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Comment Partly solves a mystery (Score 1) 42

The fact that basic life on Earth formed "surprisingly early" in Earth's history suggests it came from Mars. Earth was a mess early on at a time when Mars was an almost Earth-like place (by today's standards).

Mars would probably have been much more suitable for life formation in the first billion or so years after the solar system formed. The volume of land suitable to life formation on Mars was probably much greater on Mars than Earth then. And meteor strikes were common such that life had a ready interplanetary tram.

Comment Cause: Computers are Stupid (Score 2) 205

The real problem is that software is bunches of little idiot savants glued together. They do their known role well but ONLY their known role. They are not flexible and have no common sense to adapt to new situations. They have to have an exacting or pre-known environment.

When we try to make software more flexible, it becomes unpredictable, often backfiring. Often it's better to keep it narrow and crash rather than have it "guess" and do something wrong because you may end up with a million wrong results before you catch it.

I remember a story about military battle simulation software being built in the early days of OOP. An Australian company wanted a customized version for Australia, so they asked the vendor to add Kangaroos to the simulation.

Rather than code up a Kangaroo from scratch, which would take a while, the developers made the Kangaroo class inherit from the already built "Human" class. It all worked fine until a group of simulated Kangaroo's were spooked by explosions and whipped out weapons and started fighting back. The "Human" class was tuned for military simulations, not general animals because that wasn't the vendor's original goal.

The story may be an urban myth, but it illustrates some of the pitfalls of "reuse". Unless you have full knowledge of what you are reusing, you may end up reusing unexpected and inappropriate sub-features.

It's probably an undeniable rule of the universe that you have to balance predictability against flexibility. No free lunch, at least not until "true" AI comes along such that software won't make stupid guesses anymore; but then we'd all be obsolete.

Comment Coincidence or a factor? (Score 4, Interesting) 334

The fact that we are in a small galactic cluster, per typical cluster, suggests its small size has protected us from being visited or invaded. If we had evolved in a medium or large cluster, the most likely case otherwise due to density, then perhaps we'd have encountered ET's by now. ET's are less likely to visit & colonize sparse clusters because it's too far to travel for too few resources.

Copernican Principle and Anthropic Principle would suggest that some factor is involved to "keep us out" of denser clusters, where probability would otherwise place us. The boondocks are protecting us. Nobody is bothering us because we are stellar rednecks hidden in the difficult-to-reach woods.

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