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Comment Re:Persective indeed (Score 1) 370

Economically speaking, yes, nuclear waste is the biggest problem. Right now the US has enough nuclear waste to fill the proposed Yucca facility more than twice.

Yucca Mountain's capacity limit has no scientific basis it could be expanded to take several times more waste. AFAIK it was negotiated by a senator from Nevada on purely political grounds. Dry cask storage is not bankrupting anyone so far.

And breeder reactors are not a magic bullet... we'd need hundreds of breeder reactors to reprocess all that fuel.

You are ignoring the fact that breeder reactors would provide huge amounts of energy in the process. It's common to fixate on how nuclear waste is bad but ignore how much emissions-free electricity it is responsible for.

Nuclear power is not getting cheaper. All the research is pretty much done, and we've squeezed that R&D bone dry.

Far from true. The only well developed field is light water reactors using uranium dioxide fuel, but there's a lot more to reactor technology than that. Breeder reactor research has just scratched the surface. The LFTR was built only once, despite being a success. Thorium breeding in light water reactors is known to be possible but is not investigated very well. Overbearing regulations on everything related to radiation and nuclear technology are slowing down progress in this area.

For your several points about subsidies and R&D spending, see: http://www.issues.org/22.3/realnumbers.html

Just as an example, the costs of solar has been more than halved in the last 10 years, and this done without heavy government investment. Over time, I'd estimate in the next 20 years, solar power will become as cheap, in reality, as proliferators claim that nuclear is now.

1. Who is "proliferators"? Some guilt-by-association neologism for nuclear power proponents?
2. Despite the cost halving, solar is still far more expensive than other renewables and is already starting to suffer from diminishing returns. It's physically impossible to build a solar panel that is more than 100% efficient, and the economies of scale also have some limit.

Comment Re:Persective indeed (Score 1) 370

There are several reasons.
1. About 25% of the ocean seabed is composed of clay that naturally encapsulates the waste containers. The containers just bury themselves under their own weight. But to be extra sure we could drill a hole.
2. If the containers are breached, radioactive materials are adsorbed on the clay, and their diffusion to the surface of the seabed is extremely slow.
4. Even if the do reach the surface somehow, they still need to reach the surface layer of water, which can take hundreds of years in places where there is no vertical mixing of water. By then, the release will be extremely diffused and not dangerous.
4. Volcanic activity on the seabed happens in certain, localized places. The burial would take place far from those zones.
5. Earthquakes would not affect the sub-seabed repository, because it's just barrels deep in clay. Any cracks would fill themselves under gravity.

Yes, I would support a nuclear fuel disposal facility in my backyard. I would even bury some under my house (if it was inside a sturdy container).
The ocean floor is hardly anyone's backyard. You might associate it with coral reefs, but the majority of it is far more bland.

Comment INES is not a "threat level" (Score 2) 673

I am very annoyed by a critical bit of misinformation being spread about this. Most reports imply that there was some kind of undisclosed escalation at Fukushima, and that the "threat level" was increased.

This is seriously wrong. INES is not a "threat level" like a hurricane warning. It is a post-mortem estimate of seriousness. This is a reassessment of events which happened weeks ago on the basis of more detailed information being available, not some new unfolding problem.

Comment Re:And some people still wonder why... (Score 1) 673

Your problem is not that the mushrooms pose a danger. The problem is that the nuclear safety agency in your country sets the permitted levels of strontium in mushrooms by assuming you will eat only the worst contaminated mushrooms for an entire year, and you can't get more than a few mSv from that. This is not a reasonable safety precaution, it's a fantasy.

Comment Re:Bring on the nuclear applogists (Score 1) 673

The Japanese officials have raised the severity to a 7 all on their own. That's not a matter of people making the story worse with each retelling.

Yes it is, they completely missed the fact that INES is not some kind of "threat level" like a hurricane warning. This is not an escalation of the situation, it is a reassessment of the events that already happened weeks ago.

sweeping it under the rug (er a mountain) is not even a valid long term solution.

How? Will it magically transport itself to the surface and kill someone? Or will a wizard do it? Yes, I acknowledge that nuclear power is not safe from wizards.

Plutonium does not exist naturally on earth, it's extremely toxic

Urban myth, you can eat several milligrams of plutonium and it will not kill you. It is very poorly absorbed from the digestive tract. Only airborne dust is very toxic, but it settles very quickly (plutonium is heavy).

and it lasts for millions of years

Its half life is 24 000 years. So it is gone after 240 000 years (10 half lifes). But it ceases to emit dangerous amounts of radioactivity far before that. Long half life = weak radioactivity.

