nzNick writes "Yesterday we saw a story about how innovation and application development is focusing on portable devices — no secret there, and no real surprise.
Today Intel announced the end of PCI.
The question I have for slashdotters is 'When will we see the end of the PC?'
By this I mean desktop machines, and I include many of the current laptops in this. Google has said the future is Mobile — all the Telcos around the world are promoting data services and trying to get a share of the mobile data pie.
Traffic congestion in all major cities has made many companies attempt to encourage working from home — this has been hampered in the most part by poor bandwidth and a lack of truly mobile devices and applications.
Does the iPad, iPhone, Android and other mobile devices start to expose a future direction of computing?
Will we start to see applications that currently run on PC's moved to the cloud, and being accessed from more and more portable devices.
I am predicting that the sale of PC's will be 50% of current levels in 5 years, and in 10 years PCs will only be used for legacy applications.
I am not talking about specialised machines, I think we will see an explosion of very specific form factor machines such as PVRs, mini 'Home' servers for storage and gaming platforms — but the general purpose PC that is in 90% of homes and offices — I suspect we are seeing the peek of it's existence now — and we are already beginning to see the mobile revolution overtake the PC.
Do you agree?
If so — do you thing my prediction of 5 years having a 50% reduction in current sales, and being all but extinct in 10 years is correct?
What are your thoughts on this topic