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There are undoubtedly those who would avoid buying a machine if it has Windows 8 (often with good reason), but I doubt that section of the buying public would make any appreciable impact on the overall number of sales.
What I know from my own experience is that I'd rather learn how to use Windows 8 than go back to the poor, under-mature desktop experience I keep getting with Linux distros. I physically shudder at the idea of going back to Linux on the desktop - it's actually gotten WORSE over time.
So what you're saying is the stock market reflects what a few people think the company is worth and isn't tied to real value?
Imagine that you discovered the secret of antigravity. What would be the "real value" of one man (you) sitting behind an empty desk in a tiny, rented office? Would that be the $500 that your chair and your desk can be sold for? Or, perhaps, it would be a tad higher? Which value is real here?
The amount of emissions might be similar... I would expect the composition of those emissions to be considerably different. How many plastics would there be getting cooked on a gas or electric stove, or in a scented candle? Probably not very many...
I know for a fact that I have below average spatial reasoning skills. I am a (bad) chess player and I just lack the ability to see that many people have. Spatial reasoning is the most important non-learned skill in chess, and I just cannot visualize long continuations at all. Yet on the test linked in the article summary, I got a perfect score.
Or maybe the test is just too easy. I was able to find shortcuts to several of the answers without having to fold the shapes into a cube in my head.
Lack of leisure time is a serious issue. I end up trying to create late at night which is harder the older you get. Even worse is that without enough time to change gears its easy to opt for passive activities like reading or watching video of something rather than actually creating. Passive knowledge gathering is good and you can mentally model quite a lot of an idea but ultimately there is a limit to how far a mental model can go and you need to get direct feedback from an actualized model to move it forward.
This is one that made me giggle. I am not a climate scientist so I don't have much of an opinion but I enjoy watching and learning from the debate.
The Droid Guy
If you're looking for more color choices for the Verizon Galaxy S4, a brown version may be on its way. Shown off by consistent leaker @evleaks, the Autumn Brown version of the Galaxy S4 for Verizon is pictured below. Obviously, there aren't any hardware...
From the article: "In the 1970s, there were just a few hundred [raids] a year; by the early 1980s, there were some 3,000 a year. In 2005, there were approximately 50,000 raids." It goes on to detail examples of agressive, SWAT-style raids on non-violent offenders and how many have ended in unecessary deaths.
Last year, after a Utah man's home was raided for having 16 small mairijuana plants, nearly 300 bullets in total were fired (most of them by the police) in the ensuing gunfight, the homeowner believing he was a victim of a home invasion by criminals. The US miltary veteran later hanged himself in his jail cell while the prosecution sought the death sentence for the murder of one officer he believed to be an criminal assailant. In 2006, a man in Virgina was shot and killed after an undercover detective overheard the man discussing bets on college football games with buddies in a bar. The 38-year-old optomitrist had no criminal record and no history of violence.
The reports range from incredulous to outrageous; from the raid on the Gibson guitar factory for violation of conservational law, to the infiltration of a bar where underage youth were believed to be drinking, to the Tibeten monks were apprehended by police in full SWAT gear for overstaying their visas on a peace mission. Then there's the one about the woman who was subject to a raid for failing to pay her student loan bills.
It's a small wonder why few respect police anymore. SWAT-style raids aren't just for defense against similarly-armed criminals anymore, it's now a standard ops intimidation tactic. How much bloodshed will it take for America to realize such a disproportionate response is unwarranted and disasterous?
I faced the exact same problem with playing bridge - I realized there was a particular threshold I couldn't cross. I tried to figure out why & found out that I have very average spatial visualization skills.
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I was caught in about the 5th grade for the same thing - teachers recommended it and I still have the test results. I did a secondary test as well and I still remember being asked why it would be advantageous for a mouse to have more than one hole to run to - seemed like a crazy question! Nowadays the tests aren't so broad and teachers are pretty well beaten up, it's truly sad...
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Legos I never had but tinker toys, erector sets, and holy smokes those 150n1 electronic kits from Radio Shack! the Erectors i didn't like so much due to sharp edges but I was all over Tinker Toys - which are now plastic crap. I agree that such toys should be required and I would also agree that FPS help creativity and spatial reasoning. Kids who can visualize and find their way around a map like we had with Quake or Wolfenstein should be paid attention to!
Sure it does. Suppose you have some sort of gene splicing process that takes hours. An intelligent, creative person will think about better, faster, easier ways to do the same thing. I remember seeing a presentation on behaviour driven development where the presenter said he also called it "beer driven development" as it let him get to the pub faster, since he got his work done more quickly.
