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Comment: Re:Final nail? (Score 5, Insightful) 398

by Rei (#43138517) Attached to: Global Warming Has Made the North Greener

That changes in CO2 levels always happen after global temps change and never before.

You're talking about Milankovitch cycles. Nobody is arguing that Milankovitch cycles are *caused* by CO2; that's a total red herring. They're *amplified* by CO2. The math doesn't work out if they're not, the cycle simply don't produce enough temperature variation without some kind of atmospheric amplification. That is to say, the sun heats up the earth a bit, and this causes more CO2 emission, which amplifies the effect several times over. The solar heating pulse comes first, followed closely by the CO2 pulse; together they reach the maximum temperature during the warm phase.

Which is actually a very disturbing thing, because it suggests that if we do something to heat our planet, the planet will multiply the effect.

Anyway, Earth already did our current CO2-dumping experiment in the past. It was called the PETM (Paleocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum) - look it up. Its the last time Earth rapidly dumped large amounts of CO2 and methane into the atmosphere in a short period of time. It changed the world so much that we give the subsequent era a different name - the Eocene.

We're now creating the Anthropocene.

Comment: Re:Final nail? (Score 1) 398

by Rei (#43138455) Attached to: Global Warming Has Made the North Greener

CO2 doesn't care what you believe about it. You are never actually going to be able to negotiate with it.

That does it, I now have a new life's goal - to build a supercooled sentient robot out of CO2 ;)

Or is CO2 someone's nickname, like a DJ or rapper or something? "CO2 don't care 'bout you!" "CO2 gonna heat y'all up!" "CO2 and Disco Stu gonna rock this house tonight!"

Comment: Re:Final nail? (Score 1) 398

by Rei (#43138423) Attached to: Global Warming Has Made the North Greener

I'm thinking about buying a mountain up here near Reykjavík (if I can get the owner to agree to sell the land without the oversized, overpriced, ugly house that was built on it in the 1980s). Our climate has been warming a lot faster than most places further south. We even have a new tallest waterfall - no joke. The retreating glaciers have revealed a new waterfall taller than Glymur. Even Snæfell (literally "snow mountain"), the eternally snow-capped peak on Reykjavík's far horizon on clear days that's never melted in its history, revealed a bare peak for the first time last summer. It's kind of a weird sight. The whole glacier is supposed to be gone in only 20-30 years. I guess they'll have to rename the chillout music festival held there every summer - "Extreme Chill: Undir Jökli" (under a glacier) - to "Extreme Chill: Undir Fjalli" (under a mountain).

Comment: Re:Why? (Score 2) 599

by Rei (#42302489) Attached to: Why <em>The Hobbit's</em> 48fps Is a Good Thing

Personally, I'd like to see the end of the concept of framerate altogether - that changes to the display image are bundled into timestamped packets which can be of any infintessimal interval. It'd impose a slight bandwidth overhead but be pretty insigifnicant if more than a few pixels were contained in each bundle.

You'd be detaching the uptake mechanism from the playback mechanism. Each device does the best it can with the hardware it has on-hand. The simpler the task it's presented with, likewise, the smoother the framerate it can provide you.

One could even go a step further and have the display hardware have smart interpolation. Each pixel or block of pixels could keep a tiny buffer of what it played recently and what it's to play in the immediate future and do a spline interpolation (which it should be able to do exceedingly rapidly), filling in the already tiny gaps between frames.

It may sound crazy, but our current insistance on sticking to frames already has some serious hardware limitations due to the fact that all pixels are generally *not* captured at the same time. Take your high-end consumer camcorder, set it on full optical zoom, highest possible framerate, and film out your window at something as close to you as you can without acceptable blur. Then step through your frames on a big screen on playback and you'll notice something interesting. Everything is bent! You'll generally find something along the lines of the top pixels captured before the bottom pixels, and so the objects that they're part of have moved partially past. The pixels near the top may belong to frame #38121, but the pixels near the bottom should really be part of frame #38121.8 or something along those lines.

There are potential workarounds, but IMHO, it's just better to scrap the concept of a discrete framerate.

Comment: Re:Chu! (Score 4, Insightful) 305

by Rei (#42151857) Attached to: DOE Wants 5X Improvement In Batteries In 5 Years

What's so ridiculous about this? There's dozens of potential battery chemistries which could do this - sodium ion, lithium air, nickel lithium, lithium sulfur, and on and on. The payoff for all fields could be incredible. Why not have an organized program to work on it? High cost, high risk, high reward - the kind of basic research that's perfect for government programs (leaving the incremental tweaking, production optimization, marketing, etc to private industry).

