It will take about 10 years for it to become a viable standard.
No, the AV1 bitstream format will be frozen later this year, browsers will add support for AV1 soon after that (Mozilla, for example, is already working on it in Firefox), and YouTube, which is the world's largest video site, intends to start using AV1 as soon as possible. AV1 will be adopted quickly.
Considering how many devices out there that won't support it.
Many devices will be able to support it in software. My iPhone 7 doesn't "officially" support VP9 but VP9 video plays back just fine in VLC for iOS.
Nor will I be re-encoding my videos until forced
You don't have to re-encode anything unless you want to.
Windows 10 S is locked down to run only Edge
No. You can run other browsers. It's just that Edge is always the default browser. Read the Windows 10 S FAQ
I'd still be with firefox if they didnt butcher the interface trying to copy windows ribbon
I use Firefox all the time and I have no idea what ribbon interface you're talking about. When I use Firefox on Windows I turn on the menu and I also switch to the Compact Light theme, which is one of the three default themes.
guess what is going to happen to your clever ad blocker strategy
Nothing will happen to it because I'll keep using Firefox. You should use Firefox too and that will help address the problem of Google's dominance of the browser market.
because of the intolerable level of advertising now inflicted on me
You don't have to tolerate it. Just use an ad blocker and that will solve a problem.
So you want to compare the number of cars -- which cost $30-90k a phone, and lasts upwards of 20 years to a smartphone which costs $500-800 and lasts for three years?
Yes. This is the dominance of the smart phone in the electronics category. This is why the "must have hardware support now" argument has always been weak. Mobile is the dominant platform and the hardware changes often.
The PlayStation alone sold more than 80 million units -- to say nothing of the 60 million (and counting) PS4's, or the 30+ million Xbox One's
Lifetime. In any case, there's nothing stopping the PS4 or the XBox One supporting whatever codec they like in software. Your original argument was that entrenched, embedded devices with no possibility of upgrade dictate codec success, remember?
Either way, the numbers are pathetic relative to phones and PCs. And remember: more than half of YouTube video is watched from mobile devices.
Nobody is going to care about VP9 six years from now
Of course not. We'll all be using AV1. I repeat: 1.5 billion smart phones sold per year, 280 million PCs sold per year. All other categories are irrelevant in the face of those numbers.
Your argument is still unimpressive. I'll just get on with listening to Opus audio and watching VP9 video on my iPhone 7.
Selection bias, much? You're clearly cherry-picking your data.
What about virtually every recent Blu-ray and DVD player
In 2015 there were only 43.5 million blu-ray players total in households in the US. And that's after 9 years of availability.
Or automotive media players
Global car sales for 2016. 77 million cars were sold.
Global smart phone sales for 2016. 1.5 billion smartphones were sold.
Global PC shipments per quarter in 2016. 70 million PCs are sold every quarter.
The numbers don't lie. Your argument is unimpressive.
You realize there's a big world outside of the web browser, right?
It's not so big. More than half of YouTube views were from mobile in 2016. Regardless of whether that's mobile browser or mobile app, it's bigger than any other electronics category.
We cannot command nature except by obeying her. -- Sir Francis Bacon