"Now, it just becomes a math problem."
The implication here is that you know the formula, you know the inputs, you can hand it to a computer and be done at that point. Just a math problem.
But in fact, they clearly do NOT know all the inputs, or the full formula. There are all kinds of computer simulations but not one that has been proven accurate.
Yes, greenhouse gases trap sunlight and raise the temperature. That is simple and straightforward enough. If we could hold every other variable still and move just one slider for a greenhouse gas, we would expect it to raise the temperature. But not necessarily on a linear scale, and we dont know exactly what interactions we might hit at various points along that slider either.
More importantly, we dont know what the baseline is. We cant just slide that slider back and forth and observe an experimental earth to see what happens, but we CAN look at the record of planetary climate prior to human industrial activity, and it's a pretty wild graph even back before humans were doing anything at all. None of the formula these people are using actually reproduces the existing record btw. Which means that no one really understands why the earth went hot when it went hot, or cold when it went cold, many times before humans existed.
Basically, the earth long-term switches back periodically between a cold earth (one with icecaps, which expand and recede periodically giving the cold earth glacial and 'interglacial' periods) and a hot earth (with alligators in london and no icecaps at all.)
Humans evolved on cold earth, and we are happiest in the warm phases of the cold earth (the 'interglacials' when ice caps exist but remain relatively small.) We prefer that, so we idolise it as the perfect climate, and view any deviation from it as an unatural threat. Glacials drive us into a narrower band around the tropics, effectively reducing our access to all resources. But a full on hot phase, $deity forbid, would be a disaster of an even greater scale. With our present technology I refuse to call it an existential threat - there is no way it would kill us all, but it would likely confine us to a smaller habital zone than maximum glaciation would, and that zone would be further split, with each pole inhabitable, and a vast and extremely dangerous tropical belt separating the two small habitable zones. Higher sea levels would also put much of the land under water, further reducing habitable land to a truly paltry remnant. (On the bright side, moving underwater might well become cost effective in that scenario.)
The key thing to understand, though, is that these changes are exactly what we have to expect naturally. In order to know whether our activity is going to cause a disaster, we have to know not only precisely what we are doing - but what the baseline, without our action, would have been as well. The former we are still fuzzy on, and the latter is almost completely unknown. The earth is warming. Would it be warming if we werent doing what we are doing? We dont know. Maybe it would be getting colder, and our greenhouse gases are all that is holding back a new glacial - or maybe the earth is ready to switch to hothouse planet again, and our emissions are only very slightly hastening the inevitable. Maybe everything was perfectly tuned to go on for another few centuries until we started burning coal but by now we have already thrown things too far off-kilter for any changes in our behaviour to matter. Maybe this warm spell is just the last bump in the chart BEFORE the next glacial, and we should be pumping the atmosphere with all the greenhouse gases we can set our hands on to delay that cold snap a few more years. Or maybe the underlying forces driving the cycle are so much more powerful than our emissions that we are only flattering ourselves thinking we can affect it either way. Or maybe we are even more powerful than we think and actually triggered the upcoming change to hothouse earth even earlier - human activity has been affecting macroclimate in ways we havent even begun to fully understand for around 12k years now, the industrial revolution was just one of many phases in this.
If we fully understood all the variables, and the equations, then we would know exactly which scenario we were in right now. But when our models cant even be taught to regurgitate our historical record it's painfully obvious that we do not, actually, have the whole thing reduced to math.
As humans we are disposed to believe that as long as we dont do anything wrong, we will get the optimum climate we want. This assumption is embedded clearly in many of the worlds oldest texts, and it remains very popular to this day. But it's just not true.
It vindicates, as you said, not honors. It clears the way for honors without the fuss from rejects.
