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Comment Re:But not practical everywhere (Score 1) 164

I live in rural America, and an EV charging infrastructure is largely non-existent. In concept, EVs have their merits, but in execution, they are not usable everywhere.

I live in rural America, and EVs are great here. Oh, public charging infrastructure mostly doesn't exist, but that's fine because I have electricity -- get this -- at my house!. I even have flush toilets, 'cause we're high class. The nearest Supercharger is ~100 miles away, but I have a garage, and a barn, and I put EV chargers in both. For normal daily driving, it works fine to just charge at home -- car is fully charged every morning -- and when I go on a long trip, well, the Supercharger network has me covered.

Works perfectly.

Comment Re: Shame they didn’t cover NOx, SOx, etc as (Score 1) 164

So you are willing to pay out another $10K eventually for a battery just so that you can plug in at home?

It's not clear that will ever be needed. EV batteries don't just stop working (barring some unusual fault); they just gradually decline in capacity, and the decline is very slow after the first 1-2 years. So expect to have 95% of capacity after two years, 80% after a decade, 60% after two decades, 50% after three, etc.

So it's just a question of when the capacity drops so low that the vehicle no longer has enough range -- but over time charging infrastructure is going to get better and better, so long range will become less and less important. Also, batteries are going to get cheaper.

So, yeah, it seems entirely reasonable to me to replace the battery in 20 years (if you haven't replaced the vehicle by then). Especially since the fuel savings over that time will far more than cover the replacement cost, even if the replacement cost hasn't come down, which it will!

Comment The bad ones (Score 1) 119

It's also worth noting that even objectively terrible movie treatments (for example, Soylent Green's failure to represent the actual storyline of Harry Harrison's Make Room, Make Room, while also being cheesy and stupid, and Without Remorse's failure to even remotely resemble Tom Clancy's book, while also being... well, lame) didn't hurt those books.

Sir Isaac Newton is the deadliest son of a bitch in space!

Newton submissively begs scraps from Einstein's table, suh.

Comment Aw (Score 1) 119

No. Leave the fucking books alone.

Protip: Just don't buy into new motion pictures based on books. Your problem, solved! Because as you probably will understand if you give it some thought, the existence of a first-time movie treatment of a book doesn't hurt the related book. Quite the contrary, most often.

For those of us who don't want to see yet another Roadhouse or Bladerunner or Poseidon or Total Recall — and for the authors — new motion pictures based on previously untreated stories are a good thing. At least once they're out on physical media. Movie theaters... [shudders] :)

Comment Re:If I were to fix the theatre experience (Score 1) 119

Ask the Germans or the French how to do it; their dubbing of big productions is pretty good. In fact some people commented on how the Star Wars prequels sounded better in German; the movie's actors were unused to doing what amounted to voice acting in front of a green screen. Some of the actors sounded like they were reading lines off a teleprompter. In contrast, the German dubbers do voice acting for a living; they are used to that kind of work.

Comment Might be some smaller filters (Score 1) 314

Pretty much all tech we have today is entirely possible without burning fossile[sic] fuels

One of the apparent filters is simply that above a certain level of gravity, chemical rockets will not suffice to reach space. We're near the edge of that condition ourselves. Any number of civilizations might be out there, pinned against their planet's surfaces. The only way that's not true is if there are physics yet to be discovered that can accomplish surface-to-space in high gravity without using chemical rockets. We certainly haven't found any sign of such science/technology here. And fission or fusion powered rockets... the engineering for that is at least completely non-obvious thus far. And before anyone says "nukes against a pressure plate", yeah, a delightfully bang-y notion, but no.

The assumption made in the Fermi paradox that any civilization could reach space if they try may simply be wrong.

Comment Re:These people are hallucinating (Score 1) 314

An implication of a physically implemented "superintelligence" would be that it needs to have much more computing power than a human brain. There are scientifically sound indicators (not proof, just plausibility) that no such device can be built in this physical universe, hence a machine that is a "superintelligence" is not physically possible.

What are these scientifically-sound indicators?

Comment 8 years, huh? (Score 1) 86

>>> The best commercial lithium-ion batteries...have a service life of up to eight years.

Well, I guess my 6 year old / 90,000 mile Tesla is going to be junk here in the near future. Either that, or it doesn't have "The best commercial lithium-io batteries" in it.

One thing I've learned in owning an EV for 6 years - there's a huge battery advance happening every week. Remarkably, very few of them make it to production. I'll believe this one when I see it.

Comment Re:If my skater friends are any indication (Score 1) 117

I suppose some of that may be down to the difference in the value of the change. It was worth about 2.5X what it is today back when I was working convenience store night shifts, so people might have cared more about getting it correct.

Even more, people at Starbucks are paying $7 for a cup of coffee, so they're clearly not very price-sensitive. If the customer doesn't bother to look to see whether they got the correct change, should the cashier waste everyone's time getting it right? I think yes, but I could see where people might disagree.

I know people at the convenience store got pissed when they got shortchanged, which is why cashiers who couldn't count change out got fired pretty quickly. They might last longer at Starbucks today. Especially since most customers don't pay with cash.

Comment Re:job requirements will be worded so that only H1 (Score 1) 117

Anyone who IS actually valuable with a rare skillset in high demand does not fear deportation. Before you can deport them, they already have another job, potentially in a hostile country,

The fact that they can get a job in another country easily doesn't mean they don't fear being required to leave this one. Most immigrants like the US and don't want to leave it, and even if they didn't care about the US in particular they've often built lives here that they don't want to uproot. I've seen several really smart, talented people get booted out of the country over bizarre rules or immigration snafus, even with help from expensive immigration attorneys. It's stupid.

And, of course, many more are willing to be abused by their employers in order to stay. I don't see that problem so much, because although I work with a lot of people on H1Bs, my employer (Google) treats them well, pays them the same as citizens, etc. But it make sense that there is a lot of abuse in the broader industry.

Comment Re:job requirements will be worded so that only H1 (Score 1) 117

For people that are deemed so valuable that they need a special visa, they need to be given permanent residency and not beholden to a single employer, so if they are laid off, they don't need to fear deportation.

This is only part of the problem and does nothing to stop imported workers from memorizing as much IP as they can and returning home.

That doesn't happen much, not unless the worker is forced to go back because of crappy H1B policies. The fact is that nearly all foreign workers would love to stay permanently.

Comment Not to worry (Score 1) 30

This is a law that will allow the federal government to take total control of AI forever

No. The tech is already out — this horse is so far out of the barn you'd need a passport and numerous border crossings to even find hoofprints.

Not only is such a law completely unable to regulate GPT/LLM/generative software in the USA's non-commercial software ecosphere, it can have no effect across national borders and you may be absolutely certain that other state actors will simply smile and wave at such ideas (for that matter, you may be certain that the US intelligence apparatus will do the same.)

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