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Comment: Re:Fukushima run by idiots... (Score 1) 166

by rwv (#48794005) Attached to: Nuclear Waste Accident Costs Los Alamos Contractor $57 Million

Efficiencies are a major issue with Wind and Solar. I did a back-of-the-envelope calculation a few years ago for powering the state of New Jersey with Solar and estimated that the size of the Solar Panel arrays for this implementation would be approximately the size of the entire state of New Jersey. It could be that solar is 5-10x more efficient than they were at the time I did my guesstimate, but even at those levels Solar doesn't scale like that.

FYI... I recall reading at the time that nuclear powers 4,000 MW in NJ and accounts for 50% of NJs power consumption at the time. So I scaled up the Length X Width of a solar panel that could deliver 8,000 MW and came up with something like 50 miles by 180 miles. I provide no warranty about this memory of the data... but encourage anybody to correct me if I'm wrong.

Comment: Re:Why the overreaction? (Score 1) 166

by rwv (#48793755) Attached to: Nuclear Waste Accident Costs Los Alamos Contractor $57 Million

I had the opportunity to hear Nancy speak a few years ago. Something that resonated with me that she said was that errors/accidents (mostly?) occur because people/systems with imperfect information make reasonable (but bad) assumptions... so the only truly "safe/reliable" system is the one where perfect information is being given to the feedback loops to the people/systems who are making operational decisions (obviously not possible for complex, new systems).

Comment: Re:Easy to follow rules. (Score 1) 155

by rwv (#48707699) Attached to: Designing the Best Board Game

Chess has the maximum amount of rules for a game.

As in... unique movement mechanics with few exceptions for 6 different types of pieces and no more than 16 different objects in play for each player at a time? Honestly I think chess is the best example of "simple rules, tough to master" but I must disagree that it has the "maximum amount of rules for a game".

There are games that are far more complicated than chess that are still great. I would submit "Magic: The Gathering" as an example. But really, if you take the time... there aren't too many popular games that are "too complicated".

Comment: Fight Crime... but (Score 3, Funny) 307

by rwv (#48370669) Attached to: I'm most interested in robots that will...
I would have picked "Automate basic jobs" except for the added caveat "so I don't have to talk to humans". Why the fuck would I be bothered to get robots to do repetitive, boring, time consuming tasks if I wanted to spend less time talking to other people? I want to get robots doing the boring, trivial stuff so that I have MORE TIME to spend talking to other humans. Where the heck is that option?

Comment: Re:I appreciate you not labeling yourself (Score 1) 551

by rwv (#48304745) Attached to: In this year's US mid-term elections ...
I picked the top option, though I identify as Independent. It wouldn't take much for a Republican to get my vote... but with the majority of candidates spending most of there campaign dollars on mudslinging I'm not likely going to be changing how I vote anytime soon. To clarify -- I agree with the parent about being in favor of smaller government unless the cuts that get made end up hurting the middle and poorer classes. And I'm in favor of government regulation of businesses that are seen as abusing their customer base with monopoly practices (i.e. Internet/Cable/Telecom).

Comment: Re:Not really true AI we should be worried about. (Score 1) 583

by rwv (#48245659) Attached to: Elon Musk Warns Against Unleashing Artificial Intelligence "Demon"

I'm going to jump in here because this is the sort of discussion that fascinates me. Science fiction calls this type of thought experiment world "Post-scarcity" which is a counterpoint to 1984 which was more of a regulated scarcity economy. My thought is that when the world goes "Post-scarcity" there will still be things that are scarce such as ocean-front property or awesome tickets seats to see a live performance. The things that will NOT be scarce are food, water, electricity, comfortable sleeping quarters, wireless network bandwidth, clean clothing, and advertizements on the video program platform du jour. This is by no means a correct list, but to answer the question, "what do you do when you only need 50% (or less) of the available people to actually work?" my answer would be to ensure that they have the minimum "Post-scarcity" list and that in their free time they aren't causing trouble. Since a lot of these people will cause trouble, though, the alternatives are to stick them in jail or make some kind of fulfilling occupation available to them. So yeah, certain jobs that robots replaced humans would revert back to the humans. The economics basically becomes a muddle at this point.

