Want to read Slashdot from your mobile device? Point it at m.slashdot.org and keep reading!

 



Forgot your password?
typodupeerror
×

Comment Re:Just odd. (Score 1) 733

Development is heavily driven by experience. For example, if you cut off a sense during development, that brain real estate gets annexed by adjacent functions. By the same token, I would expect that if you contrived an elaborate experiment in which an infant never saw an object a second time until well after the usual development timeline for understanding the persistence of objects and then raised them normally, they wouldn't have developed the abilities of a typical child their age.

Comment Re:Y'Know, I Never Really Bought Into This... (Score 2) 227

They also have no expectation of privacy for what they put in the dumpster behind their office, but people generally don't sift through public figures' trash. There's little reason to expect to find anything of interest and this is the FOIA equivalent of a fishing expedition.

Of course FOIA fishing expeditions aren't illegal and you're welcome to sift through her trash. However, I can also exercise my right to tell you that you're sifting through trash.

I can't stand the woman but this whole thing is petty.

Comment Re:This seems to be a great over-simplification. (Score 1) 289

I find that explicit reasoning (premises, arguments, conclusions, etc.) constitutes very little of my actual thought process. Much more of it is behavioral conditioned response (mammoths fall of cliff->man that was good eaten') and pattern recognition based inference, both of which are tied into our emotional thinking.

I find that I tend to react to things at a gut level and that reason is what I use to support (or rationalize) these gut decisions and communicate them to others.

Comment Re:Thank god you're reading slashdot (Score 2) 260

I'm one of the few people here who's been hoping for a system like this. I absolutely hate using personal information (name, DOB, SSN, mother's maiden name) as a means of authenticating one's identity. As it stands right now, if you know those, you may as well be the person. It's awful.

That said, this proposal isn't perfect and I believe that it is absolutely vital that instead of trying to stop it because it's not perfect, that instead we try to make it better and make an effort to see that new policy reflects our needs. The main issue with the current proposal is that it still has a single point of failure where if someone gets my phone/smart card/login (and associated PIN/password/etc.), I have my identity stolen. This proposed system is better than the current system in that I should be able to revoke a stolen identity easily under this proposal. However, there are other measures that could be taken to make this framework more secure.

I'd prefer to see a web of trust system based on multiple providers. I pay a phone bill with a given address, phone number, and personal information. I have a bank account with that same information on file. I pay rent with that same information on file. We need to have a way for all of these relationships to be used to say: we all have this guy on file at this address and phone number, and if there's someone else out there who doesn't answer this phone number and mail at this address, then he probably isn't the same guy.

Science

Is Science Just a Matter of Faith? 1486

Hugh Pickens writes "Pastabagel writes that the actual scientific answers to the questions of the origins of the universe, the evolution of man, and the fundamental nature of the cosmos involve things like wave equations and quantum electrodynamics and molecular biology that very few non-scientists can ever hope to understand and that if we are honest with ourselves, we must admit that we accept the incredibly complex scientific phenomena in physics, astronomy, and biology through the process of belief, not through reason. When Richard Fenyman wrote, 'I think I can safely say that nobody understands quantum mechanics,' he was including himself which is disconcerting given how many books he wrote on that very subject. The fact is that it takes years of dedicated study before scientific truth in its truest, mathematical and symbolic forms can be understood. The rest of us rely on experts to explain it, someone who has seen and understood the truth and can dumb it down for us in a language we can understand. And therein lies the big problem for science and scientists. For most people, science is really a matter of trusting the expert who tells it to us and believing what they tell us. Trust and belief. Faith. Not understanding. How can we understand science, if we can't understand the language of science? 'We don't learn science by doing science, we learn science by reading and memorizing. The same way we learn history. Do you really know what an atom is, or that a Higgs boson is a rather important thing, or did you simply accept they were what someone told you they were?'"

Comment Re:Wow, just wow. The uncanny valley extends .... (Score 1) 152

Certain things are by their nature difficult and I don't think it's reasonable to expect these things to be solvable.

a) My expectation is that if there were any really good ways of gathering and storing energy, then lower life-forms would be able to exploit these without having to go through the trouble of evolving into higher lifeforms and then figuring it out. You also have the inherent issue that forms of energy which store well are the most difficult to collect.

b) Weak AI is hard because maintaining large collections of information, without them gathering weeds of misinformation, is hard. Strong AI is harder because of the first problem, and I suspect that by the time you put together a system complex enough to match human intelligence, it'll be every bit as unreliable as a human being.

c) I don't really understand this one. If you think of all the things you need to make and distribute any one thing, you always run out of something before you can scale it up to distributing it to everyone.

