Tks. Merry Xmas to you too. And thank you for the detailed explanation of the situation there. But honestly, your dislike of the taliban aside and thinking logically- who do you think will prevail in the end ? The trillion dollar a year high tech army that is bound to bankrupt the country that sent it there or the "Allah Akbar" illiterates costing the taliban next to nothing and which also seem to get free training in the US run afghan army ?
I have no doubt that in the end the people would end up serving the strongest force that remained on the ground. The history of the roman empire and every other empire proves it. I just think Afghanistan may live up to its reputation as graveyard of empires yet again.
As to arming local militias and counting on them- nice idea. Problem is those people and their leaders might feel, just like karzai and his army that they deserve a lot more than the few dollars they're likely to get and end up just as notoriously corrupt. The only way this is not a problem is if they so completely overwhelm the taliban in numbers that competition is not an issue. Do you see any chance at getting to that point before either 1) the US decides it can no longer afford the cost; 2) Pakistan and Russia both cut your supply lines forcing an exit or 3) the US economy collapses in hyperinflation brought about by all the reckless spending and the US can't even pay to bring the troops home anymore ?