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Comment Re:OWS was a joke (Score 1) 584

Far more revolutions have ended quickly, with the rebels imprisoned or executed.

Absolutely. Revolution is hard and dangerous. So stop saying you are for a revolution that will kill millions of people unless you are really, really serious about it. So far, I haven't seen anyone that I would call serious about it in the US.

Some folks came close to being serious in 1968-1970 between the riot in Chicago and Kent State. There were too few people to really accomplish much and the people that were really committed to revolution were just a little too far gone to get anything done other than make a few bombs and generally blow themselves rather than others up.

What an occupy movement could have done is to stage a 1968-style sit-in protest and block business from getting done on Wall Street. Sure, after the first couple of rounds with the police arresting hundreds of people it might have gotten more and more difficult, but this would have forced both government and business to stop what they were doing - business of the day - and focus on protecting infrastructure. Armed guards everywhere, ID checks at every door, security, security and more security. The result would have been a lot of security and not a lot of real work getting done - hence at least a part of their objective achieved. It would take more than 30-40 people to do this - it would have taken hundreds.

Look, supposedly this was a movement by "the 99%" against 1% of the country's elite. If that were true there would be no way it couldn't succeed because at some point the guards (part of the 99%, after all) would be joining with the protesters. Once that happened, it would all be over. That's what happened in Russia - the army and police stopped fighting against the protesters and joined with them.

Now, to be real, it is very very unlikely anything like that could happen in the US. People subconciously know which side of the bread is buttered and that their interested lie in the status quo. Some people would actually figure out that an economic collapse like what OWS seemed to be going for would result in millions, hundreds of millions or even billions of people dying. So while it might seem like a good idea for a few moments, it would be quickly shown to be a disaster. So it wouldn't really work. One thing the American Revolution didn't do was try to wrench the social order too much - that is what leads to a lot of people dying. Again, as shown by Russia and a bunch of other places.

An important point is in Russia the elite fled the country. In France today they have decided to tax the rich to support the government - a futile policy that Mr. Obama seems to be leaning towards. Of course, anyone with portable money in France is looking for somewhere to go - check out Google. Stir up things enough in the US and similar things will happen here.

You want a peaceful revolution? First thing right off is don't try to destroy the social order and don't try to collapse the economy that is feeding 300 million people.

Comment Re:OWS was a joke (Score 1) 584

No, I am dissatisfied with any group that offers only a pretense of action towards their goals. Sort of like someone selling Girl Scout cookies would be a joke if they only tried to sell them at their neighborhood homeless shelter - no money, no sales and no real effort at sales.

What OWS (and any similar group) should have been able to foresee was that the government would come down on them with both feet hard because their goals are the diametric opposite of what the government in power wants. So of course they are going to be monitored, tracked and observed. If they tried to do anything real it would be a race to see who won - the government in stopping them or their achievement of their objectives.

Sadly, their objectives were so pie-in-the-sky without any real plan for implementation that the government didn't have to do anything at all, just sit back and watch. The news media figured out there was no story there and never would be one sometime about a week after the group emerged.

What I am fine with is a pretense of action being exposed as a pretense. You want to see action? How about Bloody Sunday as an example of action - what Kent State could have turned into, only it didn't.

Comment OWS was a joke (Score -1, Troll) 584

The time for this has evidently passed. So much could have been accomplished when the movement captured the interest of many people, but they instead decided to do some pretty lame-assed stuff and not accomplish anything.

What these people were preaching was revolution. Toss out the bankers and leaders in the financial world and bring the economy down in a big crash. Rebuild it in a different model, one that works for the common people. That is going to antagonize the current powers to no end and certainly justifies a significant response.

What OWS didn't do was actually "occupy" anything. They sat on the sidewalk with signs as people passed by. The could have stormed the citadels of the finance world and brought business as usual to an end. Sure, they all would have been arrested and some possibly killed. But it would have done something. Instead they put on a big show for the media and did nothing.

Using explosives and guns to actually force an end to the economy as we know it would have resulted in most or all of them being killed, but it would have had a farther reaching effect. We would be picking up the pieces and might actually be figuring out how to make the world work with a lot fewer people - a big economic crash and restructuring would kill millions if not billions. That would have put them on the map in a big way.

There was a time when people like myself thought they might actually be able to pull something like that off. I can only imagine how worried people in power might have been - and you can therefore see the response. They wanted to make sure nothing was going to happen and look, it didn't.

