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Comment Re:Two reasons (Score 1) 219

I prefer FiveThirtyEight to Real Clear Politics. As they point out frequently, national polls mean little or nothing in the primary race because primary elections don't work the way polls do. The rules are also malleable right up to the moment before the actual selection takes place at the convention.

FiveThirtyEight places a great deal of weight on what it calls the Endorsement Primary. This is a points system where each endorsement of a candidate by a member of the House of Representatives is worth one point, each Senator's endorsement is worth five points, and each governor's is worth 10 points. By this scale, there are theoretically up to 1435 points to award, though members of one party are unlikely to endorse someone from another party. In any case, Clinton leads the Endorsement Primary for Democrats by 447 to Sanders's mere 2 points (and O'Malley has one point). Republicans are a much more mixed bag with Bush at 41, Rubio at 29, Christie at 25, and Huckabee at 24. Everyone else is at 15 or fewer points (Trump and Carson have zero), and only 168 points worth of endorsements have even been made among candidates still in the race, so there's still a lot of wait-and-see going on.

I expect the party will push for some of the others to drop out to make the Iowa slate a little cleaner, but Iowa and New Hampshire are worthless as predictors of the nation, doing little better than chance at predicting the actual nominee. They act as filters: if you can't make a halfway decent showing there, you're probably not going to do it elsewhere. But ultimately, the party has a great deal of control by pushing superdelegates to vote in a certain way, and even a seemingly close match-up going into the convention could turn out to be a nearly runaway victory for whomever the Establishment prefers.

Comment Re:Holy crap ... (Score 1) 219

Clinton is almost a lock. Something hugely catastrophic would need to happen for her to fail to get the nomination.

Jeb Bush is another story. He's faltering, but he may also be waiting for others to tear down Trump and Carson before trying to mount a serious comeback. Still, Rubio seems to be slowly becoming the Establishment favorite, and that counts for a lot.

Comment Re:I think this is fair. (Score 1, Offtopic) 219

Al-Qaeda affiliates and ISIS actually do fight each other. ISIS and al-Nusra Front have been at opposition for a while. Remember that ISIS came out of what was al-Qaeda in Iraq, and announced a merger with al-Nusra without discussing it with anyone else. Al-Nusra told them to get bent, AQI declared they were going ahead with it, Zawahiri told everyone to chill out, and AQI announced it was breaking from al-Qaeda. Al-Nusra has remained allied with al-Qaeda, and sometimes coordinates with the Free Syrian Army and other rebel groups, especially when fighting ISIS.

This is one of the weirdest things about ISIS: even al-Qaeda is against them, says they go too far, and thinks they're more extreme than the Quran allows. They have basically the entire world--including most terrorists--against them.

Comment Re:r u srs (Score 1) 518

There are plenty of English-language publications from media sources in the region. There are also reports from various groups that consistently paint the same picture.

The view of ISIS as "evil" isn't a twisting of the media. When you've managed to turn the entire world against you with such disparate groups as the West, Russia, and al-Qaeda essentially on the same side opposing you, it's usually a good sign you're on the wrong path.

Comment Programs using BitTorrent (Score 5, Interesting) 175

Aside from file sharing, how many programs use BitTorrent? I'm not challenging the defense here, as I also don't equate BitTorrent with piracy, especially since my main use is personal file synchronization using BitSync and downloading Linux ISOs.

I seem to recall that Blizzard's Battle.net uses it, which I suspect is a non-trivial percentage of traffic. Do any other game management systems make use of it?

Comment Re:The AMD chip (Score 3, Informative) 311

Intel doesn't want AMD to die off because that would subject its practices to monopoly scrutiny. It shares just enough patent information with AMD to allow it to trail a bit behind (in exchange for access to AMD patents, of course) and not completely collapse. The one time that AMD managed to move ahead of Intel (when the Athlon was the king of the hill), Intel pulled out all the stops to prevent it getting a solid foothold in the PC market until Intel's Core 2 Duo could come along and put Intel technologically back in the lead. AMD hasn't had the money to effectively compete since then in part because Intel ensured that its bank accounts couldn't build up too far.

Comment Re:I look forward to the ISIS publication.... (Score 1) 546

They do, but they're not remotely the threat that they used to be. The various non-KKK white power groups are more of a problem.

I despise the KKK and what they stand for, but as long as they're not using violence or threat of violence, they have the right to undertake their actions anonymously. The ACLU has sided with them several times on free speech and anonymity points. Publishing this list is a form of presumed guilt, and as others have mentioned, there's little way to prove that it's accurate.

Comment Re:Fix the real problem (Score 1) 30

The path as shown in the WG's wiki suggests the possibility of this. It provides the option for payment processing to happen on the payee side or on the payor side. Once it gets to "Send Payment Response," the payee has the option of performing processing, and if not, it goes to the payor to be processed, perhaps using a signed, token-based architecture. A payment-complete notification is then sent to the payee, completing the transaction.

This seems like it would fulfill your requirements.

Comment Re:Intel owning McAfee made as much sense as... (Score 1) 42

As a customer of some of McAfee's network security products (from the Secure Computing Corporation purchase McAfee made a bit earlier), it was explained to us that Intel wanted to try to integrate some of the security technologies into the hardware. Think of it like crypto functions that are commonly integrated into CPUs these days, but adding in AV and firewalls. I had no idea how this was supposed to work since firewalls are a hell of a lot more complex than a crypto algorithm and I said as much, and the SCC engineers didn't say anything, but shrugged and looked at me in a way that suggested they agreed with me. Within a couple of years, most of them had found new jobs outside the company despite having been with SCC for many years and sticking through the McAfee purchase.

Comment Re:Obvious solution (Score 1) 97

There are plenty of public safety arguments in favor of applying some level of control from outside of the car. Cars in a high-speed chase put anywhere from a handful to hundreds of people in danger. Suspected stolen cars and drunk drivers could be safely pulled to the side of the road. The implementations of these could vary from nearly direct control to a signal that automatically puts the car into a parking mode (external order with details handled by the car itself).

There are various tradeoffs that have to be weighed and maybe ultimately the cons outweigh the pros, but it's incorrect to say that there is no need at all.

Comment Re:This is why you call your bank before tourism (Score 1) 345

Local banks commonly have card machines in their offices. Chase operates theirs from a central location, but I've never had a replacement card take longer than two days to arrive and it's usually the next day. In the meantime, existing authorized autopayments (Verizon, virtual server, a few other things) usually go through for at least a couple of months.

Comment Re:This is why you call your bank before tourism (Score 1) 345

When I traveled to Europe a couple of years ago, the Chase card was the only one that had enough room on it to cover everything I expected to spend on during the trip. I called and asked what would happen if my card were lost or stolen, and they promised next-day delivery of a new card to any of the places I was staying (Zurich, Florence, and Venice). They also offered a temporary bump in the credit limit since I had a pending payment of several thousand dollars over a weekend that might not clear until I was actually in Europe.

There's plenty of general Chase business practices to generate complaints, but I've never had a problem with them and they've always gone out of their way to make my life easier.

Comment Re:Advice: Just cut up the card (Score 2) 345

Closing accounts can negatively affect your credit score by reducing available credit and time of oldest account (and possibly average age of accounts). If you try to maintain the same number of accounts, you also add to the number of applications, which is another negative against credit scores.

"The most important thing in a man is not what he knows, but what he is." -- Narciso Yepes