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HOU -3 @ ATL
The Texans seem to be pretty good this year. The Falcons are very bad. Give the points.

GB -2 @ MIN
For the first time this year, the Packers are favored to win. They should be worth at least a FG against the Vikings. Give the points

STL @ DAL - 13
If the Bucs can hang 21 points on the Rams, the Cowboys ought to be good for at least 14. Give the points.

NE - 7.5 @ CIN
The Patriots are only getting 7.5 against the Bengals? The same team that gave up 51 points to the Browns? Give those points!

PIT -6 @ AZ
Seems like it ought to be an easy cover for the Steelers, but the Cardinals seem to be better this year, and can play tough at home (and I'm not entirely convinced the Steelers are really as good as they've seemed so far).

KC @ SD -12
This could be a huge frustration-venting blow-out win for the Chargers (like this week's DET @ PHI). But I can't bring myself to give 12 points to a Charger team that has so far looked so flat...

DEN @ IND - 10
For the past few years, the Colts have just owned the Broncos, especially when they play at Indianapolis. But so far the Colts have only won once by more than 6 points, so again I'm reluctant to give 10.