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Comment Re:Its not the actual bomb, its the threat (Score 1) 256

That's a lot of guesswork coupled with a bad assumption.

Nuclear fallout from an airburst is greatly reduced compared to a groundburst. The idea that they'd horribly contaminate lots of China is completely incorrect. Consider there's a huge mall a few blocks from where the Hiroshima bomb was dropped. It's a thriving city. Lots of people live there.

There's also an enormous risk with NOT retaliating. You effectively remove your nuclear deterrent but showing the world it's possible to use a nuclear weapon without an immediate retaliation in kind. I'd say this is a bigger risk than blasting anything worthwhile in NK into ash and dealing with China's bitching...

Which really... If a major US city just got hit with a nuclear bomb, no one is going to give a damn about china crying about some minor fallout while the US dealt with 1M+ casualties and fallout of it's own.

I'd say about the ONLY conceivable option to avoid a retaliatory strike would be the immediate, complete, and total surrender by NK.

Comment Re:Let's get real (Score 1) 256

About 200 pounds to orbit which, if memory serves, would be a higher trajectory than you want/need for attacking with an ICMB. Thus, I expect you could substantially increase that by going suborbital.

They're unlikely to have the tech but 200 pounds is in the neighborhood for a semi-modern reentry vehicle (the W76 at 100kT yield is 376 pounds, manufactured starting in 1978).

Unlikely they're there yet but that tech is 40 years old and they have a lot of advantages that didn't exist in the 70's during the original development.

Comment Re:Let's get real (Score 1) 256

Yep, just enough chance. A 1% chance that a major west coast city would be hit with a nuclear bomb is more than sufficient. Considering that LA individually has a GDP ~50x higher than all of DPRK the risk/return is staggering.

The reason it's newsworth but not war-worthy is they're liquid fueled rockets. Front standby, the launch cycle for a modern liquid fueled rocket is on the order of days, while solid rocket launch cycle is a matter of minutes.

You can bet there's plenty of attention being paid. If they pair a potential nuclear weapon with a "peaceful satellite launch platform" we'll have a cruise missile on target as soon before they're even close to a launch. If they start developing solid rockets in bunkers similar to the minuteman nuclear platforms in the can bet they will be on the receiving end of some high explosives.

Comment Re:1-in-64 odds... (Score 1) 634

But...isn't that what we're supposed to do? Read one fluff news story (and in this case 'story' fits well) and jump to immediate conclusions?

When did we ever do any fact checking?

I mean, who even reads TFA these days?

Heck, people can't even read the comments to realize that 6 identical flips are 1-in-32 odds :)

Comment Re:1-in-64 odds... (Score 1) 634

Please...the newspapers (or collectively media) are so incredibly biased ... and people are so uneducated about our own election process it boggles the mind.

Hilary "won" by a hair. If this was the superbowl then sure, declare victor and hand out rings.

It's not though.

Instead, she got 23 delegates to Bernie's 21. All of which is counted towards the overall total, of which there are 4714. Hilary has (drumroll...) 0.04% more of the total delegates than Bernie. BFD

It's like claiming a 100% increase in sales because you sold two bananas instead of one. I know Iowa is typically used as an indicator ... and it'll certainly go a long way to follow theory that when the media is already using words like winner while the difference between candidates is extraordinarily small.

Comment Re:Good! (Score 4, Interesting) 339

He's mad that out of 3000 (or was it 5000) people he was #1344 in line to test drive.

Boo hoo. That means you're still ahead of at least half of the people. Sure, 1000+ people aren't going to get to test drive a car in one night...we get that. Why exactly does he feel that entitled and special that, of all the other thousands of people who put down a deposit, he should be a priority?

I'd bet he is (well, was) the 1344th person to put a deposit on the X.

Folks like to use privilege and entitlement as dirty words these days...well THIS is a PERFECT example. Some peoples business is not worth taking, case and point.

Comment Re:FTDI is malware (Score 2) 268

this is why all the arduinos (nanos and other shield style boards) are moving away from ftdi and onto ch340, pl2303 (not great) or other usb/serial chips.

ch340 has been fine for me, so far. no driver problems, and so far not caring about fakes vs real ones (if there is such a thing for ch340).

ftdi can go fuck themselves. I think I need to send more notices to my corp (who does arduino stuff; at least in some groups) and we should stop patronizing ftdi.

Comment Too late. Way too late. (Score 1) 246

26 years ago, I was 12 years old, sitting with my 9 year-old sister, on the carpet of our parents' bedroom, watching tvision via UHF -- how's that for dating myself?

A commercial came on, for what I do not recall, and as with nearly ALL commercials back then, it ended with a big giant telephone number. But unlike most, it had a small domain name beneath. I turned to my baby-sister and said "look sis', one day that domain name will be bigger than the telephone number".

A year later, I had started my web development business. Today, I'm happy, successful, completely self-taught, and all is good.

Obama's way too late. If school children today begin to learn to program, in twenty years from now, they'll be the perfect blue-collar drones that pick tomatoes today.

So you live in a country that's immigrating vast numbers of people from china and india, and you want to focus your children on programming 26 years too late.

Instead, why not notice that your country was built on manufacturing, and now you've got no one left to do the "unskilled" jobs, you know, the ones that no one knows how to do anymore. Like the brick-laying, that is probably the highest-paying job in the whole of the U.S.A. -- considering education costs of course. I think you're paying $80/hour for brick laying these days?

Comment I'll go the other way here, spearphishing (Score 3, Insightful) 244

In the past, spam was mass-flung with no real power. Filtering it was a relatively easy task, with an acceptable false positive rate and an even more acceptable false negative rate.

Today, while those spams still exist, between e-mail client junk folders and greylisting, the mass-flung spam is little more than an annoyance -- it doesn't have any real negative effect in term of dollars. Virus scanners catch those attachments pretty well too.

But now we have spear phishing -- real-world big-business, hand-crafted, artisan spamming. No spam filter is ever able to catch any of those. And they do real damage creating real monetary losses for big and small business alike.

So if your spam filtering business can catch the easy ones that do no real damage, and can't catch the hard ones that do the real big damage, then who's your paying market?

Comment Re: Side Impact Regulations (Score 2) 276

Oh, and the replicas are much, MUCH cheaper too.

You can buy a fully completed one that will beat the pants off almost any modern sports car for ~50K. Granted it has no roof and only seats two ... but to some that's a feature not a problem :)

I've toyed with the idea of getting a Factory 5 kit for a few years now. The lack of garage/build space in brooklyn makes it a bit less practical though.

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