Comment Re:Brittleness (Score 1) 673

These properties make nuclear power the most unreliable form of generation.

It is still far more reliable than solar generation, which fails every night, for many hours. Or wind power, which is completely unpredictable even with many farms over a large area.
This "uninhabitability" and "poisoning" is only in your mind. Chernobyl wildlife does not seem to care about it.

Comment Re:decent news source on fukushima plants (Score 1) 370

This is a complex subject, so I'd rather listen to someone who might want to cover his ass but actually knows what he's talking about than to a neutral person with a poor grasp of the issue.

Yes, you should exercise caution when reading industry sources, but they're far better than the anti-nuclear people. The industry of course has an agenda, but at least it knows what it's talking about.

Comment Persective indeed (Score 4, Interesting) 370

The waste is the biggest problem?
1. No civilian spent fuel was ever accidentally or on purpose released into the environment, even though transportation of it is common. Soviet military waste was sometimes dumped directly into rivers, but this is really unrelated to nuclear power.
2. The only person that ever died from civilian spent fuel was a guy that got ran over by a train during an anti-nuclear protest. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Death_of_S%C3%A9bastien_Briat
3. If someone used only nuclear electricity (average U.S. electricity consumption) from present reactor technology for their entire life, he would generate about a soda can of waste.
4. Vitrified nuclear waste is completely insoluble in water. It's rather hard to spread it over a large area. Even if it was just dumped into the ocean, there would be no harm to humans - the waste would bury itself in the seabed. We are not using this solution because Greenpeace and other assorted clowns do not understand anything about marine biology or oceanography. http://www.theatlantic.com/past/docs/issues/96oct/seabed/seabed.htm
5. Even if the waste does somehow escape into the environment, it is very easy to detect this. Radiation detectors are very cheap and compact compared to the laboratory setups needed to analyze chemical pollution - so cheap and compact that every radiation worker has their own detector that keeps track of their exposure. This fact facilitates cleanup operations.

I can understand the uneasy feelings, but let's have some perspective. This isn't even as bad as the hazardous chemical waste we already have to deal with (e.g. from semiconductor production, mining and metallurgy), which unlike nuclear waste will remain toxic forever.

Comment Re:Japan to raise severity level of Fukushima acci (Score 1) 370

Considering that Chernobyl released several percent of its core directly into the air through a graphite fire, and the reactor that exploded at Chernobyl was rated at 1000 MW (roughly the combined power of units 1 and 2 at Fukushima I), this can only be an extremely pessimistic upper bound.

Comment Re:The truth (Score 3, Interesting) 370

Everything depended on the assumption that the coolant had a backup system.Once that assumption was mooted by the tsunami, the flaws in the rest of the system became known.

Not really. The real assumption that failed was that even if there was a complete loss of power in the plant, power could be reasonably quickly (8 hours) provided from outside the plant. The problems escalated because no supplies were available due to tsunami devastation, not even freshwater. The power grid was so damaged that an extra cable had to be laid to get any external power.

One of which is that once you lose cooling and can't get it restarted, you will inexorably have to vent hydrogen into a closed space full of air. Another is that there is no way to vent it to the outside to reduce the effects of an explosion.

The hydrogen was vented inside the containment on purpose, to allow activation products to decay. It could be vented outside the containment, but this would increase the radiation emissions, which the operators desperately wanted to minimize at that point. Hydrogen explosion was deemed an acceptable risk. It looks like this kind of mindset, "reduce public radiation exposure at all cost", is what caused the situation to escalate.

Another is that if the cooling system is completely bunged, there's no way to throw external coolant on the thing that has any effect.

The design assumption was that once cooling completely fails, the reactor will be drained, sealed and allowed to melt down. But this would necessitate a very costly cleanup which TEPCO wanted to avoid.

And another is that they stored the "spent" fuel rods in bunches in what is basically an open swimming pool, so that any chance it gets to evaporate the water around it will result in a fire.

Storing them elsewhere would necessarily expose the workers to more radiation. The point of the temporary storage near the reactor is to allow the fuel to lose most of its radioactivity before it is moved to a longer-term storage location.

What's criminal here is that these things were known to be bad assumptions long ago, but these reactors were operating as originally installed.

Each of the design considerations had a lot of thought behind it. The real problem is that the nuclear safety regulations are not based on a realistic risk analysis, but on fantasies (e.g. child drinking maximally contaminated water for an entire year, or somebody eating exclusively spinach for an entire year). As a result, the operators focused minimizing public radiation exposure rather than on stabilizing the facility, which was actually counterproductive.

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