Forgot your password?
typodupeerror

Comment: Re:The meaning of random (Score 1) 654

by thethibs (#34977422) Attached to: Greenland Ice Sheet Melts At Record Rate In 2010

I've spent a lot of a long career building models that fit real-world measurements and have predictive power.

I would never be so dim as to call that doing science. Prediction is not explanation.

As to your item 3: AGW hasn't been falsified because it's not falsifiable, nor has any climate model demonstrated predictive power. It's astonishing how few climate scientists betray any understanding of chaos.

I'll stick with the equally-valid theory that the past is an indicator of the future, that the current warming trend is normal in the scheme of things, and that it should get quite warm in the next few hundred years.

Comment: Re:The meaning of random (Score 1, Interesting) 654

by thethibs (#34968888) Attached to: Greenland Ice Sheet Melts At Record Rate In 2010

30 years is too short a period to be drawing conclusions. Looking at all of the current interglacial--back 10,000 years--makes more sense: http://smpro.ca/crunch/GISP2Civil.png

On that scale, these guys' record years are chump change. If the Mann Hockey Stick is an indicator that we're leaving the current cold spell and going back to normal temperatures, we can expect lots of "record years" for the next 200-500 years before it turns around again.

Having walked my dogs in -20C weather this morning, it can't get warmer fast enough.

Comment: Re:My psychic prediction (Score 1) 465

by thethibs (#34960198) Attached to: Open Source More Expensive Says MS Report

they just use computers for resource allocation, scheduling, and billing and other accounting.

And the tools they use to do this are standards for the industry they're in, and they come from trade associations and accounting firms as Excel spreadsheets and Access databases. The firm that installed my furnace and water heater did it according to a dimensioned and commented Visio diagram they prepared laying out the equipment, wiring, gas piping and plumbing changes.

Where there's business, there's Windows.

Comment: Re:Why? (Score 1) 149

by thethibs (#34947946) Attached to: Starbucks Gets Mobile Payment System

I have a dim memory of a study indicating a genetic base for this.

For some people, Arabica tastes like dishwater; that's not hyperbole, it really tastes like soapy water. The more Robusta in my coffee, the better I like it. I also prefer Merlot to Chablis and have a taste for really hot, clear your sinuses, spices.

It's anecdotal, but among my friends and family, everyone's with or against the lot.

Comment: Re:80% due to human error? (Score 1) 345

by thethibs (#34938574) Attached to: Road Train Completes First Trials In Sweden

I cant say for sure, but for me its 100%.

This being slashdot, it's astounding that you think that's relevant. I'd have thought that, even at a low-ranked school, basic stats would be part of CS.

If anything, you've demonstrated that not all moving mechanical failures result in accidents, which weakens your case.

Comment: Re:My psychic prediction (Score 1) 465

by thethibs (#34934574) Attached to: Open Source More Expensive Says MS Report

You must work in a dull environment. My clients expect to be able to click on a graphic or table and edit or comment on it in place.

Embedding is a great labor saving device--the people where you work must just not know about it, because it's the lazy thing to do.

The only time I put dead cells or bitmaps (actually Windows Metafile is best for a whole bunch of reasons) is when I can't depend on the audience having the apps. In that case I usually put to pdf anyway.

Comment: Re:My psychic prediction (Score 1) 465

by thethibs (#34930132) Attached to: Open Source More Expensive Says MS Report

The problem with your solution is that your customers will expect to see Word documents with embedded Visio graphics and embedded Excel tables.

They'll expect tools that work as add-ins to Excel and Access, written in VBA.

If you're doing projects, they'll want the plan prepared in MS Project.

Your NEW company doesn't exist in a vacuum.

Is your job running? You'd better go catch it!

Working...