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Comment: Re: Trolls are bad people (Score 1) 227

by aardvarkjoe (#47970227) Attached to: Friendly Reminder: Do Not Place Your iPhone In a Microwave

What if I dressed up as a doctor, had an air of gravitas, videoed from what looks like an ivy covered university and gave terrible terrible medical advice about Tylenol maximum dosages?

Not really the same thing, as that could cause death (or death-like symptoms).

Or if I dressed as a garage mechanic used all kinds of mechanical words and gave horrible advice such as sugar in the gas tank eliminates the squeal when you hit the brakes?

This falls under the category of life lesson. Just like the iPhone trick.

Comment: Re:Kickstarter's top projects (Score 1) 189

by sphealey (#47965407) Attached to: Kickstarter Lays Down New Rules For When a Project Fails

The first link was to top projects, which is of interest.

The second link claimed "most successful", but was listed in descending amount of dollars raised starting around $12,000,000 (million). If that's the author's definition of 'successful', great. The indie projects I back typically have budgets in the 5-10k range and about 80% of them produce a finished work. Who is to say which is more successful?


Comment: Re:Risk aversion (Score 5, Informative) 189

by sphealey (#47964813) Attached to: Kickstarter Lays Down New Rules For When a Project Fails

- - - - - why can't you get money from a bank or VC? - - - - -

Because not everything in the world is done in expectation of cash ROI? A good indie film will end up being shown at local and regional film festivals (and now, distributed as a DVD to Kickstarter backers). A _really_ good indie film will be invited to national and international film festivals - which will cost the producers money to attend (successful project with negative ROI). How does one obtain a bank loan or VC investment for such an endeavor?

People apparently think Kickstarter and the like are mini Sand Hill Roads, whereas they are much closer to you kicking in $50 to your local community art collective.


Comment: Re:honest vs dishonest failure (Score 1) 189

by sphealey (#47964307) Attached to: Kickstarter Lays Down New Rules For When a Project Fails

- - - - - - You are half way to being scammed. Little guys, indies, whatever they use to help sell you on their trustworthyness, That's part of what they are trying to sell you. Its a noble sentiment. But in investment, nobility has no place. They are there to make money, and that's it. - - - - -

It is not a well-received topic in Chicago-school microeconomics, but there are other human motivations besides desire to accumulate more personal wealth than anyone else (pure greed), and other rewards besides cash ROI. Kickstarter contributions are not "investments" in any meaningful sense and do not operate the same way that venture capital placements do. If you can't see the difference you probably shouldn't be contributing to the former or investing in the latter.


Comment: Re:Refunding my investment (Score 2) 189

by sphealey (#47964161) Attached to: Kickstarter Lays Down New Rules For When a Project Fails

- - - - - if the project fails - - - - -

If the project fails due to fraud, yes. Realistically some percentage of all speculative projects (40%-90%), whether funded through Kickstarter or not, are going to fail. That doesn't mean they or their principals were committing fraud.


Comment: Contribute for fun; accept the risk (Score 5, Insightful) 189

by sphealey (#47963875) Attached to: Kickstarter Lays Down New Rules For When a Project Fails

People should identify Kickstarter projects out of interest, enjoyment, or just a sense of fun, and contribute no more money than they would be willing to use as kindling to start a campfire. If you contribute $25 in hopes of seeing an indie film completed - great if it does, sad if it doesn't. If you contribute $100 hoping to get a new piece of hardware, don't expect anything other than some p% chance that you will ever receive that hardware or if you do it will work as dreamed. If you don't have the money to lose, don't contribute.

One innovative and clearly risky hardware project I backed has people complaining that the base product shipped 2 months later than planned (hoped) and the premium product will be 5 months late. Um, guys: it was risky. There were commercial alternatives available at 10x the price. You knew that this was an attempt to create a mini-breakthrough, but you're griping because it was 2 months late and the associated app will need some point revisions? Get real.


Comment: Re:How do you cast a flattering light on this? (Score 1) 381

It appeared from the transition forward that Mr. Obama was (and presumably is) also deeply impressed by the big-time consulting culture (McKinsey and their ilk). That inclination tends not to go too well with a need to get actual work completed.


Comment: Re:This is supposed to be the *WAY* they do their (Score 1) 381

Wow - a very large attack of hard right wing hide raters today.

Americans who purchased coverage are paying for it (payment rates running a bit higher than privately-placed insurance, so yes "they paid for it"). Americans who could not previously afford any health insurance and therefore were essentially locked out from most health care are now being subsidized at a level about 40% of all the US' G8 peers. With that subsidy they are able to obtain reasonably-priced basic medical service thus greatly enriching their lives and - it is believed by 97.3% of health care economists - lowering the overall cost of medical care to the entire nation.

Your complaint is?


Comment: Re:Only $11 million per person! (Actually $20 mill (Score 0) 381

Can't help but noticing you left the duration out of those Breitbert-ized numbers.

You also ignored the cost of what happens if we _don't_ have 12 million people in reasonably-managed health insurance plans. While people in the US with no insurance plan may not get much care during their lives they usually get pulled into the standard system in their last years and generate huge costs - which could have been managed or avoided with lifelong basic health care. And of course there is the loss of productivity to the economy when people are unable to obtain basic medical care during the productive years of their lives.

Also about 1437 other factors you left out or simply put a hard right wing glibertarian spin on.


Comment: Re:I FIND THIS HIGHLY... (Score 1) 458

by Coryoth (#47958797) Attached to: Science Has a Sexual Assault Problem

Logic is a binary function. Something is in a logical set - or it is not. Being illogical is not a synonym for being mistaken. Degrees of precision are irrelevant for set inclusion. Fuzzy logic is not logic.

Fuzzy logic is logic. So are linear logic, intuitionistic logic, temporal logic, modal logic, and categorical logic. Just because you only learned Boolean logic doesn't mean there aren't well developed consistent logics beyond that. In practice bivalent logics are the exceptions.

Adapt. Enjoy. Survive.