"If all those things could be provided to me without working, I wouldn't work." There is a degree of leisure activities that becomes available if you stop working. You'd have time to do more things in your newly found spare time - some free like running outside - some not free like playing a round of golf. So if you wanted to golf, you'd still need to work (i.e. earn money) so that you can trade with the golf course to reserve your tee-time (this example works because I think there can never be a high enough supply of golf courses to meet the demand is playing a round is free and people have infinite free time).

"If you make it too low, they will be unable to survive." I think the greatest threat is making it so low that they organize, rebel, and destroy the companies who shifted from human labor to robot labor. It is tough for me to imagine a scenario is a 1st world country where technological advancement leads to people who are displaced gracefully exiting the human race.

Comment: Re:Can we stop trying to come up with a reason? (Score 1) 786

by rwv (#48199043) Attached to: NPR: '80s Ads Are Responsible For the Lack of Women Coders
I can't tell from your message tone if you think fewer women in CS is a problem that should be solved or if you think it is ingrained in human nature for men to be to majority of CS workers. I feel like it is on the human nature side of things, but mainly I just wanted to post this link which illustrates Female/Male occupation splits by percentage and shows CS somewhere in the middle of occupations that are male dominated.

Comment: Re:Space Loonies (Score 1) 219

by rwv (#48149353) Attached to: When will the first successful manned Mars mission happen?

Money is basically created out of nothing.

The emphasis you putting on being crushed by debt is in discord with this other statement that you made. Allocation of resources - including the time of scientists and the hundreds of thousands of acres in the Midwest - can cause to new resources to be made available or it can backfire. I have to disagree with the general tone of your thoughts since it seems like you may believe that all of the major allocations of resources over the past decade or two in America has somehow backfired and gone up in a puff of smoke... which is not the case.

Comment: Re:I give the Chinese 30 years (Score 1) 219

by rwv (#48149197) Attached to: When will the first successful manned Mars mission happen?
I think you're right about ~30 years, but I went with the Price Is Right strategy of taking the option that is +1 more than the others and picked "Sometime after 2050" since narrowing it down to a specific 5 year interval seemed petty. I think Unsuccessful manned missions could very well happen before that, though. I think the greatest hurdle we face is blasting enough cargo into space to sustain men and women permanently on Mars (Let's face it - There and Back Again is not a winning Mars strategy at all). The temperature control systems and air-quality monitoring system alone are going to be very expensive in terms of weight since a successful Mars mission will invariably necessitate some kind of under ground biosphere enclosure.

Comment: Re:Try Kickstarting A Novel (Score 1) 215

by rwv (#47892841) Attached to: Kickstarter's Problem: You Have To Make the Game Before You Ask For Money

I'm not sure I see the point in paying any significant amount of money for eBook cover art, but to each his own. The average cover art for an eBook is going to be shown Icon Size on an eReader menu. No?

I agree editing is key and being able to pay editors frees an author to do other things. But wouldn't high editor fees equate to the equivalent of the "unpolished/lousy prototype" type project that this thread is saying shouldn't go through KS anyway?

My KS pet peeve is seeing typographic errors in project descriptions. What chance is there that the end product will be polished if the requester doesn't have sense to polish the request for money that they are putting out there?

Comment: Re:Yeah, so? (Score 1) 215

by rwv (#47892357) Attached to: Kickstarter's Problem: You Have To Make the Game Before You Ask For Money
A video game of a card game is still fundamentally a card game. A KS project to implement a video game based on a card game that already exists (whether it be published or not) is a more attractive KS than one to invent a new video game card game that only exists in the "idea phase" of the designer's head. Right?

Comment: Re:3GB extra data usage per month! (Score 1) 131

by rwv (#47824335) Attached to: Facebook Blamed For Driving Up Cellphone Bills, But It's Not Alone

An extra 3GB of data sent to a casual users ought to earn Facebook some kickbacks from cellphone providers!

So maybe that's their new business model? Deliver content, earn kickbacks? This actually seems much more lucrative than being an advertizing company since cellular phone companies have been clamping down on Monthly Allowances for the past few years.

SCCS, the source motel! Programs check in and never check out! -- Ken Thompson