Comment: Re:Scientists Charged For Not Being Psychic (Score 2) 188
I'm not a seismologist, but I've worked with them.
The general consensus is, predicting earthquakes is impossible. Even if you think a "big one" is coming, you don't know if it's minutes or decades away. The timing is impossible to predict. *Sometimes* they get lucky, but it's just that - luck.
The only thing you can do is predict the risk of quakes, and encourage local planners to enforce earthquake proof buildings. In earthquake-prone areas, wooden houses are a good idea, and unreinforced masonry is a death-trap. In hurricane-prone areas, masonry is better, and living below the flood-lines is a death-trap.
The bad decision was to let people live in unreinforced masonry death traps, in a quake-prone area.