Please create an account to participate in the Slashdot moderation system

 



Forgot your password?
typodupeerror
×
It's funny.  Laugh.

Wired News 2006 Vaporware Awards 215

silentounce writes "Wired News has released the winners of its 9th annual Wired News Vaporware Awards. I won't list any of them in the summary because I don't want to spoil anyone's surprise. They have some interesting entries, one that is more a concept of a product than an actual product. I'm not sure how you can claim something is vaporware if it hasn't even been given a specific name or a developer yet, but apparently they think they can. "
This discussion has been archived. No new comments can be posted.

Wired News 2006 Vaporware Awards

Comments Filter:
  • by Klaidas ( 981300 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:04PM (#17378028)
    Hmmm... story vaporware?
  • by Anonymous Coward on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:06PM (#17378076)
    Here's the list of major accomplishments that have been achieved since they announced it back in 1997: http://duke.a-13.net/ [a-13.net]
  • Vaporware (Score:3, Insightful)

    by phoenixwade ( 997892 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:08PM (#17378094)
    Is it just me? or is listing "Duke Nukem Forever" as number one yet again becoming a tired old joke?
  • by IdleTime ( 561841 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:08PM (#17378108) Journal
    It is already flying. Just because it is not in commercial use yet, doesn't make it vapor ware. Duke Nukem is.
    • by AKAImBatman ( 238306 ) * <akaimbatman@gmaYEATSil.com minus poet> on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:24PM (#17378356) Homepage Journal
      [A380] is already flying. Just because it is not in commercial use yet, doesn't make it vapor ware.

      The X-33 flew as well, but that was total vaporware. Until someone accepts delivery of an A380, it will remain as vaporware as Airbus continues to delay shipments in order to "work out the bugs".
      • by east coast ( 590680 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @02:10PM (#17378932)
        I hate to bust your bubble but I just got my A380 delivered yesterday. It's sweet.
      • by Richard_at_work ( 517087 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @02:20PM (#17379044)
        Actually the X-33 never flew, the project was cancelled when the prototype was 85% complete.

        The A380 is not vapourware - its in production, the delays are due to production problems and not technical issues with the concept itself. Infact, the A380 delays are the perfect example of incompatabilities in IT based projects - different parts were designed with different versions of the CATIA system, leading to problems with the wiring bundles that Airbus are sorting out now.

        Airlines also disagree with you - two airlines (Singapore and Qantas) placed followon orders to their originals this year, even before they had the first one delivered, so that says something about confidence in the aircraft.
      • by iocat ( 572367 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @10:32PM (#17383640) Homepage Journal
        I was in Vancouver recently, and as we touched down, I was like "OMGWTF is that giant plane, it looks like an A380." And then the pilot was like "everyone look out the left window, it's an A380!!" and he sounded really excited. So, it's no more vaporware than the Tupolev TU-144 [wikipedia.org] is/was. It's a real plane alright, just not yet one in mass production.
    • by Sycraft-fu ( 314770 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:49PM (#17378698)
      Most of the list isn't vaporware. For example SEDs really exist, people have seen them in operation (and are impressed with what they see). However that doesn't change the fact that from a consumer standpoint, they are vaporware. They were promised, they haven't been delivered. I can't go out and buy one.

      Likewise I'm sure that DNF exists in some form, I'm sure that they haven't just been doing nothing all this time. However it's not out, and thus is vapour.
    • by fermion ( 181285 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @03:03PM (#17379570) Homepage Journal
      Moving from a few prototypes to full scale production is the definition of vaporware. This is exactly what is happening with the A380. They have a plane, but they can't build it full scale to deliver.

      And the saga has been going on long enough to be compare with Duke Nukem, especially since no one seriously expected the next version. The A380 should have been delivered mid 2005. Now 8 months later they have apparently have a delivery of date of late 2007, with full production apparently delayed until 2009. This is not a production schedule that builds confidence, and certainly not a delivery schedule for a plane that already exists.

      Of course, as has been widely reported, the wiring problems were that they wires were simply cut too short, and not one wanted to fix it.

      The A380, even if they get a few dozen planes out, if going to be the vapor ware project that defined the first decade of this century. OTOH, when the 15th A380 is delivered, perhpas by the end of 2008, they will have shipped more A380s than Concordes.

  • Duke (Score:4, Funny)

    by tedgyz ( 515156 ) * on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:10PM (#17378136) Homepage
    Yes, Duke Nukem Never is still there. It is eligible for a lifetime achievement award.

