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Comment: Re:Solar is here to stay (Score 1) 533

by Maxo-Texas (#49540049) Attached to: Utilities Battle Homeowners Over Solar Power

In another 10 years, those will be actual renewable system batteries. A lot of money is going into batteries now-- prices are dropping at microprocessor like rates. And they recently found a new technology around non-rare, non-explosive elements.

I greatly prefer conservation up front over power generation on the back end however.

But batteries are improving rapidly at this point while at the same time prices are dropping rapidly.

Comment: I recommend the book "Superintelligence" (Score 1) 196

by Maxo-Texas (#49523531) Attached to: Concerns of an Artificial Intelligence Pioneer

It takes a good stab at examining the challenges and possibilities of superintelligent A.I.

Nice summary view here:
http://lesswrong.com/lw/l4h/su...

It posits three possible intelligence advance scales.

The first is self improvement over seconds.
I.e., the machine become conscious. It is able to increase it's intelligence to superhuman levels at machine speeds within a few seconds. There will be no time to react. Even air gapping the machine might not be sufficient as it may figure out new principles which allow it to bridge the air gap, figure out ways to mislead it's human owners as to it's capabilities so they enhance it further, etc.

The second is over a scale of weeks or months.
Not much time to react to it. A reliable way to cut the power should work. A nuclear safety net should definitely work. Society certainly couldn't react to it in time. There would likely be mass unemployment as it enabled human replacement within a few years for thinking jobs (and combined with robotic bodies- almost all methods of manual labor).

The last way is over a long time period. Society would have time to react. Perhaps to see and stop it if it was turning bad. Especially if it simply became the equivalent of IQ 160-300 slowly, you might be able to understand it. Later phases where it's iq reached meaningless numbers (6000... compared to it, humans would be like horses in relative intelligence).

---

The definitional problem is also there.

"Make people happy".
Okay- rig them to machines that feed them pleasure signals in the brain 24/7. Extinct.

Make people smile!
Easily obtainable with surgery.

---

There is a risk the machine will be "greedy" and basically convert the entire planet (and then the solar system) into a system for increasing it's intelligence. Humans don't play a large part in that scenario. Nothing malicious or personal about it-- not a failure of friendliness.

Comment: Re:Solar is here to stay (Score 1) 533

by Maxo-Texas (#49517697) Attached to: Utilities Battle Homeowners Over Solar Power

You are out of date.

http://cleantechnica.com/2014/...

As Jaffe noted, the $180/kWh price paid by Tesla compares to about $1500/kWh even five years ago, maybe seven years ago when it was $1200 to $1500 per kilowatt-hour. âoeSo $180 per kWh is the price of those batteries, not the manufacturing cost but the price that theyâ(TM)re paying for them,â he said.

Comment: Re:Solar is here to stay (Score 2) 533

by Maxo-Texas (#49504915) Attached to: Utilities Battle Homeowners Over Solar Power

You can drive an 18500 BTU window unit with 6 solar panels. What you need is a control box that will turn it on when power is sufficent and turn it off when power is insufficient. (even better if it can scale the cooling to available power as long as power is available).

If you cool during the day, the house stays cool and you don't have to cool it for several hours when you get home.

Battery cost has dropped by 94% in 20 years. I think that's going to be a key element. Instead of grid-tie, you just have some of your utilities on a parallel solar power system. Meanwhile, your central air unit still draws from regular power.

Say you could put a panel on your roof and a plug in your room that would provide 16 hours of 100 watt power + live power during daylight. It won't drive vacuum cleanersfor long but it will drive TV's, cable boxes, a light fixture, laptop, electric shaver, toothbrush, etc.

Comment: Re:I'm shocked, I tell you! (Score 3, Insightful) 173

Including the almost complete lack of minorities. And by the odds at least two of the characters were gays in the closet. Probably church goers too. Many of the men-- WW2 vets with PTSD were beating their wives and everyone was driving drunk. Any of the teens who were gay left for New York- and if their parents found out they were cutoff and tossed out. Some of the men-- probably Andy-- were getting some on the side since you couldn't divorce and when the wife stopped putting out (because the men knew very little about how to please women sexually) you found the town slut or snuck something with the secretary or other office girl.

The businessmen portrayed in the show were dumping pollution in the waterways so fast that a decade later, rivers would be catching on fire- necessitating another set of government intrusion.

Things were easier with a much lower population density and less ability to move around. It was a surveillance state by the sheriff and the religious community. As that population grew and became more mobile, more government intrusion was required.

I *love* the andy griffith show. But it was fiction when it was being shown. It was a pleasant ville.

Ironically, the entire show was an intrusion of government preventing tv shows from showing reality. Men and women slept in separate twin beds, never had sex addictions, never were adulterous.

The show portrays a great time to be alive if you were a successful white male in a monochrome homogenous society.

Comment: Re:That's great news! (Score 1) 517

The main issue we see (and it will cut back on males once females are dominant-- in fact I was already seeing it at my last position under a team of females) is that females will communicate in a female way (less direct, more "request" when it's really an order, go to lunch and talk business with the other females so the guys are clueless (not intentionally- just happens), and bond over new purses or clothing and so give assignment preference to other females.

Likewise, when hiring it's already been noticed in several fields that if the name and gender are obscured, then the hiring agent actually hires on abilities. If they can see the candidate, it immediately affects the percentages. Attractive people over ugly people, one gender over another gender- even "weighting" the same exact facts higher or lower value for a candidate who they know the gender and age (and attractiveness) of.

Dale Carnegie teaches that human beings make their decisions emotionally first- and then they weight the facts so their logic reaches their emotional decision. They imagine they are logical and rational when in reality nothing could be farther from the truth. Truly logical and rational people are actually rare. And ironically, the smartest people are the best at rationalization and so misleading themselves into trouble.

Comment: Re:The last 10min were excellent (Score 1) 200

by Maxo-Texas (#49423883) Attached to: Snowden Demystified: Can the Government See My Junk?

Not quibbling or sniping here.

It was actually a valid "example", not an analogy.

        aÂnalÂoÂgy
        noun: analogy; plural noun: analogies
                a comparison between two things, typically on the basis of their structure and for the purpose of explanation or clarification.
                "an analogy between the workings of nature and those of human societies"
                        a correspondence or partial similarity.
                        "the syndrome is called deep dysgraphia because of its analogy to deep dyslexia"
                        a thing that is comparable to something else in significant respects.
                        "works of art were seen as an analogy for works of nature"

The NSA really does capture and store pictures of your junk. NSA employees were capturing AND trading naked pictures of U.S. citizens.

Comment: Re:Overrated (Score 1) 200

by Maxo-Texas (#49423729) Attached to: Snowden Demystified: Can the Government See My Junk?

I think Oliver opened with some tough stuff and Snowden didn't lose his shit and was cool-headed and intelligent enough to shift gears to the tone of the interview.

I was neutral/slightly positive on Snowden before and anti-NSA/Surveillance state. I came away from the article very positive on Snowden and wish he could get a pardon. What he did was good for the country.

System going down at 1:45 this afternoon for disk crashing.

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