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Comment: Re: 'unreliability' (Score 3, Informative) 153

by tnk1 (#47569285) Attached to: An Accidental Wikipedia Hoax

The person you are talking about was Brigadier General S.L.A. Marshall who wrote "Men Against Fire" about WWII experiences, which is where the low direct fire ratio theory came from.

And yes, it was very controversial and got debunked, but I've heard that factoid repeated to the present day. I think it gets repeated because it sounds both interesting and believable at the same time to people who haven't been shot at. For those who have been shot at (and shot back), it obviously does not ring true.

For extra irony, here's his Wikipedia entry:

Comment: Re:Here we go... (Score 1) 454

by tnk1 (#47512117) Attached to: MIT's Ted Postol Presents More Evidence On Iron Dome Failures

The Irish were, by far, the majority in Ireland. Additionally, Ireland is fairly separate from Great Britian (the island) and there was no question of forcing the British out of their own homeland.

And of course, the British are *still* there. In Northern Ireland.

If anything, the Palestinians are already "independent" of Israeli rule, the majority Palestinian areas are part of the Palestinian state, like the majority Irish are in control of the Irish state.

So, Palestine is already "there". Most of the Irish stopped fighting after they got what Palestine has now. The Irish government, for the most part, didn't try and claim Northern Ireland as part of their "ancestral homeland" for very long. The IRA groups did, but they were never properly representative of the Irish. If anything, the Irish did what I would hope the Palestinians do today... took their independence and did what they could with it.

Independence isn't the Palestinian's problem. It's that they keep getting interfered with by Israel on one side, and their "friends" in the Muslim world, on the other. They need to stand up and stop doing what is pissing off the majority of Israelis, and then stand up to their so-called friends, and refuse to be their proxy soldiers anymore.

Comment: Re:Here we go... (Score 1) 454

by tnk1 (#47512059) Attached to: MIT's Ted Postol Presents More Evidence On Iron Dome Failures

If Israel grabs the land of the Palestinians, they have to actually deal with the Palestinians.

What made most of the annexations possible is that war caused Palestinians to become refugees and they left. While it wasn't entirely voluntary, due to fear, it was a situation that opened up a considerable amount of now-Israeli territory to be further colonized without having to forcibly remove large numbers of people.

The Palestinians have nowhere else to go. If Israel wants their land, they need to take the Palestinians too. Does that mean apartheid or something in Israel? Perhaps it does. They also had apartheid in South Africa, once upon a time, but I am not sure it would come to that.

I don't think Israel truly wants the Territories. It would threaten the Jewish majority. What allows the Israelis to take more land is the wars that push people out of it and in that sense, the Palestinians are playing into the hands of either Israel or their "benefactors" in Iran or the Arab countries, who are more interested in attacking Israel by proxy to maintain the popularity of their own regimes.

I don't suggest that the Palestinians leave, although I wouldn't personally stay, but all they have to do is not go anywhere. They just need to stop indiscriminate civilian attacks. They can take defensive actions inside their borders, just stop the civilian attacks. The world will tire quickly of the Israeli army and air force mowing down people who are truly only defending themselves, if that even happens.

Comment: Re:Here we go... (Score 1) 454

by tnk1 (#47511981) Attached to: MIT's Ted Postol Presents More Evidence On Iron Dome Failures

Note, I did not say that fighting to defend yourself in an invasion was the wrong thing to do. Of course people freshly invaded would have a right to fight back, and should fight to deter invaders.

This is about what the situation is after decades of war and failure. The invasion is over, the land is gone, the Israelis are going nowhere. Indeed, the Israelis have nowhere else to go. There's nowhere to send them back to, even if they were willing.

There is a generation, even two or three on both sides, that probably doesn't even remember Palestine before Israel and who has never lived in any other place. What made sense as demands even twenty years ago is starting to become worse than pointless. The youth of Palestine are being held down by the struggle of their forebears.

The fact is that people have been invaded and won, or lost, since time immemorial. The only time it ever gets any better for those who have lost is when they find another way other than constant conflict. As I said before, the Palestinian militants are puppets of those who want to antagonize Israel, Palestinians themselves will gain nothing from it other than poverty and death. They may try and take some Jews down with them, but what good is that to anyone?

Comment: Re:Here we go... (Score 3, Insightful) 454

by tnk1 (#47506015) Attached to: MIT's Ted Postol Presents More Evidence On Iron Dome Failures

As long as they keep firing rockets at people, using their own people as human shields, they might as well let Israel block humanitarian aid, because humanitarian aid isn't going to get through anyway.

What happens is that some of the stuff you mention will likely happen. No one is suggesting that the Israelis are saints here. It will take time for a peaceful solution to turn the tide. Is that worse than not only death, but decades of deaths that have been completely ineffectual?