    Move along. Next article.
  • Airbus A380 (Score:5, Insightful)

    by Timesprout ( 579035 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:12PM (#17378168)
    Vapour? Have you seen the size of the fucking thing? Anyway its been built, tested and approved for flight. Yes there are difficulties but they will possibly make it a white elephant, but certainly not vapourware.
    • by hey ( 83763 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:25PM (#17378374) Journal
      If it every crashes there will be quite a lot of vapour.
    • Vapored (Score:3, Insightful)

      by fm6 ( 162816 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @02:10PM (#17378930) Homepage Journal

      Yes there's a prototype for the A380. There's also a demo for Spore. But until Airbus figures out how to insert those 300 miles of wiring, the prototype is meaningless. Without any wiring, a jetliner is just a ... I want to say "big doorstop" but somehow that's not right.

      You do sort of have a point. "Vaporware" originally described products that never got beyond the Breathless Announcement, and were usually created solely to stifle interest in competing products. Only one or two products on the Wired list fit that description. We really need a separate term for products that are really, honestly under development, but are way behind schedule. Deathmarchware?

      I'm profoundly unsurprised that Spore is in trouble. IMHO, Will Wright is grossly overrated as a game designer. All his games pretend to be simulations, but the "realities" they pretend to implement are absurdly simplistic. (Why is every Sim a bisexual OJ?) People do enjoy playing them, but only because they enjoy fantasizing about their imaginary worlds. The game pretends to bring simulation to the fantasy, but really just provide fancy graphics. Judging from the videos I've seen, Spore isn't any different. And for a game that pretends to model the evolution of wholes species, that just isn't enough.

  • by MECC ( 8478 ) * on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:12PM (#17378170)
    The A380 is flying. Far from a spruce goose.

  • Vaporware? (Score:2, Insightful)

    by El Lobo ( 994537 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:13PM (#17378176)
    Hmmm... the word vaporware was used to describe a product that NEVER WILL be relleased and was just speculation... Those lists are describing products that often are late. Last year both Vista and IE7 made the list and guess what? They are out!

    So many of those products may be "lateware" but not vaporware. Hell, even Duke Nukem may be out some day AFAIK.

    • by Dunbal ( 464142 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:18PM (#17378260)
      Hell, even Duke Nukem may be out some day AFAIK.

            Aww come on, now you're pushing it, man!
    • Re:Vaporware? (Score:3, Insightful)

      by arth1 ( 260657 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:42PM (#17378610) Homepage Journal
      Hmmm... the word vaporware was used to describe a product that NEVER WILL be relleased and was just speculation... Those lists are describing products that often are late. Last year both Vista and IE7 made the list and guess what? They are out!

      Due to the lack of clairvoyance in the media industry, it's hard to tell beforehand which products will never be released. So the working definition of vaporware is a product that was promised a certain time, but wasn't release. Many delayed products get canned, some get the name transferred to a new product, and some actually come out, delayed. Which one it will be, we won't know until it happens. In the mean time, we call the products "vaporware", because they failed to materialise as promised.
      • by ClosedSource ( 238333 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @02:16PM (#17379006)
        If a product is branded as vaporware but eventually is released, it simply means that the product was incorrectly classified, no working definition is required, the correct one works just fine.
        • Battlecruiser 3000AD was the definitive piece of PC "vapourware" until Duke Nukem Forever came along. It was eventually kicked out the door by the publisher, against the programmer's wishes. Had the programmer had his way, it would probably have stayed in development in perpetuity.

          Thus in modern terms, it is considered "correct" to use vapourware for a product that has not been delivered according to promises. Especially if new promises are continually made and broken. i.e. "Battlecruiser 3000AD was vapourware for seven years!"
          • by ClosedSource ( 238333 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @07:27PM (#17382482)
            "Thus in modern terms, it is considered "correct" to use vapourware for a product that has not been delivered according to promises. Especially if new promises are continually made and broken. i.e. "Battlecruiser 3000AD was vapourware for seven years!""

            I think the motivation for this "modern" view is partially political. It has allowed Vista to be labled as vaporware even though there was really no doubt that MS was going to release it eventually.
    • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:51PM (#17378716)
      Well, since my crystal sphere was in the laundry last year, I couldn't predict what would be finished before the year's over. So sorry.