What we really need is sustainable infrastructure, everywhere in the world. I don't think that's a problem we're just going to crack open all at once. It's going to be something that we'll struggle towards for a long time, and maybe, just maybe, eventually break that barrier.

Comment Re:Limits? (Score 1) 178

Real simple. If I own a house that I rent out and have no intention of living in, that would be a commercial residential home.

That's still absolutely nothing like taking numbers of such properties, dividing them up into shares, and selling them as securities. Dig?

No, what would happen is the lender would sell off that loan into a CMBS ( Commerical Mortgage Back Security). That CMBS would still be tranched out based on the risks of the asset pool ( it's not divided into shares ). And those tranches would be bought by any number of clients.

You seem to think the concept of Asset Backed Securities lead to the housing collapse. What lead to the housing collapse was simply banks giving loans they shouldn't have. Requiring 40% cash down on housing loans would have been another easy way to avoid all the problems.

That's true. But there's more to it than that. The reason they made these risky loans was that they didn't have any incentive to properly vet the applications and in fact they had an incentive to make as many loans as possible. For each loan they made, they could sell it into a MBS and also receive a piece of the monthly payments to administer the mortgage.

I'm not saying that you shouldn't blame the lenders (or some of the borrowers), but in general, I think you should expect that if someone can make money by doing X, they'll do X. People generally don't leave money lying on the table.

What created these bad dynamics, was that there was a demand for mortgages due to the misvaluation of these MBSs. The top tranches were rated as AAA, which made them very appealing to various fund managers who were required to invest a percentage of their funds in AAA rated securities (which have lower return than other investments).

The reason these things got rated as AAA was the model used to value them was stupid. It essentially boils down to, there hasn't been a very high correlation of defaults in the past, therefore there will not be a high correlation of defaults in the future. That model then of course failed when it couldn't predict something that had not been observed, that there can be a failure mode where the correlation of defaults increases overnight.

So the main two issues are that the people who could have prevented this had no incentive to and current financial theory thinks that it can value a bunch of securities using a combination of the central limit theorem and rainbows. I can suggest a solution for the former problem: structure MBS contracts so that the initial lender has some liability for the difference between the initial loan price and the price at foreclosure auction and institute some sort of reserve requirements to cover this. However, I have no idea what to do about the latter problem. I think that right now, the financial world is trying to put hard numbers on too many things that are by their nature gooey and squishy.

Comment Re:Noo! (Score 2, Interesting) 738

To be fair, the Banach-Tarski paradox you're referring to uses 3D Euclidean space instead of the curved Minkowski spacetime of General Relativity. I'm certain the Lebesque measure (the key ingredient to Banach-Tarski, along with the Axiom of Choice) can be extended to that spacetime, and I'm pretty sure it can be used to generate the same type of paradox. That might actually have interesting physical consequences for the theory, which, incidentally, would be entirely avoided by quantizing it. Considering how much most mathematicians like the Axiom of Choice, this could be a great (mathematician's) argument against GR and for Quantum.

Objects that can only be specified using the Axiom of Choice involve an infinite number of arbitrary choices. This means they have infinite Kolmogorov complexity (i.e. it's impossible to write a finite computer program that outputs a representation of the object).

That doesn't really square well with my (limited) understanding of physics where infinities are always tucked away behind event horizons and every interesting quantity is strictly bounded.

Of course, throwing out the Axiom of Choice also throws out Lebesgue integrals which you need for modern physics. My answer to that is that maybe the integrals work because they're just an approximation for very fine grained sums. (Discrete math major here. Analysis can suck it!)

Comment Re:I'm sorry, I'm an idiot- (Score 2, Interesting) 185

No, it doesn't brute force every possible combination. You can perform an operation on a superposition of all possible k-bit strings, but you can't actually get all of the 2^k outcomes of that operation. If you measure the result, you'll get one of the 2^k outcomes at random.

Basically you start from that superposition of k-bit strings, then you apply some operations to that state so that all of the the correct answers are in phase with each other and constructively interfere. Effectively, you can only apply this kind of speed-up if you can exploit the numerical properties of the problem to ensure that this happens.

Comment Re:Misleading summary (Score 3, Informative) 762

Sir,

    You also forgot to factor in the cost of money. I.e., if you banked the $5000 instead, you'd have that much more money at the end of the car ownership period. In 10 years at 7%, that $5000 becomes almost $10,000 (depending on how you compound the interest.)

Yeah... um.... I don't think you should be using 7% for personal finance TVM calculations right now.

http://finance.yahoo.com/bonds/composite_bond_rates

Slashdot Top Deals

To do nothing is to be nothing.

Working...