is settled). Do you not beleive the experts in any field? How do you make any decisions at all? I guess the only way you will be convincied is if you went and got a ph.d. in atmospheric science, made your own computer model and looked at the results. See you in 20 years then.

Comment Re:Two misconceptions here (Score 1) 568

There's really only three options on the table right now:

Not quite sure why you are rejecting a Lib / Lab pact here, add in some of the Northern Ireland parties and the welsh/scottish nationalist parties occasionally (they are both quite socialist) and you have something that can survive at least as well as a conservative minority government.

I think in the end it does depend how hard ball people play on electoral reform. In the end it could be a deal breaker for both sides, as the conservatives don't want to change a system that suits them pretty well, and the Lib dems want badly to change a system that gives them 8.8% of the seats with 23% of the vote.

Comment Re:Hmm (Score 1) 568

There's strong public campaigns at the moment for the Lib Dems not to compromise on electoral reform -- after all this is a once in a generation opportunity.

Electoral reform is the one thing I want to see achieved in this parliament.

Yeah that I agree with. That will be a big fat NO DEAL with the conservatives if they do that. The pressue is going to be building, and the only potentially stable goverment is some sort of conservative/Lib Dem deal. If Labour and the LD had got a few more seats (enough so they had a majority between them), then life would be a lot more intersteing. A good grass roots campaign on electoral reform is good, it gives the Lib Dems the oportunity to walk away if they have to, and do a deal with Labour. There is pressure building the other way, wiht "get a deal done by wednesday or the markets will tank" vibe being put out.

Comment Hmm (Score 4, Informative) 568

There are really only 3 permutations that matter.

1/ The conservatives go it alone, and try to run a minority government with occasional help from the Northern Ireland parties they are allied with, and possiby the liberal democrats on some issues. This is unlikely to last long to be honest

2/ The conservatives and Liberal democrats do a deal, and make a joint platform. This is the only one that has got any possiblity of lasting. The tricky part is as the 3rd Party the Liberal Democrats want some form of proportial representation (which would double their seats in parlament). The conservatives don't want that at all. They like the current system. I don't know what is going to happen here. I guess the Lib Dems will blink "for the good of the coutry", and a deal will be done.

3/ Labour and the liberal democrats do a deal, this does not give them a majority though, so they will need the help of again ulster parties (different NI parties are alligned to each of the mainland parties). and the welsh/scottish natioanlist parties. This will probably fragment after a while too. This grouping is possible as they limp along for a while, and would bring in some form of proportional representation or other electoral reform and eventually we have an early new election.

Some of the more outlandish things like Gordon brown not resigning if there was a viable alternative is just silly. He *could* do it and it would be a mess if he did, but it would destroy most of the support for his party for years to come. You have to be gracious in defeat in these things if you want to bounce back.

I suppose there is

4/ They just call a new election, as well, but that is not going to be popular with the public and noone really has the cash to fight it (particularly the liberal democrats, who have the most to lose from a new election).

Comment Re:it was an outsourced product to begin with (Score 1) 162

huh they don't know 180-360/n?

they interviewed some seriously stupid people.

Yes that'll work if you want a negative result.

Huh? you need to work on your operator precidence.
Division before subtraction.

3 sides
180 - 360/3 = 180 -120 = 60

4 sides
180 - 360/4 = 180 - 90 = 90

5 sides
180 - 360/5 = 180 -72 = 108

6 sides
180 - 360/6 = 180 - 60 = 120

The formula is based on the fact that the external angles add up to 360 degrees, and the internal angle is 180 - the external angle.
Clearly the formula goes wrong for n=1 or n=2, but those are not valid shapes anyway.

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