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Comment: Re:big (Score 1) 268

by DanFelixPierce (#42941843) Attached to: Bill Gates Says Windows Phone Strategy Was Inadequate
In the quarter ending Dec. 31 2012, the Entertainment and Devices division made $597 million on $3.7 billion of revenue. Not a loss but not exactly a huge money maker. Given that from 2004-2007 they lost about $4.8 billion and only started to turn a profit in 2008, at the end of FY 2012 they were still $1.9 billion in the hole.

Comment: Re:big (Score 2) 268

by DanFelixPierce (#42940581) Attached to: Bill Gates Says Windows Phone Strategy Was Inadequate
I had figured that Microsoft had the mobile market locked up when Palm started shipping Treo phones with Windows mobile on them. What killed them is the internet. A platform that they didn't control but that everyone had access to. Google killed them on search and web based e-mail and Apple killed them on hardware that made accessing the internet easy.

Comment: Re:The Microsoft OS Business Model (Score 1) 727

by DanFelixPierce (#41730931) Attached to: Microsoft Urges Businesses To Get Off XP
Microsoft's mistake was waiting too long between major OS updates. Starting with Windows 1.0, Microsoft released a new version every 2-3 years. Windows XP came out in October 2001. But Vista didn't come out until Jan. 2007. This allowed XP to become well entrenched especially in business. It was the practice at many companies that bought new computers, to downgrade Vista to Windows XP Pro. Windows 7 was a success because companies finally upgraded their computers that they had bought in 2003-2005.

Comment: Re:Advantage Surface (Score 1) 417

by DanFelixPierce (#41696191) Attached to: Is Microsoft's Price Model For the Surface Justifiable?

Considering that one of the reasons to get a Surface would be to get the free Office RT, do you think people will delete it?

Maybe they will when they realize that it won't run macros, third party add-ins or VBA.

http://www.theverge.com/2012/8/7/3225165/office-2013-rt-macro-vba-add-in-features-support

Comment: Re:But that's not the real problem. (Score 1) 1651

by DanFelixPierce (#41531601) Attached to: To Encourage Biking, Lose the Helmets

Cycling is common in countries like the Netherlands because the roads and cities are designed to accommodate bikes. Also, the Netherlands is a rather densely populated and flat country with a moderate climate making cycling an attractive option for a primary mode of transportation.

The last time there was a major change to the US roads was in the 1950's and that was designed around cars. Also, there are far more hilly areas and freezing winters that cycling isn't that attractive. Then there's the suburban sprawl that makes commuting to work on a bike not very practical.

Comment: Re:Perspective (Score 1) 428

by DanFelixPierce (#41367913) Attached to: Apple Confirms iPhone 5 Preorders Top 2 Million In 24 Hours

Not really. The PC desktop market is quite different from the smartphone market.

The PC desktop market in the 80's and 90's was mainly businesses and a small minority of the home market. Microsoft dominated with DOS and then Windows. Microsoft cemented their position with Windows 95. It gave users a good enough GUI that could run on existing hardware (that they spent a few grand on) and could still run DOS and windows 3.x software(that they spent a few hundred on). The other choice of buying a Mac meant spending a few grand on new hardware plus new programs and there was no guarantee that the PC files could be read on a Mac.

Now look at smartphones. They cost about $300, apps are either $0.99 or free and most of their content(pictures and music) can easily be transitioned between them. There is less of a barrier to moving between platforms. I think this will make it difficult for one player to get a dominant 90% marketshare.

Comment: Re:Most Android phones are feature phones now (Score 1) 738

by DanFelixPierce (#40968785) Attached to: Why Apple Is Suing Every Android Manufacturer In Sight

Since most web usage surveys show iOS leading over Android, I think you are right in the "feature phone" assessment. My mother-in-law has a HuiWei phone. She uses it make calls...and that's about it. It was a cheap pre-paid smartphone that replaced her cheap pre-paid feature phone.

Apple is already selling a low-end phone: the 3GS. It looks like they will still be selling it when they launch the new iPhone this fall. It will probably be sold thru pre-paid carriers at around $150 or less. They are already doing this in India.

Apple is going to have an interesting lineup this fall. They will have the new phone at $200, $300 and $400 price points. The iPhone 4S will be at $100. And the iPhone 4 will be free on contract. And unlike the 3GS, it will be available on AT&T, Verizon and Sprint. Couple that with them closing a deal with the number cell carrier in China, Apple could have a huge year next year.

I think in your last line you meant, Android partners are looking to build their own software. I expect Samsung to pull an Amazon, and fork Android. At the least, Samsung will have their own App/Content store within the next year or so. By having their own ecosystem, they hope to differentiate from the rising fortunes of cheap phone makers in China like HuiWei and ZTE.

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