Forgot your password?

typodupeerror

Comment: Re:moderately skeptical (Score 5, Interesting) 695

by DrInequality (#38020420) Attached to: What is Your position on Climate Change?

Multi-year trends in global temperatures are not.

Prove it.

Please, please show proof that any model with 10+ year response times is demonstrably valid.

The problem is that we only have ~100 years of good data and ~200 years of fair data and very poor data prior to that

The fundamental problem that I (as a person with a good knowledge of statistics) have is that all the data pre-processing (a.k.a. faking) that goes on gives unreasonably low estimates of the variance (or standard deviations or confidence intervals).

A good scientist should define a clear model and use all of the raw data to validate the model. Then and only then can the model be used to extrapolate - say to the future or to the causes of climate change.

Drinking coffee for instant relaxation? That's like drinking alcohol for instant motor skills. -- Marc Price

Working...