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Comment Re:OK, why aren't they closing all winter for the (Score 2) 62

Not true at all.

The seasonal flu's death rate is 0.2 for the ENTIRE population. That 0.2 percent includes 70 and 80 years olds. The mortality rate for young people is in the .001 range. *

COVID-19 is 0.2 for people up to 50 years old and then starts to grow exponentially.
So, even for younger people it's roughly 10-20 times deadlier.

* Data comes from: https://bmcmedicine.biomedcent...

Comment Re:I believe testing is free in Korea (Score 1) 276



Do you really think that the SKorean tests were accurate on January 10th? That is one of the stupidest things I've read on this thread. On January 10th China was only beginning to accept the fact that there was a problem.

And, even if the South Koreans started putting everything they had into researching this on January 1st do you really think they would have an accurate test by January 10th?

Comment Re:Stock up now (Score 2) 272

Really? I guess you've never gone camping or hiking or spent much time in the outdoors. A knife if the first and most useful tool. The second is duct tape.

Excluding canteens / dromedary bags for water; matches; etc...

As far as a general, all-purpose tool a good knife is essential. The best type as a general purpose tool (and this is for the OP and others who spend little to no time outdoors) is a fixed blade (that which comes in a sheath). Now this type of knife is not good as an everyday carry and they're illegal for general carry in many locations - NYC I'm looking at you - but, if the blade is part and parcel of camping or work tools you will not / probably won't get a summons.

What is the best knife to have as an EDC? (Everyday Carry) There are hundreds, if not thousands, of articles on that topic.

I have an Opinel No 8. A classic artist's EDC. It is useless for camping and survival. As are the Swiss Army knives. (IMHO)


The Kershaw’s Cryo knife is an excellent EDC for a first time buyer who doesn't want to spend much money. They're about $30-35

There are too many options to go over here. But having a knife is fukin essential.

Comment Re:Making up for lost time (Score 0) 363

Wrong!

The CDC has become a bloated bureaucracy in addition to it's core functionality.

There are times when, like all bureaucracies, it's searching for a mission, a job to do, after all it needs to justify it's budget.

Researching the obesity epidemic, the opioid epidemic and the gun epidemic are three clear-cut wastes of time and resources. If you were intellectually honest you would condemn the CDC for such expenditures.

Comment Re:Not that concerned (Score 1) 326

I'm not a social conservative so I have no warm fuzzies for Mike Pence but his job is to coordinate the agencies. His resume indicates that this is something that he is qualified to do. He is not going to be making medical decisions his job is make certain that agencies that have bureaucratic conflict with each other / don't have established channels of communication are, in fact, meeting with each other and keeping the relevant parties in the loop.

This coordination of bureaucracies is something that he should be able to do. He was in Congress for something like 12 years and was a governor.

Comment Re:Not that concerned (Score 1) 326

Don't plan. Do it now. I stocked up the week Wuhan was closed down. Go now, before the effing rush. Rice, beans, lentils, pasta, flower all have a little over 1500 calories.

The average person needs considerably more than 1500 calories. Add a tbl of oil (100+ kcal) and a few other things to add to your meal and you're good to go. Have 30 days / person. Standard ratio is 3:1 rice to beans (that will give you a complete protein.

Item ------------- Calories
rice ---------- 1633
beans ------- 1547
lentils------ 1597
pasta------------ 1683
all-purpose flour 1637
sugar ----- 1755

Get your supplies now. Don't wait. Don't panic. The more people that prepare the better it will be for society as a whole.

Comment Re:Don't worry (Score 1) 253

Buying Greenland is a great idea. What's wrong with it?

Re nuking hurricanes - once again we don't have context; and considering it's been looked at seriously by the US (and other governments) for decades it's not that insane. Now is it? Over 2000 atmospheric nuclear devices were detonated during the cold war so, as bad as it is, it's not a extinction level event.

Once again, what was the context? In what way was it mentioned? After all look at all the fools who wore pussy hats thinking that Trump was talking about assaulting women as opposed to referring to groupies.

Comment Re:Don't worry (Score 1) 253

The CDC is a typical bureaucracy - in addition to it's core responsibility. Meaning that there is the inevitable mission creep. There are years where it's looking for things to do; to warrant their budget; ambitious bureaucrats want to increase their budget so they research

The opioid epidemic. What has that to do with infectious diseases? Nothing
The gun epidemic. Again, what has that to do with infectious diseases.
Obesity. Same thing.
AIDS (huh!! - in the 1980s yes, but not now. Much less so.)

if anyone wants to address this mission creep there are shrieks of outrage; and the bureaucracy gets ever more bloated.

Comment Re:3...2...1... (Score 2) 253

I've seen it in many places. If you would look I'm sure you'll see it on slashdot as well.

Buy non-perishable food that you like and get 3 months of it now.

If you like rice get 20 lbs today and 20 lbs tomorrow. One pound of rice = 1500 kcal; same for beans.

Buy oil; make certain you have enough salt. Do it now before it gets bad. The more people prepare before the panic the better it is for everyone.

Comment Re:Tin foil hat time.... (Score 1) 64

Stop it. That's just sad. This administration is no different than any other. Protecting the border is not fringe politics. It's been voted on and agreed by politicians of both parties for generations.

You may disagree with Trump on policy (I certainly do) but he's not an existential threat to the US. He's just another president. Dislike his personality. Fine. But this "oh the end of the world is here sh!t" is boring.

Comment Re:Only Six? (Score 3, Insightful) 64

There are limited resources. These are the main locations where one would expect the contagion to spread in the US.

It's a start and it's a reasonable start - these things have to ramp up.

Thankfully companies have been researching China alternatives for the last 18 months as the US has been curtailing dependence upon Chinese manufacturing.

Comment Re:Plague, what can't it do? (Score 1) 61

that's incorrect. Improvement in standard of living is what counts here.

Do you have enough to eat when before you didn't?
Do you have running water when before you didn't?
Do you have indoor plumbing (going to the bathroom) when before you didn't.

If a $1/hr job provides the above then it's big fuking improvement.

Comment Re:Strange Days (Score 2) 61

Uninhabitable? Absolutely not. This is the hyperbole that makes your position fall apart.

In your worst case scenario places like Bangladesh and Florida will be gone; In your worst case scenario there will be mass migration of people (thus upheaval and conflict) In your worst case scenario currently productive farmland will be dryer and less productive (think the American mid-west) and other areas (think Canada and Russia) would be more productive.

But all this does not mean that " CO2 emissions are on track to making this planet uninhabitable, "

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