      Seriously, products that are announced for years without any measurable progress to show that there is actually something being done to get them to gold status deserve the award. I'm not so sure about the A380, and maybe Vista didn't really qualify either. But there are hands-down examples that deserve that award, like DNF. It might ship, finally, one day, after the apocalypse or whenever, it's not ruled out that it just might show up one day. But so far I can't see any measurable progress, no information that there is actual development, not even new screenshots, so it does fit the definition of Vaporware pretty well.
  • by The Living Fractal ( 162153 ) <banantarr@hot m a i l.com> on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:17PM (#17378228) Homepage
    I think the developers of DNF have been using these [wikipedia.org] maybe a little too much.

    TLF
  • by MasterC ( 70492 ) <cmlburnett@gm[ ].com ['ail' in gap]> on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:18PM (#17378254) Homepage
    I like ruining surprises (uh, ok, whatever Mr. Story Poster) and I hate multi-page stories. Wikipedia links provided for the fun of it

    • by andersa ( 687550 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:45PM (#17378640)
      KDE4 missed the list, but I am betting on it for next years list.
      • by Orange Crush ( 934731 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @02:49PM (#17379354)
        KDE4 missed the list, but I am betting on it for next years list.

        They slipped a little on the technical preview, but work is progressing. There's a lot on the plate to get to KDE4--mainly under the hood to port everything over to QT4. However, I understand this will open the door for more cross-platform KDE apps (KOffice, Konqueror, etc. running natively in Windows & OSX). They're aiming for a mid-2007 release, but there's still a ways to go and I wouldn't be surprised if it slipped to late '07/early '08. It's a bit trickier to pin an open source project as vaporware--the code's available and either it's being worked on or it isn't. KDE most certainly is.

        • by strider44 ( 650833 ) on Thursday December 28, 2006 @12:11AM (#17384186)
          Add to this that the frameworks (the majority of the work) are getting towards being completed. I've been following KDE4's development and I can't really understand why so many people think that it's stalled. Mostly their argument involves KDE 4's technical preview being ugly or unusable. Obviously they've never done any software development - the interface is the last thing to come into fruition - like the top of an iceberg, how is the interface going to work if the code under it hasn't been written?
  • by __aaclcg7560 ( 824291 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:18PM (#17378266)
    I can't believe that Duke Nukem Forever knocked Windows Vista for the MIA award. For five years we were promised all these wonderful technologies that would be part of Windows Vista and the only thing that's coming out next month is a Windows XP upgrade.
  • Misread (Score:3, Funny)

    by Rob Carr ( 780861 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:24PM (#17378354) Homepage Journal
    I thought the one item on the list read Skype Sybian.

    I bet it would sell....

  • by acroyear ( 5882 ) <jws-slashdot@javaclientcookbook.net> on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:25PM (#17378372) Homepage Journal
    I'm still waiting on that one... ...of course it doesn't really matter much since iTunes is in control of the audio-for-sale and video-for-sale market these days. DIVx-based AVIs are becoming the default for "free" video content, particularly from Europe.

    As I wrote before here, WMP for Linux was meant as a strategic move to scare content owners away from the open-sourcing of Real Networks' player and codecs, by promising WMP-based DRM for the Linux market. It seemed to work, but rather than go to WMP (which had technical issues as shown by early BootlegTV downloads from the DGM record label (King Crimson)), they held off until iTunes set the new DRM standard. M$'s been behind ever since.
  • by Vengie ( 533896 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:30PM (#17378430)
    I'm actually thinking that DNF will win *despite* being released -- and two or three successive years. It's too embedded in the culture at this point. How else can you describe the archetype of vaporware? [The obvious justification is that the /real/ DNF, i.e. the one promised since 97, will not have shipped. Even if DNF wins, the spirit of DNF can live on.]

    I can see the meme already: "This is what DNF should have been" for new game demos....
  • Evolution - NOT (Score:2, Interesting)

    by CustomDesigned ( 250089 ) <stuart@gathman.org> on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:36PM (#17378516) Homepage Journal
    In Wright's Spore, which is being developed by Maxis, the player guides a species through the grand process of evolution -- from a single-cell organism to star-hopping superbeings. Everything the user creates will be compiled into a giant database and shared among all the game's online players.

    Evolution is defined as unguided. The above is a description of Intelligent Design, not evolution. The player is essentially the god of a universe built via Theistic Evolution, and every game play decision is a miracle. In a game based on true Evolution, you would just watch everything unfold randomly according to the game rules after perhaps tweaking some initial conditions (you are allowed some Initial Design of the rules / state at the Big Bang, since that doesn't involve any god/world interaction).

