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Comment: Re:Economics (Score 4, Interesting) 125

by Hussman32 (#49339749) Attached to: First Nuclear Power Plant Planned In Jordan

Very nice back of the envelope estimates.

If well operated, the capacity factors are about 90% or higher, and current designs are expected to last up to 60 years, so there is long term payback. Uranium enrichment and fuel costs are generally stable, but can vary given various external factors but it is still fairly competitive.

The issue is that so much capital investment is required up front over several years, many companies are hesitant to invest what would be their market capitalization in a single asset. State-owned utilities have greater capacity to take on that risk, so it's a smart move (long-term) on their part.

Comment: Re:Diffusion in cold solid solutions is slow (Score 1) 572

by Hussman32 (#49337743) Attached to: Greenpeace Co-Founder Declares Himself a Climate Change Skeptic

How can electrolyte diffusion apply to carbon dioxide through almost pure ice anyway? That doesn't seem to make any sense which is why you look very much like someone just throwing some cut and pasted words in there to sow seeds of doubt. Are you that, did you just guess and not apply anything from your background or have I missed something?

Hrm, I'm guessing you're not familiar with corrosion either, as the corrosion reaction is only one of the steps, the oxygen has to diffuse through the oxide film before it reacts with the base metal. The oxide film grows, increasing the length of the diffusion pathway, which slows the transport of oxygen (hence the desire for passivation of some surfaces). Check out problem 18B.13 of the 3rd edition of 'Transport Phenomena' by Bird Stewart and Lightfoot.

I'm sorry to break this to you man, but you are out of your league on this discussion. They may have done an analysis, and it may have been good (which is why I asked), but I'm more than certain that it could be done with greater rigor, and that is what the scientific method is all about.

Comment: Re:Diffusion in cold solid solutions is slow (Score 1) 572

by Hussman32 (#49323307) Attached to: Greenpeace Co-Founder Declares Himself a Climate Change Skeptic

I looked up what you meant by FUD, and I'm guessing it's Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt. I'll gladly accept that I'm questioning Uncertainty, but Fear and Doubt I leave to the media.

I would note that I asked the parent poster of this thread what he knew about this topic as he has apparently looked at the plant data and associated uncertainties as well as the ice-core samples; and I asked if an error analysis has been done on the ice samples, and how rigorous it would be. You jumped in with comments about helium balloons and 'fucking deniers.'

Of course I'll respect the effort to acquire the data, and I'll give it the appropriate scrutiny as suggested by the scientific method. I work in metal oxides also, and corrosion reactions to turn metal plus oxygen (oxygen being much larger than metals) into dirt are on the orders of years, not hundreds of thousands of years. So while some of your points about temperature and structure may (or may not) have merit, they are not proven and I asked someone who may know. What you're regarding as FUD, I'm regarding as business as usual.

Comment: Re:Too Big to Nail (Score 2) 120

by Hussman32 (#49313783) Attached to: FTC's Internal Memo On Google Teaches Companies a Terrible Lesson

We could fund it the same way we fund class action lawsuits: By giving the lawyers a big slice of the penalty if they win, and nothing if they lose. That way Google would end up funding their own prosecution, and no tax dollars would be needed.

I'm not sure paying the lawyers more will help anything, tort law is already the cause of more problems than it solves.

Comment: Re:This FUD angle is juvenile (Score 1) 572

by Hussman32 (#49313613) Attached to: Greenpeace Co-Founder Declares Himself a Climate Change Skeptic

I did my doctorate in electrolyte diffusion in liquid phases, so my questions will be a little more subtle, and I haven't seen them answered in IPCC publications; they are always too general in their descriptions. And yes, the temperature is very low, but it's not absolute zero so there will be movement. Other questions such as local warming periods over a year that could result in CO2 release from the surface, and many other things that can disrupt a datapoint over 300,000 years, especially when we know there have been large, long term weather heating and cooling periods and all of a sudden the mismatched data suggest we are at peak levels...there is room for questioning the data.

A scientist wouldn't just say "Oh, the concentration at depth X is here, therefore everything is true." Enough of the name calling please.

   

Comment: Re:Claims should be easily verified (Score 1) 572

by Hussman32 (#49311861) Attached to: Greenpeace Co-Founder Declares Himself a Climate Change Skeptic

My guess is that you're not familiar with electrolyte diffusion. It's not the simple A diffusing through B using Fickian diffusion, you have to include the electric potential and charge balance...it's not trivial by any means. Plus this has varying boundary conditions over the sample length. I've not seen it in the IPCC records, could you point me to the appropriate reference?

Comment: Re:This is interesting.... (Score 1) 572

by Hussman32 (#49310739) Attached to: Greenpeace Co-Founder Declares Himself a Climate Change Skeptic

The pH of the ocean is 8.1 to 8.2, which is alkaline. This means that almost all of the CO2 is rendered in bicarbonate form that remains in solution. What the articles don't mention is that the pH is determined by rainfall (dilution), temperature and the distribution of mostly sodium, chloride, calcium, potassium, and magnesium, with all other electrolytes having about 0.6 percent of the electrolyte balance. http://oceanplasma.org/documen...

In short, CO2 does nothing to the chemistry of the ocean, it's the other way around, the ocean controls the CO2 in the air.

A sheet of paper is an ink-lined plane. -- Willard Espy, "An Almanac of Words at Play"

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