The realization needs to be made that there will never be improvement while Hamas is shooting rockets at Israeli civilians. It is simply PR cover for hardliner Israeli politicians to keep circling the wagons.

You need a peaceful Israel that feels safe enough to not have to circle those wagons for them to purge the extremist elements that they can't quite get rid of now.

Palestine as a current state is the worst kind of place carved out of completely impractical considerations. It's a failed state before it even had a chance to succeed. It needs peace more than it needs anything else to even have a chance.

Hamas, is more like a gang that thrives from exploiting the misery and anger of its people more than it is an organization for freeing them. If Hamas was serious about protecting its people, it would unilaterally stop the rocket attacks and only use defensive measures, even if ineffectual. They *know* that the rocket attacks won't stop the Israeli reprisals, its just that they can only seem to respond to any crisis with violence, possibly because it is the only way they can maintain the backing of their supporters.

There is no war to be won here. Just constant bombing into the distant future. The Palestinians can't conquer their ground back, and the Israelis won't budge unless the Palestinians stop pretending that it is still 1949 and they have addresses in what is now Israel. The Israelis grabbed that land by right of conquest, and then defended it against all comers, pretty much like every conqueror before them. Israel is there to stay, and Palestine is a shithole that will only improve if they stop pretending and get on with their future.

This isn't the fair way for them to move forward, it's merely the only way they will move forward. Peace, even if unilateral, is the best option for the Palestinians as a people.

Comment: Re:let me correct that for you. (Score 4, Insightful) 613

by tnk1 (#47505939) Attached to: Experiment Shows People Exposed To East German Socialism Cheat More

Communism is State Socialism. It should be wrong to say that it is the only socialism out there, but it is definitely socialism.

I admit that I don't know why they said it was "socialism" vs. "capitalism". Granted, the West had capitalism involved, but there was definitely some form of socialism in Western Europe too.

Perhaps the real difference was an authoritarian vs. a democratic upbringing. In authoritarian states of all stripe, people might be inclined to try and fight or deal with the system the only way they could.... by cheating it.

To tell the truth, I think Communism itself was a flawed system, specifically because it set up the groundwork for revolutionary tyranny based on wishful thinking, followed by Leninism which set the groundwork for state tyranny enshrined in a Party that ruled a state that never quite got around to withering away. The fact that an authoritarian system developed from that is no surprise, but I don't know that such a state is the only possible result of the other forms of socialism.

Comment: Re:Here we go... (Score 5, Insightful) 454

by tnk1 (#47505839) Attached to: MIT's Ted Postol Presents More Evidence On Iron Dome Failures

As much as I have sympathy for the Palestinians, their land is gone and it isn't coming back, no more than the Roman Empire is going to rise again and reclaim Palestine as a province for the Romans.

Is it fair that the land has left the hands of the Palestinians? Probably not. Did it happen? Yes. Will they ever get it back? Not in any meaningful way.

For their own sake, it is time to move on. If their answer is getting their own civilians killed, I'd think even unconditional surrender and exile would be preferable to any group that is actually concerned about their civilian population.

The Israelis are there. They aren't going anywhere, and they don't like the rhetoric that has been thrown at them about being cast into the sea. They remember genocide, and they aren't going back to Diaspora. The rocket attacks on the cities will only increase the resolve of a people who have the history that the Jews have.

Peaceful protest does work, probably better on a country that is a democracy like Israel than a war ever would. We've seen it work elsewhere. Israel can hold a hard line while rockets are shooting at their cities, but they cannot hide behind that excuse if the rockets stop falling. Violence has failed the Palestinians and their Arab allies for 70 years, and that isn't going to change now.

The time for what is "just" is over. It is now time to do what it takes to improve the future for everyone in Palestine. The bombs and rockets need to stop falling, and someone has to do it first. I think the Palestinians would have the most advantage from ending the struggle and adopting a policy that might actually net them more gains and fewer deaths of their own people. If Israel persists in extremist settlements and reprisals when there is nothing to reprise against, they will lose the support of their allies, and they need their allies. Painful as it would be, there is no military option for Palestine worth considering and so those actions should be set aside.

Comment: Re:even more rough edges (Score 2) 132

by tnk1 (#47385331) Attached to: Damian Conway On Perl 6 and the Philosophy of Programming

I honestly fear it may already be too late for perl6.

Let's just look at this like any other software development project. Perl 6 may well be heads and tails above Perl 5, or even other languages, but it has seriously lost momentum to other languages.

It is good to have a roadmap, and good to change, but they should have settled on like the top 5 features that they really wanted, come up with a solution for it, and released it. At this point, they're just in a cycle of taking so long that the innovation curve is out pacing their development curve and they keep holding back.

Perhaps they became oversensitive to the criticism that perl wasn't cutting edge enough and so tried to chase some line of purity that would shut everyone up forever, but it has turned it into a death march. Personally, just a few improvements like ditching the sigils and some performance enchancements would have been worth a major version upgrade to me.

