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Comment Re:Pretty easy to speculate... (Score 1) 55

A few points of clarification.

1. The major heat-producing elements are all lithophiles, preferentially bounding to silicates. So there's virtually no radioactive decay in the core. It's all in the crust and mantle.

2. Thorium is an important heat source now due to its long half-life (14 Gy IIRC). But back in the day, Uranium and Potassium-40 were much more abundant, and produced the majority of the radioactive heating.

3. Assuming the Earth and Mars initially had similar bulk compositions, they would have similar rates of radioactive heating. But Mars surely cooled more quickly. The heat production scales as the mass, and therefore the volume. Heat loss scales as the surface area. So smaller planets have the lower surface to mass ratio and cool more quickly.

Comment Re:Pretty easy to speculate... (Score 1) 55

Earth already had its iron core at the time of the Moon forming impact. Most of the impactor accreted onto the Earth and the cores of the two bodies merged (Canup and Asphaug, 2001, Nature). A fraction of the silicate crust and mantle of the impactor and target was ejected into orbit. That debris accreted into the Moon. Since it is largely made of the silicate portion of the original bodies, it is depleted in metal, and has a relatively small core.

Comment Re:what about other planets? (Score 1) 400

Jupiter's moons (with the notable exception of Io) are completely covered in ice tens to hundreds of km deep. They do not have ice "caps" that could be shrinking. If they were losing ice, it would be more like the south polar plumes of Enceladus. In that case, we'd be far more likely to observe the plume of escaping material than to measure the mass of ice remaining. No such plume has been observed on any of the Galileans. Io has no ice to speak of, and therefore cannot be losing any.

Moreover, the orbital period about the Sun is about twelve years, and the tidal periods about Jupiter are several days. Variations on an Earth year cycle would not be astronomically significant.

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