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Comment Re:It's already happened; we're at $250/kWh now. (Score 1) 57

I was looking at lipo's last night. Still over 4x the cost of lead acid. I got my batteries @ ~$100/kwh. That's roughly the cost at a few places I've looked: walmart, costco, golf cart and auto repair shops. And that's with lifespan et al factored in.

I don't think what you said is true. Either you have not thought out what you posted and have not done the correct calculations, or you are just making it up. Here is an actual price comparison between lead acid batteries and Li-ion batteries. To summarize, lead acid batteries cost 0.76€ / kWh / cycle, while Li-ion batteries cost 0.42€ / kWh / cycle. That is, lead acid is 81% more expensive per kWh/cycle than Li-ion. In addition, lead acid batteries are bulky, stinky, heavy, and don't last very long. That means you will have to lug them in and out of your house with far too great a frequency, and doing so will not be fun.

Submission + - The Titanic Was Officially Found 30 Years Ago

BigBadBus writes: In the early hours of 1st September 1985, a camera package operated by a joint French-American team uncovered the wreckage of the RMS Titanic, sunk 73 years before. The leader of that portion of the expedition, Dr.Robert D.Ballard went on to great success while the French team, who did 80% of the work, have been more or less forgotten.
That expedition marked the first time that humans had seen the wreck for 7 decades — or had they? Since then, some little evidence has emerged that says the wreck was actually found at least ten years previously, but documents that would prove this are classified until 2033. What we know of the backstory can be found here which also describes Dr.Ballard's intense secrecy in 1985, how his company stood to gain from the discovery and his changing attitude towards salvage when museusm turned down his proposal to "traffic" in recovered artefacts.
Disclosure: I am the author of that article.

Comment Re:Mankind and aliens will prefer orbital colonies (Score 1) 102

Oh, and to address your "millions of times the surface area" remark - are you so sure you would want it? After all the surface is vulnerable to radiation, impact, radiant heat losses, etc. You could just as easily turn the whole planet into a honeycomb of underground colonies with ample resources available. A molten cores would be an issue, though a passive heating system might be worth the resource loss, but smaller planetoids such as the moon wouldn't offer than problem.

The primary benefits of an orbital colony are that it's more mobile than a planet, and you're not at the bottom of a substantial gravity well. I rather doubt either concern would be terribly significant to a race capable of flinging stars around.

Comment Re:Mankind and aliens will prefer orbital colonies (Score 1) 102

Sure, planets are optional - stars however are kind of appealing - massive nuclear reactors bound together by the mass of their own fuel - sufficient fuel to continue generating energy unflaggingly for hundreds of billions of years, with nothing to break down and no maintenance required.

Of course, if you're orbiting one of those long-burning dwarf stars you need to worry about the fact that they're prone to not-infrequent superflares. Might be nice to have a big chunk of mass for radiation shielding, preferably something nice and stable that would have a fair chance to survive even if your civilization collapses several times sending everyone back to nearly the stone age - I would imagine such considerations would be relevant to journeys lasting tens or hundreds of times longer than our species has existed. Planets are handy for such things, even if you live deep underground the gravity will help keep atmosphere and resources from escaping.

Comment Re:It can't. (Score 1) 102

(Some) RNA self-replicates from amino acids all the time, and is one of our current best guesses for the earliest forms of proto-life - it's can forma an amazingly versatile range of nanomachines. The question is whether it's more likely that a self-replicating strand forms spontaneously on a hospitable world or gets seeded from elsewhere. After that it's just a matter of evolution.

Comment Re:It can't. (Score 1) 102

Hitchhikers *in* asteroids, not on. I agree any on the outer surface would be unlikely to last on an interstellar journey, but an asteroid hundreds of feet across is pretty tiny really,, and offers *far* more radiation shielding than we have on the surface of the Earth - the atmosphere offers only about 10-15 feet of rock equivalent, and the magnetosphere only protects us from charged particles that wouldn't make it far through solid rock anyway.

Comment Re:Ban all NUKES NOW - accident waiting to happen (Score 1) 164

Your argument assumes we already have nuclear energy, which, by and large, we do not.

1. This means we would have to build new power stations, which assumes centralised distribution, which means building those power stations somewhere near the existing coal fired stations - because that is the way the distribution network is designed. Coal fired stations are located near sources of coal - not on sites which might be good for nuclear reactors. E.g. near rivers.

2. This means continuing to maintain and upgrade the existing distribution network, which the public are unwilling to do, because they can generate their own power on their own roof, and don't see why they should subsidize industry by paying the bill for the centralised network.

3. Nuclear power is heavily IP bound, we would have to buy technology from, for example the US or other pre-existing user of nuclear power. Again, this looks to the public like money down the drain.

4. Depending on who you are, acquiring nuclear technology can make the legacy powers (e.g. the US, UK) nervous. Who needs those guys on your back?