    • by silentounce ( 1004459 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:41PM (#17378594) Homepage
      "In a game based on true Evolution, you would just watch everything unfold randomly according to the game rules after perhaps tweaking some initial conditions (you are allowed some Initial Design of the rules / state at the Big Bang, since that doesn't involve any god/world interaction)."

      And that is a game how? And it is "loosely" based on evolution, things you eat and how you behave determine some of the outcomes. Obviously it's more complex than that, but it is not just entirely designing. With your logic you could argue that Civilization [slashdot.org] isn't really a simulation of human history because it doesn't involve actual beings making decisions that result in a society unfolding.
    • by Thansal ( 999464 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:45PM (#17378642)
      Now that owuld be an awsome mod for Spore.

      just have some way for the creatures to develope based on what problems they encountered. No it would not be "real" evoloution, but it would be awsome to watch.
    • by Opportunist ( 166417 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:59PM (#17378804)
      Sure, but who'd play that? Mix'n stir, then let it explode and wait a few billion years.

      I'd feel like playing WoW again...
    • by OpenGLFan ( 56206 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @02:04PM (#17378858) Homepage
      But if you're acting as an omnipotent outside force, experimenting with improvements on the organisms you've built, then you're saying . . . you're the God of Evolution!

      There are Gods of War, Gods of Harvest, Thunder Gods, why not a God of Evolution? Try tossing that into an Intelligent Design argument. That oughta stir that argument up.
    • by Quiet_Desperation ( 858215 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @02:25PM (#17379100)

      Evolution is defined as unguided. The above is a description of Intelligent Design, not evolution.

      Geez. Don't be so dogmatic. ;-)

    • by Valdrax ( 32670 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @04:19PM (#17380492)
      Evolution is defined as unguided. The above is a description of Intelligent Design, not evolution. The player is essentially the god of a universe built via Theistic Evolution...

      Why are you using the term "theistic evolution" after having redefined evolution to be exclusive of theistic influence? Your argument has just been made to fall flat on its face by your own use of the adjective "theistic" to describe a form of "evolution" in what would be an oxymoron under your terms.

      There's absolutely nothing wrong with describing Spore as a game about evolution once you accept that evolution guided by an intelligent force is still a form of evolution, as you just have by the use of that term.

      (Also, most supporters of the theory called "Intelligent Design" and packaged to schools as an alternative to the teaching of evolution reject the possibility of theistic evolution as well as that of nontheistic evolution, even though theistic evolution would be a perfectly valid form of intelligent design as the term would seem to be defined at face value.)
      • by CustomDesigned ( 250089 ) <stuart@gathman.org> on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @07:53PM (#17382702) Homepage Journal
        Why are you using the term "theistic evolution" after having redefined evolution to be exclusive of theistic influence? Your argument has just been made to fall flat on its face by your own use of the adjective "theistic" to describe a form of "evolution" in what would be an oxymoron under your terms.

        Because terms are qualified to create new terms - often opposed in meaning to the original word. The unqualified word "evolution" usually refers to a mix of natural selection and macro evolution - with perhaps some origin of life thrown in. But throughout secular textbooks, the unqualified term is carefully explained to mean "without design or guidance".

        There are at least three qualified variations on "evolution":

        1. micro evolution - Natural Selection, which selects or mixes optimal traits from preexisting genetic material.
        2. macro evolution - creation of new genetic material by an unguided process of random mutations and Natural Selection.
        3. theistic or guided evolution - creation of new genetic material by a carefully designed process of random mutations and Natural Selection. This is what is used in "genetic algorithms" or "evolutionary algorithms", for instance. Some genetic algorithms are pure Natural Selection (all traits are designed beforehand).
        "Macro evolution" is the only kind subject to any controversy, since it has not been directly observed.

        (Also, most supporters of the theory called "Intelligent Design" and packaged to schools as an alternative to the teaching of evolution reject the possibility of theistic evolution as well as that of nontheistic evolution, even though theistic evolution would be a perfectly valid form of intelligent design as the term would seem to be defined at face value.)

