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Comment: Re:The Spin was Awesome! (Score 1) 983

by bogjobber (#43819757) Attached to: White House: Use Metric If You Want, We Don't Care
It is true that the president doesn't have nearly as much power as people think, but he does have significant amounts of power. The two most significant are the military and international diplomacy. The president has nearly universal latitude in both of those areas to do whatever he likes. What power Congress has to oppose him in these areas has essentially been forfeited slowly over the last century or so. The President couldn't start a war with the UK or anything crazy like that, but for the most part he can authorize any lower scale use of force, even large-scale military intervention like in Libya. Congress *could* block it theoretically, but in practice the President always gets what he wants, and if there's a realistic chance of that happening he can always just send in the CIA or black ops.

And there are lots of other powers the President *usually* has, although many of them have been thwarted by the Republicans under the current administration. Federal appointments, for example. Normally a very underrated and subtle use of influence, and the Republicans have used Congress to block a huge portion of Obama's appointments. But in a properly functioning government (ie one not hell-bent on opposing the executive branch) that is a huge power.

Another underrated one is the decision *not* to pursue federal prosecution, as evidence by Obama not pursuing anyone responsible for the financial crisis, or any war crimes or perjury under the previous administration, and Bush/Clinton basically giving anybody casually associated with their adminstrations a free pass to skirt federal law.

Comment: Re:Perhaps ours are too (Score 1) 248

by bogjobber (#43693193) Attached to: How Should the Law Think About Robots?
I agree with what most of what you're saying, but something can't be "highly deterministic." It either is or it isn't. It is very, very difficult to show that a system is deterministic and chaotic rather than just random, but there *is* a distinct difference between the two.

Just think of how hard it would be to prove a software random number generator is deterministic if all you have to look at is the output. Even computer algorithms like that, which are provably deterministic, observationally will still have some fluctuation in their output due to uncontrollable variables (corrupted ram, design limitations, hardware errors a la Intel floating point thing) and that's in an environment that is precisely engineered to produce such determinism. Then contrast that with all the millions of social, behavioral, and environmental factors that are throwing noise at observation of the human brain and it becomes mind-boggling very, very quickly.

Any possible proof of the determinism of the human brain would first require that we come to a complete understanding of the chemical and biological processes that control human thought in addition to how environmental and genetic factors influence those internal processes. I think this particular question will stay in the realm of philosophy rather than science for an extremely long time.

Comment: Re:On the other hand... (Score 1) 256

by bogjobber (#43692853) Attached to: Spoiler Alert: Smart Kids Become Successful Adults
You're absolutely wrong about this. We have succeeded as a society in bringing a massive caloric surplus to bear, but we have not in any way solved hunger.

It is possible to be starving while your neighbors are over fed, and indeed that is exactly what is happening. There are approximately 50 million people in the US that still deal with chronic hunger. There's a documentary out now called A Place at the Table. I highly, highly recommend that you check it out.

And you present it as an either/or, but it is possible to be both obese and malnourished. That is exactly what you find in a large percentage of the US population. If our poor are chronically malnourished because the only food they can afford makes them fat and sick, then what use is there in making the distinction between a nutrition problem and a hunger problem? In reality they are two sides of the exact same problem.

Comment: Re:wait, will wiping off help? (Score 1) 275

by bogjobber (#43619015) Attached to: Condensation On Your Beer != Good
All of those $500 wines or $500 whiskeys are aged. It's less a matter of quality and more of rarity. And for the most part, those bottles are not worth what you're paying for. If you know what you're doing you can find a $80 bottle of whiskey that tastes as good as the $500, or a $40 bottle of wine that tastes as good as the $500. Most wines don't actually benefit by aging much if at all, and unless you have an incredibly well-developed palate you probably can't taste the difference between a good wine and an excellent one.

Beer, by its nature, is more ephemeral than wine or spirits. The best beer you'll ever have is fresh from the barrel at a good brewery, not stuck in somebody's cellar for 30 years.