5. Even if you have uranium (we have in my country) you still can't just feed it into your reactor. Many reactor designs require you to have the fuel rods made overseas. Again, this looks bad. Why are we adopting a source of power that makes us reliant on overseas companies?

If one of the newer designs was (a) ready to go and (b) commercially viable and (c) open source, so you could build it yourself (d) able to take locally sourced fuel so that you don't have to ship things high and low and (e) relatively foolproof, then in manys case nuclear might be viable.

But not everywhere. There is no way nuclear is suitable for Nigeria, for example. What happens when Boko Haram gets their hands on a nuclear power site? In many places, the key to energy generation is finding ways to distribute the generation so that it generated near the site of consumption. This way, you can have, for example, community owned generating facilities.

Comment Re:Where's the Appeal? (Score 1) 102

I think it's basically that, given some fairly plausible assumptions, panspermia would make it almost inevitable that the galaxy is full of at least simple life, and probably at least some complex life as well. And a galaxy full of ife is far more exciting proposition than a field of hundreds of millions of dead rocks.

Of course at present we have no particular reason to believe such a setting is real, but it makes for a much more compelling story - and humanity is built upon it's ability to tell stories of what might be, and then try to discover, or even create, the truth. From the day one of our pre-verbal ancestors first dreamt of a rock or bone of a certain shape that would make a more effective tool and set out to find or eventually create it, to todays scientific journals describing the experiments and conclusions of our most curious minds, storytelling has been our species defining advantage

Comment Re:Mankind and aliens will prefer orbital colonies (Score 3) 102

A sufficiently advanced and adventurous colony might even redirect their host star through a series of gravitational slingshots sufficient to set in on a course to another galaxy. Sure, hurling stars around is a bit of a herculean task by our current standards, but a dwarf star isn't *that* big, and if you've got the long-term vision to consider intergalactic travel, the acceleration phase shouldn't deter you.

By the same argument though, I would advocate for terraforming other worlds in our own system, once we've determined that they don't host life of their own of course. No sense destroying such a potentially vast scientific resource for a project that will take thousands of years.

The beauty of terraforming though is that, done carefully, it may not need much human intervention at all. Just release the right mix of engineered microbes with an optimized mutation rate, and let the planet develop into a primordial "slime world" on it's own. Then, once it has a robust and thriving microbial biosphere, introduce the thin veneer of complex life that we are more familiar with. Maybe it takes thousands of years, so what? As long as it's a self-guided project we just need to get it started, and maybe give it an occasional nudge if it starts destabilizing.

Comment Re:It can't. (Score 1) 102

And even the "firing" doesn't necessarily need sapient life - the impact that flung the material that formed the moon free from the Earth probably flung some pretty large chunks of material completely free from Earth, and possibly even from the Sun. There may even now be primitive cryogenically preserved microbes in the heart of some of those planetary fragments slowly coasting across the cosmos, just waiting to impact a promising new world. If the fragments are big enough the microbes could survive reentry - a few miles of shielding should be more than sufficient, and would still represent only a relatively small fragment.

If such an impact were to happen today, there's lots of Earth life that might survive the voyage. Even relatively complex animals such as the tardigrade, which has been shown to be able to survive naked exposure to space for months on end with no apparent long-term damage, and would no doubt have a far easier time of it in the middle of a big chunk of ice and rock.

Comment Re:It can't. (Score 2) 102

Indeed, especially if kept near absolute zero within a chunk of rock and ice potentially miles across . And you don't even necessarily need spores - a single strand of RNA capable of replicating itself from naturally occurring organic molecules might be all you need to jump-start a biosphere on a new planet.

Comment Re: Obey traffic laws; offer emergency override (Score 1) 235

No, we're talking specifically about the person passing out while, or immediately after, calling 911, but before telling the car to take them to the ER. So that there's reason to believe there's a problem that can be helped by pulling the car over. You can't have cops pulling over every guy taking a nap in his car, that would get ridiculous, and be an invitation to abuse.

Comment Re:commentsubjectsaredumb (Score 1) 587

I won't make the argument that pharmacy behavior indicates a valid scientific endorsement of a drug, that would be stupid. I'm only stating that when a common "cure all" of days past has since been scientifically shown to have dramatic medicinal properties on a large number of fronts, maybe it was included on the shelves for good reason.

Comment Re:Obey traffic laws; offer emergency override (Score 1) 235

Okay, I may have been a bit confrontational there. I'm all for having the default behavior be "obey the cops" - provided there's a manual override available. Because even today there's places where the police's official advice is that if you're at all uncomfortable being pulled over - don't. Drive to the nearest police station instead.

As for a person with a medical emergency - one would hope that if they're capable of dialing 911 they can just as easily tell the car to take them to the emergency room - and that will almost certainly be faster than waiting for an ambulance to reach them, then go to the hospital. And that's a pretty contrived example, in any other case an officer is extremely unlikely to be able to tell the difference between "guy who just had a heart attack/stroke/etc" and "guy taking a nap"

Byte your tongue.