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Comment: Re:No Alaska (Score 1) 297

by Dr. Hellno (#39949921) Attached to: Warmest 12-Month Period Recorded In US
At time of writing, I saw two or three people declare this proof of global warming. Most people simply defended AGW, without using the 12-month period as evidence. They do this as part of the eternal argument with the other side, which uses every mention of temperature, climate, or weather to shit all over people who listen to scientists.

There's plenty of good evidence for AGW already without jumping at every outlier on the temperature charts.

Comment: Re:No Alaska (Score 1) 297

by Dr. Hellno (#39949283) Attached to: Warmest 12-Month Period Recorded In US
All that says is that the U.S. has a really abnormally hot 12 months starting in Nov. 1999, and had an even abnormally hotter 12 months starting in May 2011. Neither of these things say anything on their own about temperature trends even in the U.S., let alone globally. It's just supposed to be interesting that the 12-month average U.S. temperature record was broken, the same way it's supposed to be interesting (but isn't) when local papers say "Rainiest Year in UK Since 1903 :(" or "California June Sunniest Ever!"

Maybe it's also useful for scientists who use the NOAA report, who might investigate other variables to see if that "hottest 12 months" correlates with increased insect populations, or lower cancer rates, or whatever.

I think the problem is that you're trying to have an argument about what this data means with someone who never showed up. Not EVERY story about temperature or climate has anything to do with the politics of AGW.

Comment: Re:Anti global warming target practice (Score 1) 297

by Dr. Hellno (#39949111) Attached to: Warmest 12-Month Period Recorded In US
It's called The State of the Climate report because it contains information on the state of the climate. If you'd ever bothered to read it, you'd know that the "Global" section contains lots of data on global temperature, sea ice extent, precipitation, and more. Of course, since the information is compiled by the U.S. government, it also contains in-depth information about weather and climate in the U.S. (believe it or not, global climate isn't the only kind of climate).

So no, the label doesn't convey any lie. But you certainly do, whether by ignorance or intent.

Comment: Re:Good science and hats off to him (Score 2) 297

by Dr. Hellno (#39948951) Attached to: Warmest 12-Month Period Recorded In US

Usually part 3 is the establishment of a neo-pol pot regime, or national socialism, or some financial scam to make the rich richer and the poor poorer, or most commonly meaningless feel good frippery that will do absolutely nothing but "raise awareness".

[...]

Despite my/our disagreement being with Part 3, we get slandered and our words are twisted around

YOU get slandered? Wow, how hard that must be for you. If only those Nazi libs knew what it felt like to be slandered, I'm sure they'd never do it you again.

By the way, the Pol Pot talking point is one that you might want to reconsider. It makes you sound like a foaming rabies case. Why parrot all the other fringe Repubs when there are plenty of other socialists both real and fictional to pick from?

Comment: Re:No Alaska (Score 1) 297

by Dr. Hellno (#39948849) Attached to: Warmest 12-Month Period Recorded In US
What? Why do you think it matters when the period begins? And how do you think it indicates anything "opposite of what the standard AGW crowd will take away" from it? Since it's just the US (contiguous, at that) it doesn't indicate *anything* with regard to AGW. So how about you just leave it at that, instead of trying to stretch thin evidence and make flimsy claims.

Comment: Re:Seriusly America (Score 1) 735

by Dr. Hellno (#39929493) Attached to: Heartland Institute Learning To Troll On Billboards
The Austrian school of economic thought is not the only one with claims to legitimacy, so hold your horses. Keynesian economics is at least as legitimate, even if you personally can't believe it. If government spending kickstarts the economy, then it's worth paying the (very low!) interest on debt and then repaying the principal somewhere down the line. The question is, can it fire the economy to that degree? Well, no one can agree, but Krugman isn't "shit-your-pants-insane" for thinking so.

Here's another point Krugman makes that I think is pretty good: Without some inflation, businesses and individuals just sit on tremendous amounts of capital, since that's the safest thing to do. If inflation was higher, you wouldn't see companies sitting on cash reserves billions of dollars thick- they'd be investing that money in economic activity, hopefully job creating activity. Obviously there's such a thing as too much inflation, and we can quibble about where that is. But the conservative position- that 4 or even 5% inflation would mean the apocalypse- neglects the fact that companies are holding on to their cash right now, and that hurts growth.

And for what it's worth, austerity can and does hurt the economy in all kinds of ways. Maybe it also helps in some ways, but here's the thing(s): public healthcare saves money, via preventative care, so long as the poor won't be left to die otherwise. Police forces save money (if they're working right) by preventing property damage, theft, and ensuring the safety of those engaged in commerce. Coherent public education strategies create money by preparing the workforce to be productive. Cutting these programs *costs* money, and it may cost more than it saves.

If you disagree with me and you want to counter-argue, that's great. I only ask that you recognize I'm not "shit-your-pants insane" or "beyond help" to think any of these things.

Comment: Re:I vividly remember (Score 1) 744

by Dr. Hellno (#39800515) Attached to: 'Gaia' Scientist Admits Mispredicting Rate of Climate Change
It's weird that you chose to a link to a site which argues exactly the opposite of what you're claiming: even when some scientists predicted cooling, six times as many predicted warming.
It's strange how more and more, the "skeptics" are leading me to information that validates AGW theory! Just the other day, some particularly rabid commenters on the conservative blogs convinced me that the "97% consensus" number was totally unfounded and lacked a source. Since I'm the kind of *legitimate* skeptic to whom all claims are suspect but worth investigating, I attempted to track down a source myself and within three minutes had two published papers showing 97% agreement among the scientific community on AGW.

Comment: Re:positive feedback loop (Score 1) 264

by Dr. Hellno (#39790985) Attached to: Massive Methane Release In the Arctic Region
The comments on that article show just how entrenched positions have become. A lot of conservatives got wind of it via Alex Jones, who painted the whole thing as "The cult of AGW wants to burn your house down," which is preposterous to anyone who bothered to read the article. It very clearly doesn't say that. Yet somehow there are many replies along the lines of... well I'll quote: "Come to my house with matches, pal. You'll be leaving on a stretcher under a plastic sheet." Also: "Wow Steve, you ride a bike and burn down people's houses. You really are a moron. Not just that but a dangerous psychopath to boot. Shouldn't you be in jail or institutionalized in a psychiatric facility?" And so on and so forth.

I can't stress this enough... the two sides aren't even speaking the same language. It's was already apparent that both sides have their own talking points, their own debunkers, their own pejoratives, even their own scientists. What only became clear to me here was that they can look at the same sentence and come to totally different conclusions- not just about the import of the sentence, but about the literal meaning of the sentence.

Comment: Re:They have lost all trust, but they retain distr (Score 1) 910

by Dr. Hellno (#39772755) Attached to: In Nothing We Trust

it's pretty clear Mitt Romney will be selected at the party convention. (Romney is 1st; Paul is 2nd.)

I'm not sure by what metric you mean, but if you're talking about delegates, Paul is fourth (says Politico) behind Romney, Santorum (campaign suspended) and Gingrich (campaign apparently still chugging along for some reason Newt only knows). Paul has half as many delegates as Gingrich, about a quarter as many as Santorum, and just under a tenth as many as Romney. It's a done deal, and unsurprisingly the result is the one the "lamestream media" has been predicting since before the primary even began.

You can never do just one thing. -- Hardin

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