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Comment: Re:They will do things we haven't thought of yet (Score 1) 793

by Dave Emami (#43755945) Attached to: Rice Professor Predicts Humans Out of Work In 30 Years

You might not think of a janitor, truck driver, factory worker, or McDonalds worker as particularly intelligent.

I did not mean to imply that opinion at all. I find that most people are more intelligent that they're given credit for -- especially more than we techies tend to give them. Hence the underlying "what will these morons do once the robots take their jobs?" tone in the discussion.

What happens when computer image processing reaches the point where the average blue-collar worker has NO talents that a robot cannot do for cheaper?

Those workers (and more importantly, the next generation of them, since this is 30 years down the line by the article's assumptions) will need to learn new skills, just like the former farm workers and their successors did. The average farm worker in 1870 didn't know how to repair machinery or type, either.

Humans have many extra costs - housing, transportation, food, bathrooms, breaks, social life, vacations, unpredictable emotions and behavior - that robots do not. Will fuzzy traits like "flexibility" be enough to compensate for all these?

Point taken, but that's what I meant by "things we haven't thought of yet." The fuzzy traits won't be enough to compensate in the cases of jobs that don't utilize those traits, but since those traits are valuable, use will be made of them, and many of the uses are things that won't occur to us now.

Comment: Re:They will do things we haven't thought of yet (Score 1) 793

by Dave Emami (#43755719) Attached to: Rice Professor Predicts Humans Out of Work In 30 Years
You or I may not find them useful, but the fact that someone is paying people to do those things indicates that they find them useful. And which would you rather do, create commercials or shovel fertilizer? Personally I'd rather deal with the figurative BS than the literal kind.

Comment: Re:They will do things we haven't thought of yet (Score 1) 793

by Dave Emami (#43746581) Attached to: Rice Professor Predicts Humans Out of Work In 30 Years

Point taken about the article's vagueness, though they did say “if not any work that humans can do, then, at least, a very significant fraction of the work that humans can do.”

And to reiterate, I'm not saying this transition would be painless, or that it wouldn't involve major societal displacements and other changes. Going back to the agriculture example, that involved a large portion of the population moving from the countryside into the cities. Another possible basis for comparison is the collapse of the communism in Eastern Europe and the elimination, restructuring, or repurposing of all of the inefficient state-run factories, except that the automation scenario would be less sudden (the article is talking about 2045).

Comment: They will do things we haven't thought of yet (Score 5, Insightful) 793

by Dave Emami (#43745899) Attached to: Rice Professor Predicts Humans Out of Work In 30 Years

Back the late 1800s, agricultural work required about 3/4 of the US's population. Now it's about 3%. If, back then, you'd asked "what would happen if 96% of the farming jobs vanished?", you'd probably have gotten predictions of doom similar to this one. But what actually happened was that those people (or their descendants, rather, since this change didn't happen overnight) got employed doing other things, most of which people in the late 1800s couldn't have anticipated. The same thing will happen here. Human intelligence, creativity, and flexibility are valuable, and valuable stuff tends not to sit idle. People figure out something to do with it. There are temporary displacements and adjustments, but overall, automation doesn't idle people, it frees them up to do new things.

Note that I'm not talking about a situation where the machines are actually creatively intelligent, in contrast with something like Deep Blue being programmed ahead of time to do a highly-specific task. If we get to that point, all bets are off, but then we're venturing into singularity territory at that point, anyway.

Comment: Re:ah tobacco (Score 3, Insightful) 161

by Dave Emami (#43682085) Attached to: Peppers Seem To Protect Against Parkinson's

Native Americans smoked the heck out of it for centuries, and you never really hear about them dying in droves from lung or other cancer caused by smoking tobacco.

Given the low average life expectancy of people living that close to nature, or in pre-industrial society in general, I doubt any negative effects of tobacco would have had any statistically-significant impact. Same with genetic tendency of people from sub-Saharan Africa towards higher rates of heart disease -- the vast majority of people didn't live long enough for that to matter. Likewise with lactose tolerance -- when food is chronically scarce, the extra calories from being able to consume dairy products are much more important than the drawbacks of the accompanying increase in saturated fat consumption. It's only in the last couple centuries or so that things like heart disease, stroke, and cancer have climbed up the causes-of-death list, because people have (mostly) stopped dying of starvation, malnutrition, and water/airborne diseases.