Comment Re:Interesting theory (Score 3, Insightful) 207

Absolutely. Step 1 is figuring out if the statement "all Americans require fiber-optic Internet access" is true. So far, it isn't by a long shot and the assumption that it is true is one of the big problems.

If Internet access is needed by everyone, then maybe a utility model would work - everyone pays and everyone gets service. However, if it isn't true then moving to that kind of model would impact a huge number of people in very negative ways, especially in the pocketbook.

Another aspect that should be considered is if the Internet is ready for everyone to need it. What would happen if the entire US had unlimited fiber access? Well, my guess is that spam would increase (ha!) and that scammers would get a lot richer. Most of the people that do not have access today wouldn't know what to do with it if they had it and would certainly believe that a Nigerian prince was holding millions of dollars for them, if they only send $125 to him today.

Does this sound like a good idea?

Comment Re:What a waste of time (Score 1) 384

At this point the only way to get guns out of the hands of the people would be to (a) close the borders such that smuggling in guns wasn't really possible and (b) go house to house, farm to farm, apartment to apartment breaking down doors and confiscating guns.

If guns were banned from sale in the US all that would mean is the illegal gun sellers would have a monopoly and their slightly higher prices would be free of competition. Smuggling isn't even thought of as smuggling today - it is just evading CBP (Customs and Border Protection). We have maybe 5% of the manpower that would be needed to effectively monitor today's import traffic, not to mention what would be required to actually block illegal importation of goods.

OK, so let's assume that we have successfully closed the borders and smuggling is limited to small quantites rather than containerloads. Now we have to deal with the guns that are already here. Most of these are in the hands of people that are legal and have registered their purchases. Good luck in getting these people to give up their guns. Except to implement any sort of gun control in the US that would mean anything we have to eliminate these guns - they are just too tempting a target when maybe 1% of the homes have at least one gun somewhere. When it gets down to 0.0001% of the homes then robbing a house to find a gun becomes pointless - unless you have inside information. So we are talking about jackbooted ATF agents breaking down doors to confiscate guns. Sure, that is going to go over well. Maybe we need to think about Ruby Ridge and Waco for some recent top-quality ATF action.

Surely we can have gun control without doing this, right? Well, no. The guns used in the school shooting were legally registered and not stolen or otherwise obtained illegally. The only way to stop one family member from "borrowing" a gun registered to another family member is to get the guns out of the hands of the people. Hence the two steps mentioned above.

It might be possible to pass a law saying possession of a gun was illegal and offering a six month period for people to just turn in their guns. Problem is, a huge number of guns are presently in the hands of people that haven't registered properly and have no intention of doing so. They aren't going to turn in their guns, certainly not without being forced to do so. Just passing a law would result in maybe 30-40% of the guns being turned in and result in zero changes in the death-by-gun rate in the US. The people that would turn their guns in aren't the ones using them to rob liquor stores or kill their spouse with. Ah, you want to do something effective? That would require getting the ATF into the action - and we all know where that would go.

What most people do not know is that if you want a fully automatic machine gun today all you have to do is pay the $3000 tax stamp (for each gun) and pass the required background check. It isn't that hard, but it is expensive to be legal. For maybe $5000 you can purchase a full auto weapon from an illegal dealer and there is no background check or other nasty things. Which is why the people that have paid for the tax stamp are primarily speciality gun dealers and cops.

Is Mr. Obama going to recommend these two steps to the American people? Probably not, if he has a brain in his head. He is likely to propose some ineffective measures that aren't going to do anything at all but will enhance and extend the federal bureaucracy. I don't see him sending the ATF to do battle with the people that aren't going to give up their guns without a fight - probably using those very guns. But that is the only way to do anything effective.

It is necessary to understand that the US is a different place than say, Canada. Many places have even more guns per capita than the US without the high death-by-gun rates. I don't think anyone has come up with exactly why people get shot more in the US than these other places. But it is clear, the US is different.

Comment Re:Sorry (Score 1) 333

Let's see, today we have basically two sorts of tablet computers - iPad and Android. The iPad family is pretty closely tethered to iTunes to load content on the device, which clearly favors purchasing content in particular ways. But once you have one your connection with Apple is pretty light.

Conversely, the Android tablet is ad-supported to its core and you have a continuing relationship with Google in the way you are monitored, tracked and have ads shoved at you.

I'm not sure which is worse but I certainly prefer the lighter touch of Apple. I do not like the Google attachment with Android in any way whatsoever.

