Seriously, if you believe that China and India are trying to get the US to "come to the table" on this, you're swallowing a ridiculous narrative, again put forth typically by AGW proponents who see the US as the villain here, ...
You say that as if the US isn't the villain here? For how many decades was the US the number one CO2 emitter, both per-capita and total per country?
instead of seeing things as they really are — namely, things like the fact that China is set to emit 50% more greenhouse gases than the US by 2015 [scientificamerican.com].
So...if China were set to use 50% more whale blubber than the US by 2015...we should really make sure to keep using whale blubber for the sake of no longer being number one whale blubber user in total (although still higher per-capita)?
Note: It doesn't matter that China has more people in the context of the climate change argument! If you identify some level x of greenhouse emissions as being a "bad" thing, then China emitting far more than the US is an extremely bad thing in terms of the effects that it would cause.
No doubt. That sort of makes it even more critical that the US, Europe, etc cut their greenhouse emissions if China and/or India can't or won't reduce their own emissions.
You can argue that the US may be in a position to make the most impact, but with China set to significantly outpace the US in emissions and oil consumption, I think you need to take a look at what value the US taking a disproportionate hit in emissions control
Well, let's see. The US in 2008 produced ~18% of CO2 emissions (~5.4 mmt) and China produced ~23% (~7.0 mmt)--ie, ~12.4 mmt total. If the US were to cut emissions in half alone and China were to go up to 150% of the US's 2008 figure, then China would release ~8.1 mmt and the US would release ~2.7 mmt which totals ~10.8 mmt. Ie, the total would be less than the 2008 figures. If one instead presumes that China were to go up to 150% of it's own 2008 figure, then it'd be ~10.5 mmt for China and again ~2.7 for the US, the total would be ~13.2 mmt. This figure would obviously be greater than 2008, but it'd still be better than ~15.9 mmt (assuming that the US were to simply not grow in CO2 emission production).
— and the dramatic impact that would have on our economy —
Well, now we are to the meat of the situation, I think. Your concern is the economy, not the environment*.
would actually do for climate change that would be positive.
The only "positive" change would be to either stop burning fossil fuels entirely or to start sequestering CO2 in a greater amount than the amount released. To make an analogy, it's like we are on a train headed towards a brick wall. We're still having the discussion of whether the brick wall is really there and people, like you, seem so very adamant about even *slowing down* because one of the other engines on the train may decide to speed up on its own.
Put it another way: do you think that the evidence supports that China (or India, or any other developing economies) would be a better steward of this responsibility?
Well, let's see... Relatively few countries are involved in the Kyoto Protocols (total GHG emissions covered under member countries is only ~20%). The Protocols themselves do nothing to have net zero effect on CO2 emissions but instead aim to merely cap CO2 emissions (again, equivalent to at best slowing down the train wreck, but doing nothing to actually stopping it happening). And few countries in the Kyoto Protocol, AFAIK, are actually even meeting their targets for capping CO2 (and other GHG) emissions. So, overall, I'd say it's been generally a clusterfuck when it comes to developed countries and their commitment to climate change. By that standard, by happenstance alone, China and India may do better.
*There's a specific reason I brought up whale blubber earlier. Today, it's plainly obvious to most that whale blubber is a dead end as a fuel source. Yet, relatively not long ago, it was the primary fuel for a lot of people towards their energy needs. Yet, it's precisely because of how limited it was that other fuels (coal, water wheels, etc) were often used instead. Oil, being transformable to its main versatile forms and being in much more ready abundance (at least in the sense, one can tap more of it on a yearly basis as there were millions of years to deposit it, unlike whale blubber which has a stock in the span of the lifetimes of a few species), heavily supplanted a lot of the needs of oil in whale blubber while creating whole industries directly (petrochemicals) and indirectly (more energy has meant much more uses for that energy which is one reason why the US releases so much CO2 per capita, allowing for a seemingly unmatched quality of life in that regard).
Yet, oil (like coal) has the obvious flaws: it still is of clearly limited availability at the quantities desired, it is geographically isolated which causes geopolitical instability, and even in the best of circumstances it's a noxious pollutant when burnt (for which modern technology has repeatedly striven to mitigate) and at worse is a prime agent of climate change (sequestering is, btw, I think incredibly unrealistic at the source of combustion in many cases and probably unrealistic indirectly as it's too easy to cheat and overlend carbon credits). Further, there's the very real fact that even in the relatively short term, oil (and coal) are insufficient for the energy needs of the planet. So, while you seem to bickering about the fact that China is by 2015 going to be releasing ~50% more CO2 than what the US does now, you seem to be ignoring that that means China will being burning ~50% more fossil fuels than what the US does now. And while certainly a lot of that is going to come from China's own coal deposits, a lot of it also is going to come from sources like Canada as oil from their tar sands.
This is, btw, a prime reason why gas prices are going up. Even with the potentially huge new production potential from all the new sources of oil from tar sands, shale, etc, it's not enough reasonably to meet the needs of the world and that is reflected in higher prices: the best analogy is, humans are drinking up oil through really expensive straws (oil wells, tar sand processors, etc) and even with a rapid ability to make more straws, place them at new deposits, and quickly make distribution channels available (all of which, is actually slow--in the it takes around perhaps a decade before all that becomes well established), it's not like new large deposits are being discovered all the time.
The truth is, oil is a dead end. Rising prices should be an indicator to switch now. But, switch to what? Fusion, perhaps. Certainly, fusion avoids several (although not all) of the pitfalls of oil. It also offers a relatively inexhaustible energy source. And when it comes to things like standard of living, it's the available of large quantities of "throw away" energy that is a significant indicator of who is "top" economically. Because, otherwise, it doesn't matter a lot, does it? Whether the US is "number one" in GDP or any other indicator isn't as important as its people being fed, and nothing about changing the economy to a non-oil based one (say, an agrarian one) really hinders that. But, if your whole point is to care more about the economy as a standard unto itself, then I'd say you really should consider something a lot less short-sighted than the countries nipping at the US's toes at possible reaching their level of consumption and instead thinking about exactly how the US can set a new standard upon the world. The answer is definitely not one that thinks about CO2 emissions and oil.