Perl is still relevant only because of the code that already exists in it, and the people who know it. The longer they take to end the uncertainty of perl6, the more people will become comfortable with other languages which are new or have moved on, and the less code there will be in perl, relative to other projects.

I like perl and I have been waiting for Perl 6 to take off, but at this point, I don't know what I would do with it other than piss off people who are using ruby or python or something else to so sysadmin/DevOps work. If I have to learn to be as good at ruby or python as I am with perl, I'm not going to bother with perl any more.

Comment: Re:Lets all take a step back to appreciate this: (Score 4, Funny) 100

by tnk1 (#47161363) Attached to: Protecting Our Brains From Datamining

Edward Snowden will shortly be releasing transcripts of this too. Here's one example:




I'm not worried. I'm already aware of what most 15 year old boys are thinking about, we don't need the NSA for that.

Comment: Re:Increasingly common? (Score 4, Interesting) 100

by tnk1 (#47161321) Attached to: Protecting Our Brains From Datamining

I agree, to an extent. These devices are hardly going to read minds in the sense of providing all of that detail.

However, whatever they lose in quality (of resolution), they may make up for in quantity. A poor quality device may still be able to provide some useful data points when applied to a larger group of people. Put some branding or situations inside a game, monitor for coarse grained interest or emotion, and you might have something useful to marketers or game designers. Or not.

When things like this start approaching mass markets, people start thinking of other uses for the data. Working in a field where people are spending good money trying to vacuum up all the data on the Internet, even shitty Facebook posts, I see first hand how people get excited over any new data point. Most of it is crap, but there's some gold in there, for sure.

Click-bait, but still interesting to consider.

Comment: Re:Actually RTFA (Score 1) 40

by tnk1 (#47161211) Attached to: Bill Blunden's Rejected DEF CON Presentation Posted Online

This. He takes one person't inflated statement about hacking being the biggest economic issue out there and instead of stating matter of factly that the banking crisis probably flushed more money, he went off on a rant. If he'd have kept it to one slide, he could have probably garnered a better response with that one slide showing a pie chart or a bar graph showing the vast difference between the monetary losses, stayed silent a moment, and then given the crowd a significant look and moved on. Everyone would have understood what he was saying. Instead, rant crescendo-ing into Bilderberger conspiracy theory. Ugh.

Otherwise, some interesting points about China, although I'm not sure if he was saying that China was better off under Mao, or just less dangerous.

Comment: Re:Lie-fest from the NSA (Score 1) 504

by tnk1 (#45709943) Attached to: CBS 60 Minutes: NSA Speaks Out On Snowden, Spying

They're asserting that they *don't* track everything. Metadata is important, but you're not going to roll up a plot hatched by previously unknown participants with it, there's not enough information for that. The metadata can provide connections between known terrorist operatives and previously unknown individuals, however. When those connections are established, then they obtain warrants for wiretap/content.

Point being, everyone is suggesting that they are operating a panopticon except for the NSA itself. And now you're suggesting that they have failed to stop domestic plots by using capabilities that they don't even admit to having. Next, someone is going to ask why the NSA hasn't proactively stopped all crime based on their omniscience.

Comment: Re:Islam (Score 1) 169

by tnk1 (#45708073) Attached to: France Broadens Surveillance Powers; Wider Scope Than NSA

Don't mistake being regularly "religious" for being a candidate for terrorism. Most of these "jihadis" become full-on religious only fairly late in the process. I'm less worried about the regular mosque-goers than I am about fairly recent converts or the kids brought up Islamic, but who didn't care about it until they were lured in by extremist recruiters. The more you are educated about a particular religion, the less chance they can pull the wool over your eyes with their radicalized version of that religion.

Comment: Re:Islam (Score 1) 169

by tnk1 (#45704117) Attached to: France Broadens Surveillance Powers; Wider Scope Than NSA

Is anyone actually being held back by this, though? The fact that you might be a crack addict who sleeps with interns while hanging out with crime lords is something that can easily be found out by the news media anyway. If you are that sort of person to begin with, perhaps you shouldn't be in government.

What information is the NSA going to provide that is going to cause problems for legitimately non-criminal candidates? You don't need the NSA to frame someone.

Comment: Re:Lie-fest from the NSA (Score 0) 504

by tnk1 (#45703909) Attached to: CBS 60 Minutes: NSA Speaks Out On Snowden, Spying

So your assertion is that terrorist plots that originated in the US were not stopped by the NSA, who themselves assert that they do not track domestic traffic expect maybe metadata, so we are no more safe?

Your beef is with the FBI, not the NSA. The NSA, like the other intelligence agencies, is only collecting data, usually for foreign initiated situations. The metadata that they collect is not supposed to be for domestic consumption unless some law enforcement agency like the FBI requests it.

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