Comment: Re:$200K ... Uh Oh. (Score 1) 177

by Dave Emami (#43594741) Attached to: Richard Branson Plans Orbital Spaceships For Virgin Galactic

If someone can scam a theory that space travel for a week or two extends your life by a year or 2, watch the lemmings line up like there's no tomorrow.

Even if it did, though, I'm curious how much the stress of getting into orbit would be, for folks who haven't fully trained for it. I presume there would be some sort of recommended work-out regimen beforehand, but astronauts and fighter pilots do a whole lot of that to withstand g-forces.

Comment: Re:with frickin' lasers! (Score 5, Interesting) 402

by Dave Emami (#43396235) Attached to: Navy To Deploy Lasers On Ship In 2014

The pilots of those actual Falcons never called their fighters by the AF-approved name. They called it the Viper.

Named after the original Battlestar Galactica fighters, by the way.

Crew-assigned nicknames are almost always better and/or more-colorful than the official ones. For instance:
B-1: Lancer vs. Lawn Dart
B-52: Stratofortress vs. Big Ugly Fat Fucker (BUFF)
C-5: Galaxy vs. Fat Albert or Linda Lovelace (I presume that last comes from the fact that the C-5 can tilt the nose section upward to, err, "swallow" large items of cargo.
F-105: Thunderchief vs. Thud or Lead Sled.
F-111: No name at all! vs. Ardvaark or Switchblade.

The Military

United States Begins Flying Stealth Bombers Over South Korea 567

Posted by samzenpus
from the nice-day-for-a-flight dept.
skade88 writes "The New York Times is reporting that the United States has started flying B-2 stealth bomber runs over South Korea as a show of force to North Korea. The bombers flew 6,500 miles to bomb a South Korean island with mock explosives. Earlier this month the U.S. Military ran mock B-52 bombing runs over the same South Korean island. The U.S. military says it shows that it can execute precision bombing runs at will with little notice needed. The U.S. also reaffirmed their commitment to protecting its allies in the region. The North Koreans have been making threats to turn South Korea into a sea of fire. North Korea has also made threats claiming they will nuke the United States' mainland."
Mars

4-Billion-Pixel Panorama View From Curiosity Rover 101

Posted by samzenpus
from the take-a-look dept.
SternisheFan points out that there is a great new panorama made from shots from the Curiosity Rover. "Sweep your gaze around Gale Crater on Mars, where NASA's Curiosity rover is currently exploring, with this 4-billion-pixel panorama stitched together from 295 images. ...The entire image stretches 90,000 by 45,000 pixels and uses pictures taken by the rover's two MastCams. The best way to enjoy it is to go into fullscreen mode and slowly soak up the scenery — from the distant high edges of the crater to the enormous and looming Mount Sharp, the rover's eventual destination."
Firefox

Emscripten and New Javascript Engine Bring Unreal Engine To Firefox 124

Posted by Unknown Lamer
from the cycle-is-nearly-complete dept.
MojoKid writes "There's no doubt that gaming on the Web has improved dramatically in recent years, but Mozilla believes it has developed new technology that will deliver a big leap in what browser-based gaming can become. The company developed a highly-optimized version of Javascript that's designed to 'supercharge' a game's code to deliver near-native performance. And now that innovation has enabled Mozilla to bring Epic's Unreal Engine 3 to the browser. As a sort of proof of concept, Mozilla debuted this BananaBread game demo that was built using WebGL, Emscripten, and the new JavaScript version called 'asm.js.' Mozilla says that it's working with the likes of EA, Disney, and ZeptoLab to optimize games for the mobile Web, as well." Emscripten was previously used to port Doom to the browser.
Networking