Comment Re:Number One Fallacy (Score 1) 333

I find most of the people complaining about contrast on a Kindle do not understand the difference between the displays. To them, the Kindle (every Kindle) is clearly defective because there are no reds, greens, or blues. The lack of color is perceived immediately as a lack of contrast first and foremost. Then they realize the display must be broken because it isn't full-color.

Hence, the Kindle in their eyes is simply defective. This can be clearly shown because these sorts of people will compare a Kindle display to that of a cheap Android tablet and shout "See, this one works!!!"

I don't get along very well with such people. These are also the sort of people that would go to a film festival and fill out a comment card about a B&W art film saying "color missing".

To me, the Kindle is a reading device. I have an iPad 3 and it is primarily an email and video watching device. It is plugged in every day and charges. By the end of the day it is usually less than 50% charged. The Kindle however gets charged maybe a couple times a month and sits with the cell modem turned off all the time, except specifically downloading something new. My Kindle is a 2 International device with just a cell modem and it is at least three years old. A huge problem with the Kindle is the fragility of the display and I am astonished that I have one that is as old as it is - I used to break the display within about six months of all of the previous units.

Comment Re:e-Ink (Score 1) 333

Where all the expense is in books is the editor, copy editor, translation from whatever the author did it in to the system the publisher uses, and cover art. You don't get away from any of that with an e-book.

Oh, some folks have tried. And you can tell about 10 pages in that the functional role of "editor" was missing. There are very, very few authors that can forgo the editor completely or do a good job of it themselves. All of the major (i.e., money-making) authors I know of treasure the work the editor has done for them.

My book (yes, I am a published author) costs about $0.22 to ship in a box with 20 or so other copies of the book - the way it is shipped to a book store. Printing the book runs about $2 at most as it is a perfect-bound paperback format book. So absolutely they can take $2.50 off the price when it is an e-book. But do not believe for a moment that the other costs go away and trying to make them go away (self-edited, no cover art, etc.) is just a recipe for disaster.

Comment Re:Groat apparently has a bit of a history... (Score 1) 190

Interesting, especially since the "desired outcome" for Yucca Mountain was always to never implement it. It was a pipe dream that some folks thought up in the 1970s that would have made quite a difference in the handling of nuclear fuel rods. Contrast this with today where there is a multibillion dollar industry in keeping fuel rods safe from politicians and scientists.

We could start recycling fuel rods but with the current thinking (or lack thereof) we are going to be storing these things indefinately - until Yucca Mountain is finally approved, which will be never. Recycling fuel rods results in around 93% reuse of the nuclear materials and elimination of 99% of the high-level waste involved. So the output of the process is new fuel rods and around 1% of the material as high-level waste. Sounds like a really good idea, especially since Fukishima was pretty much caused by fuel rod storage.

But apparently we are still in a waiting mode for Yucca Mountain to be approved.

Comment Re:Don't need gigabit per home (Score 1) 327

Gigabit to the node doesn't cut it and no "star" or node configuration is going to make it either. The problem is the nodes have too many homes on them currently.

Cox in Phoenix has one of the best forward-looking configurations anywhere in the country and their target is 3Gb to the node and 500 homes on the node. This is 6Mb/sec total bandwidth (in theory) to each home. Except there are substantial carve-outs for phone and TV service, so it is likely limited to 2-3Mb/sec maximum. Again, that is a very forward-looking provider. You average provider in the US is running 1Gb/sec to the node with 1000 homes per node for a theortical maximum of 1Mb/sec and more likely something around 300-400Kb/sec if you want to be real.

This is why anyone buying an IP TV device (Roku, Apple TV, Google TV, etc.) has to understand that if the device does not have buffering to a hard drive built in, it is a short term investment. If the neighbors get on the bandwagon there simply isn't enough capacity to go around and will not be without a huge reworking of the whole system.

What would work? Well, something like 100Gb/sec to the node and 100 homes on each node. Except the land rights aren't going to be there for all those node boxes - some places hang them on poles but new ones are getting a little large for that. All the ones in Phoenix are on the ground and have pretty hefty power requirements.

My guess is that over the next 10-15 years we will see fiber to the home and this will not use neighborhood nodes for distribution but instead have fiber to the head end.

Comment Re:$140B = $50 / person (Score 4, Insightful) 327

Americans keep getting slapped in the face with proof after proof that their government cannot be trusted with simple things, like taking out the garbage. Why would be be foolish enough to trust the government with (a) something worth lots of money - that could be stolen or corrupted and (b) something really complicated?