Comment: Re:Playing the race card again (Score 1) 1078

by bogjobber (#43617641) Attached to: Florida Teen Expelled and Arrested For Science Experiment
Hitler was nominally a socialist, but that means a different thing than you seem to think. He was certainly not a Marxist. Remember that North Korea is nominally called the Democratic People's Republic of North Korea. It doesn't mean that they are a democracy.

And Germany implemented social security and universal health care in the 1880s. Hitler wasn't even born yet. If you want to avoid the more negative connotations of the word fascist, you could call the Nazi government a militaristic autarky. That's way more closer to the truth than socialist, but the word fascist exists for a reason.

Comment: Re:We Wish (Score 1) 663

by bogjobber (#43606965) Attached to: Ask Slashdot: What If We Don't Run Out of Oil?

Gas is cheaper in inflation-adjusted dollars than when I started paying attention to it. Commodity prices are cyclical. Fearing that they will go to infinity because you've only experienced on upswing is just like fearing the oceans will all boil during the first Summer of your life.

When did you start paying attention, 1980? That's the only time in the last 40 years the prices have been similar, and that was caused by decreased supply due to the Iranian revolution, subsequent embargoes and the Iran-Iraq war. We are at similar inflation-adjusted prices now with the whole world producing at maximum capacity. Imagine how high prices would go if we completely removed Iranian and Iraqi production from the market!

And commodity prices are not always cyclical. If production can not keep up with increased demand (as has been the case with oil for over a decade now) prices will continue to rise. There aren't going to be any more dramatic increases in oil production like we saw in the 1980s and 1990s as offshore platforms and Arctic oil came into their own. We're sucking it out of every place on earth. Demand will continue to outpace production until something displaces oil.

Your guess is as good as mine when that will happen, but it certainly isn't going to be any time soon. Even if the entire world decided to switch to some other technology *tomorrow* it would still take decades to get the infrastructure in place.

Comment: Re:405 (Score 2) 431

Actually, LA does have a much more dense population than Orange County, particularly around downtown. Orange County is similar in population density to The Valley or the western parts of IE. And if you drive into downtown from other parts of LA County on the 10, 5, or 405, you'll notice the same phenomenon you described coming up from Orange County.

And I don't have any data to back it up, but I guarantee that the number of cars going into LA proper is a lot smaller than the number leaving during the morning commute. Traffic is always always easier to manage the further you get from a major city center. If you look at other cities like Chicago, Houston, Atlanta, DC you see exactly the same problems.

Comment: Re:405 (Score 4, Insightful) 431

Or maybe it's because there are 7 million more people in LA County than in Orange County?

You can't move a population of 10+ million people around every day by automobile without traffic jams. It's an impossible task. You can eke out tiny improvements, but just as quickly they are overtaken by increased usage and then you're looking at an even larger, more expensive and time-consuming upgrade to keep traffic moving . The 405 is a perfect example of this.

Auto travel does not scale efficiently and over the long term LA is going to have to significantly improve its mass transit (ie subway, light rail, street cars NOT buses) to have any chance of improving congestion. Thankfully the government understands this and is moving beyond 1950s urban planning policies.

But it's LA, and no place on earth is more beholden to the notion that a car is freedom and taking public transit is for the unwashed masses. Even when it's obvious to everyone involved that upgrading the freeway system is a huge, inefficient pain in the ass and a waste of public money you still get people like yourself clamoring that they should do *more* of it. It's absurd.

Comment: Re:A victory for the internet (Score 2) 317

by bogjobber (#43522435) Attached to: I paid attention to news of the Marathon bomb ...
Well, they were white Americans, so I guess the mainstream media was ecstatic, right?

I don't think I've seen a single in-depth article that didn't zero in on the fact that the older bother was Muslim, most going into great detail about his trip to Dagestan. There was a great discussion on the radio this morning about how immigrants from tribal Muslim cultures are particularly prone to alienation and have difficulty adapting to mainstream American culture.

But what do I know? I listen to NPR.

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