To give an example let's pick one field - transportation. What does "5x energy density and 1/5th the price" mean for transportation?

Current energy densities generally provide EV ranges between 100 and 250 miles. 5x - 500 to 1250 miles driving per charge. Which means a single charge provides a full day of charging. Which means that it doesn't matter how fast you can charge, so long as you can get a full charge when you sleep.

Let's go with 800 miles range. Which would be extended if you plugged in during meals and/or breaks. A car with prius-level streamlining will use about 250 watt hours per mile on the highway. That's a 125kWh pack. With 80% net wall-to-wheel efficiency, you need to provide about 156kWh. Over 8 hours, that's 20kW, or about 80A. Most new homes have in the ballpark of 200A boxes and worst case, you upgrade.

In short, these kind of batteries would entirely eliminate the main two complaint about EVs: range and charge time.

What about price? Li-ions are roughly $200 per kWh nowadays, which would make that pack. That's $25k just for your pack's cells - pretty darned pricey! Now, contrary to popular myth, these packs are generally rated for a decade or so to get down to 80% capacity, and the bigger your pack, the less you stress your cells, so they're not a high-replacement item (there's even a potential aftermarket for used packs). But that's a ton of money. However, $5k for the cells would be a *dramatic* improvement, and quite realistic when you consider how much it simplifies the rest of your vehicle.

All of this would come with a whole range of other benefits. You'd never have to go to a gas station again. Your fuel would cost a small fraction as much as gasoline. Your maintenance would be way lower. Even your brakes would wear down slower (regen). If smart grid features take off, you could make money by simply leaving your vehicle plugged in. Increasing vehicle power is comparatively very cheap versus gasoline and actually *increases* your vehicle's efficiency slightly (fatter conductors to handle the higher peaks = lower losses at under normal driving conditions). On and on and on.

Comment: Re:I really hope... (Score 1) 544

by Rei (#42051229) Attached to: What "Earth-Shaking" Discovery Has Curiosity Made on Mars?

Nope, gold isn't nearly valuable enough to justify the return costs.

Probably the most valuable things to be found on Mars, assuming there's no trace of past or present life, would be gemstone-quality minerals not for their metal content, but of structures that are rare on Earth (painite, blue garnet, red beryl, etc - 5-6 figures per gram) or nonexistant on Earth (6-7 figures per gram). Gold prices are only 2 figures per gram. Of course just the fact that something is from Mars would make it immensely valuable on its own, even just a chunk of iron oxide. The only metals that could justify their acquisition and return costs on their own are if there was a natural nuclear reactor on Mars producing and concentrating some of the "manmade", rarer nuclear isotopes. Which isn't as crazy as it sounds.
 

Comment: Re:South Park did it first! (Score 1) 610

by Rei (#41760097) Attached to: Would You Put a Tracking Device On Your Child?

Get them an Android phone, subscribe them to Google Latitude and optionally install Backitude to increase the precision and update frequency.

Odds are they'll never know it's there if you don't tell them. If you do when they're young, they probably won't care. If you do when they're moderately young but you get the parents of their friends to do the same so that they can see where their friends are, they'll probably enjoy it. And then promptly forget that their parents can see it too (akin to the fact that kids always seem to forget when their parents are friended to them on Facebook).

Comment: Re:Good one (Score 1) 1142

by Rei (#41718013) Attached to: Ask Richard Dawkins About Evolution, Religion, and Science Education

He's using God as a rhetorical device. Same as Einstein was when he said "God doesn't play dice with the universe". What, you think Einstein was saying "The beginning doesn't play dice with the universe"? He was talking about *present day* vacuum fluctuations.

Hey, want to talk Hawking? Tell me how these fit into your imaginary world where Hawking really means "The beginning" - try substituting "the beginning" for God in any of these (and remember that hawking *does* believe there was a beginning to the universe):

"What I have done is to show that it is possible for the way the universe began to be determined by the laws of science. In that case, it would not be necessary to appeal to God to decide how the universe began. This doesn't prove that there is no God, only that God is not necessary. "

"Consideration of black holes suggests, not only that God does play dice, but that he sometimes confuses us by throwing them where they can't be seen."

"We could call order by the name of God, but it would be an impersonal God. There's not much personal about the laws of physics. "

"If you like, you can call the laws of science 'God', but it wouldn't be a personal God that you could meet, and ask questions."

"There is no place for God in theories on the creation of the Universe"

"...the universe can and will create itself from nothing. It is not necessary to invoke God to light the blue touch paper and set the Universe going."

Please come back to Earth, AC.

Distress, n.: A disease incurred by exposure to the prosperity of a friend. -- Ambrose Bierce, "The Devil's Dictionary"

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