        You are absolutely correct. Guided evolution is perfectly compatible with Intelligent Design theory. Theists object to theistic evolution on (somewhat shaky) moral grounds - a god that creates via a process as apparently harsh and cruel as evolution seems somehow abhorrent (although you could say it is "worth it all in the end"). Also, secularist object to theistic evolution on "materialist" grounds - "The Universe is All There Is". But, again, I agree, it is a Really Bad Move for Intelligent Design supporters to reject the possibility of guided evolution. Note that this is not across the board. Michael Behe, for instance, in "Darwin's Black Box" suggests a "big bang of life" (all genetic material designed and put mostly dormant in a single super cell) followed by Natural Selection (species evolve by activating, deactivating, and discarding material).

        Note that the Catholic / Protestant split essentially began over the unqualified use of the word "faith". Did "Sola Fide" mean "Sola Fide Informis" (as the Catholic Hierachy thought), or "Sola Fide Formata" (as Luther apparently intended). There are way too many conflicts rooted in ambiguities of language combined with a lack of charity.

  • by jj00 ( 599158 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:41PM (#17378592)
    When is the next version of the Palm OS coming out?
  • Please stop... (Score:2, Insightful)

    by thedarb ( 181754 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @01:51PM (#17378712)
    Please stop posting Wired stories. We all already read Wired on a daily basis, just like we read Slashdot. Why post it here days after we've already read it? Just please stop doing it already.
  • by Dr. Cody ( 554864 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @02:54PM (#17379416)
    Did anyone else read that as Sybian?

    Skype + Sybian = Teledildonics?
  • by Sfing_ter ( 99478 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @03:02PM (#17379548) Homepage Journal
    When Cartman went to the future to get his Wii, he played DNF on the current console systems they were using, really just ask Matt and Trey... :)
    C'monnnn, C'monnnnn...
  • by Bandman ( 86149 ) <bandman.gmail@com> on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @03:11PM (#17379704) Homepage
    At this point, it'll either be shit, or it will be sentient.
  • SED [wikipedia.org] made the list, but not my favorite, "I ain't buyin a TV until it's" OLED [wikipedia.org]
  • Wrong Aircraft (Score:5, Insightful)

    by AK Marc ( 707885 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @04:08PM (#17380350)
    The Airbus is on the list but not the flying car? Moller's Skycar [moller.com] has been 2 years away from completed testing for the past 10+ years and has been in development for somewhere around 40 years. If any aircraft deserves to be on the list, it's that one.
  • by ewanrg ( 446949 ) <ewan@grantham.gmail@com> on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @05:11PM (#17381024) Homepage
    Personally, I think Tivo should be given a special award. Not only have they not produced TivoToGo for the Mac, but a volunteer group has actually produced their own version of the software (TiVo Decode) while waiting for the official Tivo version.

    Worse, those new HiDef Tivos don't even support TivoToGo for Windows - so they've actually managed to go backwards in the past year.

    Me, bitter? Nah... :-)
  • by electricalen ( 623623 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @05:43PM (#17381444)
    They broke their own criteria by listing Duke Nukem Forever. From the beginning of the article:

    How about the final spec for 802.11n, the blazing-fast new Wi-Fi? While many hoped to see it finalized this year, the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers has been saying not to expect anything until January 2007. No false promises, no Vaporware Award.

    Then about Duke: The company still has a message on its website saying that the game will be released "when it's done."

    It doesn't sound like they're promising anything to me, so it shouldn't be on the list.

  • by rlp ( 11898 ) on Wednesday December 27, 2006 @06:07PM (#17381724)
    The Sagrada Familia was started by Gaudi in 1880 and was finished in ... oh wait, they're still building it.
  • by bill_mcgonigle ( 4333 ) * on Thursday December 28, 2006 @12:43AM (#17384342) Homepage Journal
    Wired says this about SED
    Then, in October, Toshiba said we'd have to wait until July 2007.
    An easy Google search 'toshiba sed release' gives press releases from last February and March [toshiba.co.jp] pushing the release date back to Q4'07. There's nothing in the October press releases about SED [toshiba.co.jp].

    But that doesn't make as interesting a story, I guess. You'd think this was a simple mistake except it's so easy to fact-check.

    What's happening in July 2007 is they're supposed to start mass production of the tubes. But you won't be able to buy one until next Christmas. You can probably see some on display at the Peking Olympics. That is unless a lawsuit against Canon stops the production lines.

    Anyway, for those new to SED, it's an array of pixels, each with its own "CRT" in it - an inkjet-printed emitter striking a phosphor. Contrast ratios are expected to start at 5X the best LCD sets and go up from there.

UNIX was not designed to stop you from doing stupid things, because that would also stop you from doing clever things. -- Doug Gwyn

Working...