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Comment: Re:Every week there's a new explanation of the hia (Score 1) 363

by superwiz (#47733509) Attached to: Cause of Global Warming 'Hiatus' Found Deep In the Atlantic

Now, if some scientist comes up with something that overthrows a major part of a field of science, that scientist is going to be famous, so there's a big incentive to refute AGW if possible.

This idiotic sophism has been so often refuted, that any attempt to do so again seems futile. In fact, if I were in a fouler mood, it would elicit the well-deserve soup of expletives in your direction. But hey, I am not there yet.

So once again, any self-selected group cannot be considered honest if they are not open to criticism or introspection from outside experts. The AGW camp is just such a group. If you are one of them, you are a "peer". If you are a renowned world-expert on a subject on which these "peers" make statements, but you yourself are not an expert on their entire subject, when you ask questions on the field of your expertise, they brand you a denier, bring out the tar and feathers and drag your name through the mud. So not only are they not open to any outside criticism, they, under the threat of destroying people's careers, actively discourage any outside experts from questioning their "findings."

This is a classic http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/N... type of logical fallacy.

I am glad we've covered that so that the next rabid dog foaming at the mouth, because his favorite politicians or celebrities told him to support AGW, can repeat this fallacy again.

Comment: Re:Every week there's a new explanation of the hia (Score 1) 363

by superwiz (#47733465) Attached to: Cause of Global Warming 'Hiatus' Found Deep In the Atlantic

Something like 97% of peer-reviewed papers agree with AGW, which suggests that 3% don't, so any scientists in the field who disagree can still publish.

3%? As in outside of, what is it, 2.2 sigma? That sounds like a statistical error that is to be expected in any self-selection group.

Comment: Re:Every week there's a new explanation of the hia (Score 3, Insightful) 363

by superwiz (#47729255) Attached to: Cause of Global Warming 'Hiatus' Found Deep In the Atlantic
The moment someone asks for "peer-reviewed" rebuttal is the moment I know they either don't know what they are talking about or they are vicious liars. You can't have "peer-review" standard in the situation in which the whole field is accused of fraud. We don't ask for peer-review of drug dealing charges by other drug dealers. In this situation the field has to stand up to a higher standard than peer-review. It has to withstand the critical review. The field is accused of being incestuous (in the sense of being self-selecting by rejecting everyone who is not a fawning supporter). This self-selecting membership makes peer-review irrelevant. You get to pick your peers. You don't get to pick who is qualified to be your critics.

Comment: Re:next... (Score 1) 167

by superwiz (#47588085) Attached to: Law Repressing Social Media, Bloggers Now In Effect In Russia
You should end with QED. Oh, wait, Q.E.D. Just as, I am sure, you always punctuate your dates as "B.C." because "BC" would be lame. Yes, the difference between the two parties is not as stark as the difference between US and other countries. But the subtle difference is what makes THE difference. And yes, the extreme pro-Communist, pro-Slavery, anti-human position that is held by the modern Democratic party is too extreme for my tastes. I am very, very well-educated and supremely well-informed. Ie, you lose.

Comment: Re:So much unnecessary trouble (Score 1) 582

by superwiz (#47573403) Attached to: Satellite Images Show Russians Shelling Ukraine
Because Hitler was maniacal and Putin is calculated. Just because Putin is able to read Mein Kampf in the original German, doesn't mean he would buy into it. Yes, Georgia was his Czechoslovakia and Ukraine would be his Austria. But the path to military domination is always a disaster. Putin is too much of a student of History not to realize it. He accumulated too much power too fast. Which means that the people with whom he has to share it (in order to maintain it) have not been people whom he could carefully select and vet. Enough of them have their own ambitions and enough of them are simply power hungry. I am a little disturbed, by the way, that you think that the terrorist organization that the Strelkov is running is not getting enough support. Why would you want Russia to be a terrorist state? What's the point? There is nothing to be gained in a military conquest of Ukraine that could not have been gained by simply opening the borders. The only people who benefit in this military aggression is the top military brass itself. They would reassert their relevance. But Russia itself would obviously lose. On a path to war, the test of a leader is his ability to avoid bloodshed -- not his ability to secure a victory.

Comment: Re:So much unnecessary trouble (Score 1) 582

by superwiz (#47571487) Attached to: Satellite Images Show Russians Shelling Ukraine

Thing is, I don't think the people who run the country believe in all this crap.

Obviously not. But the fact that this is being peddled is a clear indication that the momentum is still building up for the war. They are dreaming though if they think that the resentment will pass. If, by some miracle (Putin resigning in disgrace, for example), a war doesn't happen, you are looking at 15-20 years of future resentment. If Russia actually goes through with the lunacy of invasion, no amount of purges will help. Ukraine will treat Russia in very much the same way that Poland treats Russia. Someone else said it in the thread, and I would tend to agree. The fact that the hostilities are happening is a clear indication that Putin has already lost much of his power.

Comment: Re:So much unnecessary trouble (Score 1) 582

by superwiz (#47565171) Attached to: Satellite Images Show Russians Shelling Ukraine
But you have to admit that Ukrainians fit into this model much more than any other ethnic group. And it does buttress the "base" of this "core". The current conflict, however, will not likely to be forgotten easily. This will resonate and will create a level of resentment not dissimilar to the resentment that Poles have towards Russia. Turning 50 million friends into 50 million enemies would be a gigantic failure of policy for any regime.

Comment: Re:So much unnecessary trouble (Score 1) 582

by superwiz (#47561359) Attached to: Satellite Images Show Russians Shelling Ukraine
The Cental Asian immigrants don't fit into the whole pan-slavic mythology around which the regime is trying to base its identity. And they are not looking for just a work force. Because people don't start families in their 20s, but rather in their 30s, they have a demographic gap in a crucial age group. They are looking for members of society who can be easily integrated rather than who will remain outsiders for generations to come.

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