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Comment Re:Predictions, so far, have been accurate (Score 1) 464

Look up "polar amplification" or "stratospheric cooling", these are phenomena that were seen in models before they were observed in nature. There are about a dozen such phenomena that have been discovered via climate models.

BTW: Climate models are based on finite element analysis, AKA numerical integration. Statistics doesn't come into it until you compare the results to historical data (hindcasting). Hindcasting is the standard method to test any FEA model, doesn't matter if you are modeling the casting of an engine block or the earth's climate.

Last I check you need at least eight decimal places and statistically significant sample not to be laughed out of most fields.

In cosmology and astrophysics getting a result that is within a few orders of magnitude is considered "accurate". In archeology a radioactive dating result with 10% is considered a "good result". Science isn't all about measuring the width of a proton, other than particle physics, there are actually very few scientific fields that "demand" eight decimal places of accuracy.

The problem I have with critiques of climate models like yours is they are non-sequiturs and born from ignorance, they don't make any sense because they are sourced from MSM articles that (for political reasons) aim to convince you that modeling physical phenomena is some kind of scam that scientists are using to make money. If you want to critique the models then write a paper explaining why you need "eight nines" to convincingly demonstrate to others that the north pole is melting. There are lists of rebuttals to these fake critiques on the web, skepticalscience is one of the better ones, I'm sure you will find a few of your favorite talking points torn to shreds on that page..

Comment Re:What's a DLL? (Score 3, Interesting) 150

It's no longer a problem with MS libraries but it can still be a problem with third party dll's, the problem is not that different to having symlinks point to multiple versions of an .so file in unix. In both cases it works when done correctly, but it's easy to get the wires crossed if you're not careful.

Comment Re:What's a DLL? (Score 3, Informative) 150

There is no "bug" with the installers or windows, the machine has been compromised prior to running the software.

TFA is a "beat up" (likely paid for by Oracle), it does not explain how the attacker is able to put the compromised dll on the machine in the first place. If an attacker can put a random binary on your local drive then they already own your machine. What a random installer subsequently does on a compromised machine is irrelevant to how the machine was hacked.

Car analogy: If a miscreant cuts your brake line without your knowledge, it is not the manufacturer's fault that the brakes no longer work as advertised. If the manufacturer's can make it more difficult to cut the brake line that's great, but they cannot, and should not, be held accountable for malicious damage caused by someone who had unrestricted access to your brake line.

Comment Re: What's the viable alternative? (Score 1) 157

I left HS in 1975, boys in my HS were not allowed to learn typing, cooking or dressmaking. Girls were not allowed to learn woodwork, metalwork or mechanical drawing. I also thought typewriters were "cool" but never so much as touched one until I bought a second hand Apple ][ (a decade after leaving HS). I have been a degree qualified software developer for 25yrs now. I don't give a flying fuck if you are 'embarrassed' by my inability to touch type because it has had exactly zero impact on my career.

Comment Re:Boat still hasn't left port (Score 2) 267

First let me say I agree with your post, rapid deflation is as bad or worse as rapid inflation. Stability is desirable however it also has problems, "growth" is in many ways just another way of saying "increased efficiency. So today's widget should be cheaper than yesterday's because it's cheaper and easier to make than yesterday's widget. This may in turn spur more growth since you would expect the number of widgets sold to increase as their price decreases. In this way society as a whole benefits from growth, stopping that "natural" deflation means that those who control production reap ALL the benefits of growth. This is what people are currently pissed off about, the last three decades have seen little or no real wage growth, all that growth has gone into the pockets of those few who control production. Sure they helped create that growth, but no more than the people who clean the executive bathroom who gave them the time to do so.

Comment Re:Seems reasonable (Score 1) 173

Their excuse sounds like bullshit to me. If the BC people move away after the electricity company have built the extra capacity then there's a thing called a "national grid" that allows them to sell it to other electricity companies. If they are really worried that the extra capacity is only a temporary fad then theu could use the same grid to buy the extra power at wholesale.There is no electricity company in the US that sells exactly the same amount of power it generates, The grid is a giant electricity "market", wholesale electricity is traded 24/7 and moved to where it is required, plus or minus a couple of hundred MW in a particular location is business as usual.

Comment Re:Well d'oh! (Score 1) 109

Mustard gas has been around since WW1, I supposed you could call it a WMD but when politicians say "mushroom cloud" and "WMD" in the same breath, they are talking about nukes. The Bush administration were pretty adamant Saddam had a bomb, we all knew he had gas since the west sold it to him in the 1980's and then acted all morally superior when he used some on the Kurds (rather than the intended targets - Iranians). It was also pretty obvious from early on the "mushroom cloud" was pure propaganda used to justify the invasion, that's the WMD that people are "still looking for", the one that makes a mushroom cloud.

The conservative tabloid stories you point to conveniently forget about Powell's "Saddam has Nukes" slide show that failed to convince the UN to back their crusade. Personally I think they set Powell up to take the fall for the mushroom cloud propaganda before they got anywhere near the UN, at the time he was the only moderate in the upper ranks of the administration.

Comment Re:Twitter shouldn't be shutting anyone down.. (Score 1) 832

Freedom of speech does not give you the right to spray paint your rant on a private wall, whether the wall is made of bricks or pixels is irrelevant. It does however give you the right to argue against free speech.

It's interesting to google the bookmaker odds for elections, particularly in the US were elections seem to drag on forever. If I were a betting man I would have put money on Sanders a few months ago. The odds they are offering for Trump winning the general election are not realistic given his poll numbers. He does have a good chance of winning the nomination.

Trump is about the republican party imploding and/or dividing. The same thing has happened to the conservative side in Australia, there'a a divide in conservatives between the tea party types and the moderates over things such as climate change. Currently the conservatives are in power in Oz, the moderates within them have the upper hand in Oz with the leader of the TP faction having been sacked as PM by his own party. In the US Trump is the charismatic king of the tea party, the moderates are nowhere to be seen (in public). Cruz and Carson are alternative TP kings, and if you're not in the top three you're not in the race.

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