My fave was taking apart the carb on the family car. It was our second car so no biggie - except the primary was in the shop. I put the silly thing back together wrong and the car would only run for a few seconds before dying. I stayed up quite late tinkering with it until I finally tore it down far enough to visualize how it worked and figure out I'd been putting a part in wrong. My parents were pretty relieved and quite surprised when I found this and the car fired right up just fine. I find that doing mechanical things is a great deal of fun and tuning cars - their computers - is even more fun. Optimizing a system to make the most power is a blast! I didn't choose that as a career though as I quickly learned early on that leaning over a car all day was hell on my back and I ended up in the computer field for a job. My mother used to tell me that as a child they had to be careful because if I got hold of a screwdriver anything below knee height would be disassembled. I can even recall doing some of that just to see how things worked although it wasn't until later I could reassemble them
I don't think traits are innate but I do think that some learn in some areas more quickly than others. My ability to visualize isn't something that can be taught in my opinion and I have an ability to figure out faults more quickly than many others. I think the latter can be taught as a skill but not everyone gets it nearly as well so there's talent there too. Certainly i think there are geniuses that aren't found due to lack of education or spotting them - I did very poorly in school simply because I was bored, in other situations I might have simply been failed and passed over. I got lucky I think but could still have done better
Uh, no. Laziness accounts for the wheel, fire, steel, assembly line, powered flight and every form of transportation ever, computers in general, all of robotics, electricity, gps and satellite communications, the internet - pretty much all inventions which increase efficiency of any kind.
People want to sit around doing nothing all day but stuff keeps getting in the way - we need food, shelter, protection from people more lazy than our selves (who want to steal our food and shelter) and we need to not die from illness or natural disaster. Add in the procreative urge and everything else falls out as a result of an fitness algorithm that has been running for hundreds of thousands of years now (at least with a modern human brain running it).
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Metro - the thing that appeared in Windows 7 Phone - is a thing of beauty, but fundamental to that was the premise: Start from scratch with touch as the basis.
When you develop a UI that way, you can do it without chrome - a pure Windows 7 Phone app had no chrome because the interface was its own chrome. They didn't take the chrome away, they started over and didn't need it.
Windows 8 UI is not Metro. It's the Windows UI with the chrome removed, and then reintroduced in 8.1.
I really liked Windows 7 Phone up until MS killed the marketplace by announcing Windows 8 wasn't going to be the same thing (infact, they're actually compatible, but nobody bothered developing apps after the announcement and 8.1 breaks Metro so much I'll be sticking with my return to 'droid)
Carly Fiorina might be available to help out MS. And maybe Darl McBride could help out too.
Really? Please detail these assumptions and unknowns.
One of the key advocates: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/James_E._Hansen
Specifics please. Whose experiments and data collections cannot be reproduced cannot be reproduced - Tyndall's? Arrhenius's?
Data collection: historical temperature records, historical CO2 records, sea level measurements, measurements predicting carbon release in response to temperature changes, etc.
Experiments: there are no experiments that can directly test global climate models at all; nuclear fission can be observed and reproduced in simple, independent desktop experiments around the world
Tyndall and Arrhenius just measured the basic greenhouse effect. That is only the trigger for global warming and by itself doesn't allow long term predictions; long term predictions involve feedback.
Has Anthony Watts created any new technologies? Roger Pielke? Andrew Bolt? Monkton? Old technology gets replaced with new technology all the time. Why is this suddenly a problem?
How is that relevant? Atomic scientists said "don't use the technology we created because it's dangerous". Climate scientist say "don't use fossil fuel combustion because it's dangerous". I'm just saying that the analogy doesn't work.
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Science World Report
Science World Report
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The most restrictive law Ms. Feinstein ever got passed was the assault weapons ban of 1994. Which by the way many republicans supported as well.
Not for lack of trying, however.
One can hardly blame her for wanting to carry basic protection like a handgun and to restrict access to guns for whackos.
I agree. However, she wanted to restrict access to guns for everyone who wasn't affiliated with the state, which is something else.
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In the sixties and seventies, the climate hucksters were selling us on a man-made ice age.
And now they are telling us that anthropogenic climate change is all a big conspiracy.
In the eighties, they told us California would be underwater by 2000. It's still there.
And now they are telling us that anthropogenic climate change is all a big conspiracy.
Maybe alot of people twist and exaggerate the evidence for their own reasons when $ billions are on the line. A $100k grant ? Just in the Obama years alone, he's handed billions of your money to oil companies and coal producers in the form of various subsidies.
Fixt it for you.
When I was in school we got tested for mechanical and spatial reasoning skills as well as math, reading, blah blah. I scored over 90th percentile in mechanical and spatial reasoning and also pegged reading comprehension. Math? I was below middle of the pack, like 45% percentile. Math just never made sense to me but given the chance to work on something mechanical I'm all over it and can often figure out how something works or how ro assemble it just by looking at the pieces. Computers, likewise, are something I can envision. I can be given a set of requirements for a program and be able to tell where there will be issues that need to be worked out before the program is built. I tend to think outside the box is all. i could see myself inventing something but I sure as heck don't see myself doing anything math related, it just doesn't click