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Comment Re:Global Warming Alarmism (Score 0) 272

Changing by 20C from winter to summer is one thing, but changing the year round average by 20C is a completely different thing. Sure, it wouldn't kill everyone, but it would kill most people in the world, in every country. The equator would be unlivable. Coastal cities would be gone. Agriculture would be completely disrupted, the formerly productive areas would be like deserts, and the newly opened land would have terrible fertility, an the loss of population and production would eliminate fertilizer production. The weather would be completely disrupted, probably causing large Sahara like regions in some places, or massive flooding in others.

Comment Re:Yes! (Score 1) 230

I had to train my mom not to do this. She lost her Firefox profile e and could not remember any of her passwords, and important the profile from an old computer wasn't working. She wrote them down in a file but in a really jumbled up manner that I couldn't make sense of. I eventually figured out how to decode the profile that had the passwords. But until then we had no access to the ISP and I was ready to go and beg with them over the phone or in person to reset the password.

Comment Re:Yes! (Score 1) 230

If my bank asked me to use two factor authentication, I would consider it, as my bank account needs to be secure. But for google, why? It's fluff, I could lose the account tomorrow and not much would happen. I don't have it linked to any credit card numbers, identification numbers, etc.

So why are fluffy social media sites and games encouraging this, but important stuff that need security is not?

Anyway, two factor means I have to have my phone all the time, and if I lose or sell it I am going to have a major hassle trying to get back into my account. I don't want Google of all people to have this information sort of information.

Comment Re:Conflicting niches (Score 5, Interesting) 112

The feature is available in more than just their sports car, you know. It's also in their sedan, their crossover SUV, etc.

I don't think it has anything to do with conflicting niches so much as having to spend time reinventing the wheel. After they lost MobileEye, they had to spend time redoing what MobileEye provided, plus everything they were planning to do going forward.

IMO, the big open question is whether the current AutoSteer tech is actually the basis for their self-driving tech, or just a temporary band-aid intended to replace the AP1 MobileEye functionality in the interim until their self-driving tech is ready.

Right now, I've seen the following problems (consistently) with AutoSteer:

  • If you put on your turn signal, the Tesla either immediately changes lanes without giving enough time to warn other drivers or it does nothing at all, and as far as I can tell, there's no rhyme or reason to which of those two things happens.
  • Sometimes when you put on the turn signal it tries to change lanes into a lane that is occupied by another vehicle. It never waits for a vehicle to get past you.
  • On curves, it steers way too late (a full second after a good driver would do so), then turns the wheel too far, ends up veering towards the other lane edge, then swerves back and forth drunkenly for ten or fifteen seconds.
  • On some curves, this results in the car leaving the lane entirely.
  • When cars are in the adjacent lane, it does not favor the other side of the lane as it should.
  • When there's a concrete barrier right next to the lane, it does not favor the other side of the lane as it should (and in many of those cases where it steered too late, I had to seize control to keep it from wrecking).
  • It makes no attempt at maintaining a constant turning radius (which is the very first lesson that new drivers typically learn in driver's ed class)
  • It usually fails to detect pedestrians and cyclists (even when they're crossing the road right in front of it).
  • It doesn't respect traffic lights or stop signs.
  • IMO, it doesn't brake soon enough when cars cut into the lane in front of you.

All in all, it isn't a beta so much as a pre-alpha. It is good enough for some freeways (the ones without significant turns), but it has trouble even on some four-lane, divided highways in the greater Bay Area, where presumably Tesla should have copious amounts of training data. I would have no faith in it on arbitrary roads. It isn't the edge cases that are wrong, but rather that the base case behavior is barely even adequate. It feels like they trained their model with drunk drivers and 15-year-old student drivers.

So I really hope that AutoSteer is a temporary replacement for MobileEye, and that the reason it isn't better is that it is getting only minimal maintenance. If that's not the case... we could be waiting a while.

Comment Sit them down in front of some good science TV (Score 4, Insightful) 216

I wouldn't try to do it directly. Plenty of other people have covered these areas, and on a level that makes it accessible. For time dilation, Carl Sagan's original Cosmos series had an excellent depiction of time dilation and travel approaching the speed of light. IIRC, part of it was based on a "what if" scenario in which c was something you could approach by peddling a bicycle really hard. When you returned from the ride, all your friends were grey-haired old people.

I'm sure there is some other good programming out there.

Comment Re:Question (Score 1) 158

If humans are no better than a machine then how can a machine programmed by humans do any better

This is a stupid, Luddite sentiment.

Only if you're the sort who immediately gets butt hurt and defensive when you see something you assume offends you.

A person who isn't that sort might look at the question with a greater philosophical viewpoint, e.g. "if the man who wrote the program is flawed, wouldn't it follow suit that the program may be flawed as well, in the same fashion?"

Gedankenexperiments tend to be wasted on plebs and the easily offended.

Comment Re: Well, no more Maple Syrup (Score 4, Funny) 315

Fair enough, and I wouldn't have been surprised by your comment if someone had suggested that Canada could pick up the slack on Banana production, but come on ... Maple Syrup? If there's one thing I expect people to know about us it's that we're all a bunch of maple syrup swilling lumberjacks.

Comment Re:Why? (Score 2) 268

What percentage of low-wage workers at Apple do you think will remain for 3 years?

At least for the low-wage corporate employees, I'd say most of them, actually. When I worked there, I used to see the same people working in the cafes every day for many years. The shipping and receiving people for my building knew me by name. And so on. Apple pays its low-wage employees significantly better than working at Mickey D's, plus they provide full medical/dental/vision benefits, an employee stock purchase plan, 401k matching, etc.

I'm not sure what the turnover rate is for the stores, nor do I have any idea what sort of benefits they get, beyond that I think maybe they get fewer vacation days than folks in corporate. So it's anybody's guess there.

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