Comment Re:less than a third of the cost (Score 1) 176
Probably not. Even as expensive as launches are, they're still only a fraction of the total cost of developing and delivering an operational payload on orbit, and a *very* small portion of the total budget including operations costs.
Do the math on this. With 36 launches costing about 450 million each that would be over $16 Billion. So, using SpaceX could save over $10 Billion over those 36 launches. Even if you go with a satellite that costs $1B to get to the launch pad that would mean you could launch an extra 5 to 10 satellites just by going with the Falcons instead of the Deltas. That is a significant enough difference. Heck you could toss in a couple hundred cubesat experiments on top of that with all that savings and extra launch capability.
Not really, not if you have a clue or at least don't belong to the Cult Of Elon and wear the sacred blinders. You don't set procurement schedules based on waiting for someone who may or may not ever be capable of bidding on the contract.
That is just silly. You set procurement schedules based on getting the best value for the taxpayers. And it isn't like they have been doing launch procurement this way for many years. The switch from single launch contracts to this block of launches going to a sole source being done to "save money" is just laughable reasoning when there is a competitor out there that can launch for less than a third of the cost.
This procurement schedule very clearly seems to have been set to give the most taxpayer money to Boeing and Lockheed Martin before the air force is forced to put these contracts out to bid. If you care about US space capabilities for national defense then we need to reduce launch costs significantly. SpaceX is doing that.