Misconfigured Open DNS Resolvers Key To Massive DDoS Attacks 179

Posted by Unknown Lamer
from the check-your-sources dept.
msm1267 writes with an excerpt From Threat Post: "While the big traffic numbers and the spat between Spamhaus and illicit webhost Cyberbunker are grabbing big headlines, the underlying and percolating issue at play here has to do with the open DNS resolvers being used to DDoS the spam-fighters from Switzerland. Open resolvers do not authenticate a packet-sender's IP address before a DNS reply is sent back. Therefore, an attacker that is able to spoof a victim's IP address can have a DNS request bombard the victim with a 100-to-1 ratio of traffic coming back to them versus what was requested. DNS amplification attacks such as these have been used lately by hacktivists, extortionists and blacklisted webhosts to great success." Running an open DNS resolver isn't itself always a problem, but it looks like people are enabling neither source address verification nor rate limiting.
Google

Google Pledges Not To Sue Any Open Source Projects Using Their Patents 153

Posted by Unknown Lamer
from the now-and-forever dept.
sfcrazy writes "Google has announced the Open Patent Non-Assertion (OPN) Pledge. In the pledge Google says that they will not sue any user, distributor, or developer of Open Source software on specified patents, unless first attacked. Under this pledge, Google is starting off with 10 patents relating to MapReduce, a computing model for processing large data sets first developed at Google. Google says that over time they intend to expand the set of Google's patents covered by the pledge to other technologies." This is in addition to the Open Invention Network, and their general work toward reforming the patent system. The patents covered in the OPN will be free to use in Free/Open Source software for the life of the patent, even if Google should transfer ownership to another party. Read the text of the pledge. It appears that interaction with non-copyleft licenses (MIT/BSD/Apache) is a bit weird: if you create a non-free fork it appears you are no longer covered under the pledge.

Comment: Re:This is a rival? (Score 1) 205

by Dave Emami (#43231547) Attached to: Google Launches 'Keep' To Rival Evernote

An example app has voice transcription? Simultaneous multi-device editing, cross-platform?

As I said, I was comparing between the web versions, not having checked out the Android version yet. Now that I have, my opinion remains the same. To take the items you mention, one by one:

Voice transcription: that's part of the Speech to Text API of the OS. Based on a quick search of example apps, you're talking less than ten source-code statements to do the transcription. Major kudos to the API writers for making it that easy to use, but the coding required of the Keep team is very much demo-app level difficulty.

Simultaneous multi-device editing: that's part of the Google Drive API. The example Android app in the Google Drive documentation does everything that Keep does except for the checklist (which is just a custom display widget) and voice transcription (which could be added to it in a few minutes, as mentioned above). The rest is just a little UI polish.

Cross-platform: there's an Android example app for Google Drive. There's a web-based example app (more than one, actually). There's a Java one and a .NET one.

Don't get me wrong, I'm not saying Keep is bad. It's an excellent demonstration of the power and developer-friendliness of Google's APIs, but a competitor to Evernote or Springpad, it's not. Even leaving aside that comparison, I've seen more-ambitious apps in various "How to Program Android" type of books. And I expect a bit more from Google. They made this with their own foundation and building blocks. They should get more-impressive results than this when playing on their own turf.

Comment: This is a rival? (Score 3, Insightful) 205

by Dave Emami (#43228385) Attached to: Google Launches 'Keep' To Rival Evernote
I've used both Evernote and Springpad, and stuck with the latter, but after fiddling around with the web interface on Google Keep for a while, my question is: this is supposed to be a rival service? It looks more like something from the example page of a web app library. All you seem to able to do is enter text notes, and lists. Perhaps Keep for Android has more functionality, but just comparing between the web versions of all three, Keep doesn't have 1/10th of the capability of either of the others. It's like comparing Word with Notepad.

Comment: Re:tax dodgers (Score 1) 526

by Dave Emami (#43153849) Attached to: For 2012's U.S. tax season ...

Wish I had mod points at the moment.

As I've asked before of the "USian"-using trolls: do you refer to citizens of the Republic of India as "ROIans" instead of "Indians"? Because the Republic of India isn't the only country on the Indian subcontinent. Do you refer to citizens of the UK as "UKians" or "Britons"? Ireland is part of the British Isles but not part of the UK, after all.

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