I'm not suggesting they'll surrender anything. I'm saying they'll be too weak to hold it.
Their population is declining, their economy is declining, their neighbors are becoming wealthier and more technologically sophisticated...
Russia is the sick man of Asia. It is headed for the same crack up that the Ottoman empire went through.
We offered them a way out of that. A way to keep everything they have and become wealthier and more powerful than they've ever been. And they spat in our faces...
Russia must ally with the west. It cannot survive another cold war with the west. The last one crushed Stalin's empire... What Putin has is a remnant... the end game is unavoidable.
This is a game of attrition. We will grab them by the throat economically and squeeze. And in 30 years... what is left will either be ignorable or more pliable.
The Russians have asked the west a very dangerous question "oh yeah, what will you do to make me, huh?"... We are not without resources. If the Russians were wise, they'd stop this stupidity, sue for peace, and try to patch relations. Then the isolation might only last 5 or 10 years. If they don't stop... the isolation could last 30 years or more.