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User Journal

Journal Journal: "Emailgate" 26

I will preface all this with an honest admission that this...scandal...could derail her chance at nomination. It could even, theoretically, leave a bad enough impression on a big enough chunk of the electorate to lose her the general that far. It might. Certainly a lot of man-hours and money will be spent trying, that's for sure. Though it is nice to see Republicans finally doing something about unemployment.

But honestly, it's most likely going to blow over, and there are several solid reasons why.

1. No one gives a shit. Let's do the circuit: Leftists have 2 reasons not to care, not liking Hilary in the first place as well as considering it not an offense to have been sloppy in the handling of minor state secrets. Liberal Democrats want to woo her and conservative Democrats are her base. Independents are tricky, but this is still small cheese, so they'll vote for the person who's not going to invade the middle east and their uterus.

After that, you're left with the remaining 30% who are hoping for a Guantanamo Bay finish to this story. And they're kinda busy right now with the hands-down most interesting Republican primary in 40 years. Oh, and imminent doom, there's always imminent doom. Tends to make one want to focus. Anyway, they hate Hilary already, have done for almost a quarter century now. What are they going to do, hate her more?

2. I know the election cycle starts waaaaay earlier these days, but the shot, such as it were, was fired too damn early. It's 15 months until the election, ain't noody going to remember that shit, no matter how hard you pound the airwaves. All people are going to hear is "email". Hell, millenials barely know what email is, except that it's old and antiquated. You might as well be accusing Hilary of improper use of a horse and carriage.

3. You should have learned the lesson from Benghazi. If 9/11 and the worst implementation of a major land war in Asia cannot separate an apparatchik's head from his shoulders, what makes you think this will? Hell, what makes you think it should?

User Journal

Journal Journal: Laying out some markers 27

Set in stone:

-Clinton will be the Democratic nominee for President

-Biden will never enter the race for nomination

-Neither will Warren

-Trump will not secure the GOP nomination for President

Highly probable:

-Trump will not go third party*

-Warren as Dem VP pick

I got no fucking clue:

-GOP nominee for President

-Whether it goes to convention or not

Happy to eat crow if I'm wrong. Mainly putting this up as a sanity check for all the political media I have to consume daily.

*I got a bad feeling I'm wrong on this one, but human laziness is as powerful a force as vanity. Always bet the long game.

User Journal

Journal Journal: It's by no means exhaustive 82

https://yourlogicalfallacyis.com/
One great missing one is:

"The Man is Hiding the Stash" Fallacy
At Belmont Club, Richard Fernandez says of the Marxist Piven's philosophy:

The problem with Piven's theory is that events in Europe have shown those"âoemajor economic reform" to be unsustainable, if not actually ruinous. However, she appears to believe that the European crisis is only apparent, being the result of the Man hiding the Stash. Find that stash and things become sustainable again.

I think this fallacy deserves its own name because I think this is the central economic fallacy of leftists in general. Whether we are talking about unions, public workers, redistributionists, etc., there is always the implicit idea that somewhere there is this big pile of money that the rich business people are hoarding away like a squirrel with its winter store of nuts. Leftists tell everyone that all problems can be solved if we just use the force of the state to threaten the squirrels to give up their nuts.

User Journal

Journal Journal: Is Uncle Choo-Choo Making His Move? 18

Hitlarious "Downfall" parody clip:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?t=59&v=Prls6Iz3B3E
I still doubt that the FBI seizure of the email server is anything more than removing the scandal from public view. The only reason Archuleta at OPM was held accountable was that she had offended the People Who Matter. Plus a horde of People Who Really Only Matter In Aggregate But You'd Still Better Respect Them Or They Gonna Pout.
But could this be Joe Biden actually flexing some muscle in preparation for swooping in to run the show?
User Journal

Journal Journal: Let me get this straight 53

d_r and krustyjackwagon note that Senator Tom Cotton is in DC, and therefore is morally equivalent to everyone else there. Also, while a magna cum laude graduate of Hahvuhd, no cursory googling could turn up a transcript, so I guess Cotton's academic career is as faked as that of the No-Talent Rodeo Clown.
You guys are (a) the best, and (b) irrefutable. Keep Barabbas; chuck ol' Cotton. There is no alternative.
User Journal

Journal Journal: OK, joke's on me 10

I have no business being surprised that the usual /. suspects are
as sheepish on how stupid the Iran deal is
as they are sheepish on Planned Parenthood
as they are sheepish on anthropogenic global warming
as they are sheepish on pretty much everything else.
Sweet lambs!

Stellar rays prove fibbing never pays. Embezzlement is another matter.

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