Most likely, a government "Internet for the people" project would be decided that it simultaneously could not present information about gay sex activities and be required to present information about gay sex activities. Obviously when something is both mandatory and prohibited this schizophrenia will seep into everything. If you could get a road map, it would have to be in the public domain from 1925 or earlier. If it were possible to display information about religious events, it would do so only for an obscure sect of aboriginal head hunters that worship the two dollar bills they found in 1880 - only this would pass the censorship filters. Of course it would have to be both government funded and ad supported with an annual lottery to determine what company was to receive the hundreds of billions in ad revenue. Of course when the only winner every year was found to be owned by the Speaker of the House or the Senate Majority Leader hearings would be held and the same company selected the following year.

Trust us, no American with any sense wants the government involved in delivery of Internet services in any way, shape or form.

Comment Re:Half the length of a novelette (Score 1) 224

The problem with a "reasonable" EULA is people keep coming up with new and interesting ways to cheat. A EULA that ignores known ways to cheat is then a haphazard document that courts will not look upon well. This then impacts exercising other rights that may be important.

It is like the class action lawsuit verbage that is being used today. If in a year or so your EULA does not include that then it will be viewed as an invitation to file class-action lawsuits against the company. And a court will clearly find that since the EULA did not exclude such a lawsuit and such exclusions are common then it must be OK. As about all class-action lawsuits against companies do today is make lawyers rich and tie companies up in knots, this sounds like the perfect way to put an inattentive company out of business - find a useful idiot of a lawyer that will put together multiple class-action lawsuits - sooner or later a court will certify the class and get the process rolling.

Sure, a button promising not to sue would seem reasonable, except what about Apple's responsibilities to the customer? If they are not detailed in complete detail how far is someone likely to go in expanding upon what Apple considers their responsibilities? Would it be reasonable to assume that a turn-by-turn navigation application will prevent you from having an accident - after all, why would it repeatedly say to turn if the road was blocked? Can you then go into court and say "but it told me to turn!" and call upon Apple or Garmin to come defend you? We have gotten into such a litigious mess that people have tried this.

Comment Re:Let the buyer decide! (Score 1) 102

The problem with "free and open standards" is today it is simply a way to get your hat handed to you.

OK, manufacturer A spends tens of millions developing code and hardware for a new, higher efficency, faster protocol. Nearly all of this is simply software because, well, that is how things are done these days. There is nothing really interesting or new that is going to come along and be implemented in hardware.

Under a free and open standards policy, the documentation for this protocol would be freely available. This means that another manufacturer can simply re-implement the software using the documentation and have an identical product within a few months and far, far less cost than the original developer. The new manufacturer can then price their product far lower than the original can and garner all sales. Original manufacturer gets nothing for their trouble and likely simply goes out of business.

There is no benefit to being the developer of any new technology under such a system, it is much better to be second rather than first. But with everyone vying for second place there are no firsts. While 30 years ago it was common for schematics and complete source code to be available for computer hardware this is clearly no longer the case. Not only have development costs and complexity skyrocketed, there are a huge number of "clone" manufacturers out there wanting to simply copy existing designs. And as Apple and a few other companies have found, if you get cloned you basically go out of business. Apple therefore fights each and every "clone" attempt like the life of the company depends on it - and it does.

I don't know what the solution is, but free and open standards isn't the way to go if you want any innovation at all.

Comment Quite funny, really. (Score 1) 102

The US has hundreds of ports of entry and most of them aren't secured in any meaningful way.

For the last 15 years or so it has been illegal to import unlicensed DVD players. Philips gets $5 for each player license. When you buy a DVD player that costs less than about $50 it is clearly unlicensed - there is no room in the pricing structure for Philips to get $5 from the manufacturer. So, what is the US doing about this? Well, it is illegal to import these things so there is a complete import ban on these devices.

You can go to Walmart and see how well that is working out.

Does Ericsson really believe an import ban is going to change sales in the US? I don't think it will matter to the retailers where the phones are sold and they will certainly continue to stream into the US. The US considers border control to be something for other countries to worry about. This is partly why the US is a prime destination for (a) illegal drugs, (b) sex trafficing, (c) counterfeit products, (d) banned weapons, (e) etc.

If you can easily bring 10 girls in for duty as prostitutes there should be no problem bringing in a few Samsung phones. And I am sure Samsung is counting on that.

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