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Comment: Re: The U.N. Finds... (Score 2, Informative) 261

by aralin (#47476459) Attached to: UN Report Finds NSA Mass Surveillance Likely Violated Human Rights

Read your history, they intentionally bled their allies out of all cash to become economic super power after the war and were pissed off they even have to join in 1942 because of the damn public opinion. Even so they delayed any serious military action until 1944, when it was basically over and they just came in the prevent Russia from taking over too much of Europe and protect their own interest and get a free piece of Germany. Not such a good guys the way I see it.

Comment: Re:The goal of 1st world countries (Score 1) 401

by aralin (#47398263) Attached to: No Shortage In Tech Workers, Advocacy Groups Say

But I don't need truly original sound. I just need yet another fucking boy band. The mistake is in trying to automate originality, instead of automating for average or good enough. People think that you need to get the 100% when automating and it is not true. I'll take the 80% anytime. Because the savings are still incredible.

Comment: Re:The goal of 1st world countries (Score 1) 401

by aralin (#47398249) Attached to: No Shortage In Tech Workers, Advocacy Groups Say

Lawyer is different, it is a huge rule book with huge list of exceptions (different cases, case development, evidence). That is one of the professions that would be the hardest to automate, in general sense. But I am absolutely certain I could automate some of the DA pre-trial proceedings and since 95% of case never go to trial... I could likely get rid of at least 50% of lawyers in the long run. It is not about automating every single detail. It is about doing enough to reduce the number of jobs to minimum.

As for ad execs? If Mad Men is any sort of insight, yeah, I could automate a good number of those jobs. Probably 2 out of 3 easily. The important distinction from musicians in such creative professions is that there are many people working in those without any real talent or creativity.

Comment: Re:The goal of 1st world countries (Score 2) 401

by aralin (#47396517) Attached to: No Shortage In Tech Workers, Advocacy Groups Say

I'm sorry to say, but if I am to automate some jobs, I will probably start with the creative ones. In most creative works, those can be distilled to sequences of elements from a fairly small set (notes, words), there are reasonable constraints to limit the possible space, those rules can be deduced by a neural networks, the results can be easily tested.

If you want to keep your job, pick one with fairly simple procedure but large space of ever changing exceptions with few discernible patterns.

Comment: Re:Warp Drive (Score 1) 564

Well, there is the nasty business of EMP, then the force waves shattering the solar panels and knocking over the wind turbines, the nuclear reactors unstable, water power plants too prone to dams breaking and the coal/oil power plants running out of fuel. I think the machines will figure that out and make the correct computation.

Comment: Re:What's next (Score 1) 67

by aralin (#47387093) Attached to: Apple Hires Away TAG Heuer's VP of Global Sales

Let's assume that Apple computer costs $500 more than a PC computer, I don't think so, but that's giving you the most on the difference, Over the course of 3 years, which is the average life of a computer, you need to amortize those $500 in some sort of benefit. For me it is easy, I use a computer 60 hours a week, on PC I would accomplish the same tasks in about 62 hours. Those 2 hours a week, over 150 weeks are 300 hours I save. So for a heavy user like me, if you make more than $1.66 an hour, this is a no brainer. I make substantially more than that, but still. But even if you are a light user and use the computer 10 hours a week, and make over $10 an hour, it comes to the same decision. You don't have to be particularly wealthy or smart for Apple to make a better choice. Actually, if you are computer illiterate, Apple is by far the better choice. It comes up similar with phones. Then you start to get the synergy of the whole ecosystem, if there is Apple store nearby, you have a strong win. That's why Apple has such a strong commercial success. People eventually find out it is easier to work with and ultimately saves time and hassle.

Comment: Re:Three reasons for this behavior (Score 1) 378

Throwing stuff at politicians seems to be ineffective. In my country we had this long tradition of throwing politicians at stuff. Like the manure pile down few stories below the window. We call this tradition defenestration. No weapons involved so nothing for Dianne to rant about.

Comment: Re:Ellsberg got a fair trial (Score 4, Interesting) 519

The thing is, almost anyone in the current or previous governments is guilty of breaking the same laws that Snowden is accused of breaking. But in a world where everyone is guilty, the prosecutor is the judge. His discretion to prosecute is the ultimate judgement. If you do decide to prosecute, finding the person guilty is only a formality in our current system. Everyone is guilty. There is no discussion, it is no longer possible to live life without breaking any laws.

Comment: Re:In other parts of the world... (Score 1) 389

by aralin (#47036771) Attached to: Swedish Fare Dodgers Organize Against Transportation Authorities

If the organization of the effort is a crime, the group insurance scheme can be easily changed into individualized betting scheme. I'll bet $15 on not being caught this month on 8:1 odds. If I am caught, I get $120 to pay the fine, if I am not caught, my $15 will be lost. Or you could simply self-insure like I did. Problem solved. Now it is not organized crime anymore :)

The whole problem is that there is a very easy formula: fare - fine * chance of being caught

If this formula is positive, you pay too much in fare. But the cost of the checks to to catch fare dodgers ultimately increases the fare too much. Increasing the fine beyond a certain limit lowers the amount actually collected, because people won't be able to pay the fine, which clearly would need to be 120/15 * 180 or $1440, which is too high for anyone to pay. It is a problem that most of the public transits face and it is not easy to solve.

A lot of cities solve it by sharply reducing the fare for students, because they are the most likely demographic to cheat and to have highly reduced monthly/yearly passes. And they simply expect that for older people (>30) it is simply too embarrassing to be publicly caught, possibly in front of colleagues and business partners and the cost of the monthly pass is worth it to avoid the embarrassment.

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