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Comment Re:Not how the eye works? (Score 1) 152

I know. This whole line of research is nearly impossible to make work. You'd need lasers to project coherent light onto the cornea (ow), since otherwise you can't get an image in focus, and a high-powered sensory-computational system to constantly shift the projected image in the opposite direction from saccadic and microsaccadic eye movements. I wish it were being developed by a public company so I could sell it short.

Comment Morbidity vs Mortality (Score 1) 430

Reading the article, it seems as if the flu vaccine is reasonably effective in reducing morbidity (incidence of infection) among the majority of the population, who are healthy and have noncompromised immune systems. But, the evidence is unclear as to whether it reduced mortality (death) among people who are old or otherwise have weakened immune systems. Even if the vaccine does nothing at all for the elderly per se, it doesn't mean immunization of the healthy is a bad idea, for two reasons. First, as mentioned in the article, herd immunity effects can reduce the incidence of flu in the elderly, thus indirectly reducing mortality. Second, influenza sucks and reduces productivity by knocking people out of work for 3 days. In an economic sense, it is totally worth doing, even if it doesn't reduce deaths at all. The conclusion of the article should be "flu vaccinations are worthwhile, if not exactly for the reason you thought they were."

Comment What about WebOS from Palm (Score 1) 385

I don't think I'd predict that WebOS will be up near Android or the iPhone in 2012, but it'll likely still be around. The original analysis doesn't even mention them. Many people think that WebOS has the best technology of any of the existing mobile OSs, although they obviously need more apps (coming soon) and more phones (coming soon).

Comment Re:I don't know how you can buy these results... (Score 1) 317

That's why you randomize, to avoid having to measure and control for the propensity to engage in risky behavior. I'm really puzzled what you think you're trying to argue. This is the simplest design in the world. Two equal groups of randomly-assigned people. One group gets a treatment, one gets a placebo. Neither group knows which group they're in. Measure the outcome. How would you do it better?

Comment Re:I don't know how you can buy these results... (Score 1) 317

It could just be that people on the placebo took more risks than the people who didn't which is why it is a statistical outlier.

Why would they take more risks? The whole point of a placebo is that you don't know if it's a placebo or not. So there's no reason to expect a change in behavior in one group versus the other. In fact, the behavior change should be driven in the other direction. If there was some reason to think that you got the vaccine (say, side effects not present with the placebo), then you would be likely to increase your risky behavior and increase your likelihood of infection! In this case, they got an effect in the other direction -- the treated group had less infections.

Comment Re:Inspiring.... (Score 1) 317

Not necessarily. HIV works by aikido-ing the immune system. It could be that the vaccine could either fully prevent infection or fully fail to prevent infection. Once the virus becomes established in immune cells, the presence of the vaccine and an immune response might be totally insignificant to the progress of the infection.

Comment Re:Statistics [Re:Lulz] (Score 5, Informative) 317

Yes, although there's an issue of multiple comparisons. There have been a fair number of HIV vaccine trials over the years. This is the first that's found statistically significant results. But if you were to test 20 different non-effective vaccines at a 5% significance level, you'd expect one of the tests to be significant just by chance. This is certainly an intriguing result, but it could be an outlier, and must be replicated.

Comment Subscription + tipping (Score 1) 234

I don't want have to decide *before* I read an article whether I want to pay for it, I want to decide *after*. To that end, I propose the following micropayment system. If I want to get content from a consortium of providers (say, anything owned by The New York Times Company, or Time-Warner, or Seed Media Group, or a group of publishers that set up their own consortium), I set up an account, pay my $50/year, and get access. If I like a piece of content (article, podcast, interactive graphic, whatever), I click the "Tip the Author(s)" button, and a chunk of my $50, maybe 10 cents, gets redirected to the actual people creating the content I actually like (not just start to read). If I don't use up my $50 for the year, it just gets split internally by the consortium. This way, readers have control over where the money goes and get to associate "paying money" with "feeling good about what they read", providers get cash, and the best providers get the most cash.

Comment Re:Very cool, but... (Score 1) 152

I don't think so. This treatment should be on the order of thousands of dollars, versus tens out thousands of dollars for brain surgery or repeated radiation treatments. Plus, there should be much, much fewer side effects. Also, many disorders of the type they're interested in treating with this technique affect young people whose lifetime incomes will dwarf the costs of successful treatments.

Comment Andreesen knows not what he's talking about (Score 1) 2

From the New York Times ( http://www.nytimes.com/2009/07/08/technology/companies/08operate.html?hp )

"Chrome is basically a modern operating system," Mr. Andreessen said.

Uh, no. It's not. It might be a reasonable approach to a lightweight GUI for an OS, but it doesn't do any of the following: memory management, device management, process management, disk management, I/O management, network management, etc, etc, etc.

Operating Systems

Submission + - The Google OS is Announced (blogspot.com) 2

popdookey writes: "It's true, it's real, and it's announced. Google will have an OS aimed at netbooks, and it will co-exist with Android. It will be fast booting, all applications will run over the web, and they will be supported through any standards-compliant web browser. The announcement is here, http://googleblog.blogspot.com/2009/07/introducing-google-chrome-os.html"
Operating Systems

Submission + - Google Plans to Introduce a PC Operating System (nytimes.com)

kraksmoka writes: ""In a direct challenge to Microsoft, Google is expected to announce on Wednesday that it is developing an operating system for a personal computer based on its Chrome browser, according to two people briefed on Google's plans. The details of the technology could not be learned, but Google plans to make the announcement on a company blog on Wednesday afternoon, this person said.... in a recent interview, Marc Andreessen, who developed the first commercial browser and co-founded Netscape, compared Chrome into an operating system, "Chrome is basically a modern operating system," Mr. Andreessen said. Google has also long customized a version of the Linux operating system for use internally." Our desktops may never be the same. . ."
Security

Submission + - Online attack hits US government Web sites (goodgearguide.com.au)

angry tapir writes: "A botnet composed of about 50,000 infected computers has been waging a war against U.S. government Web sites and causing headaches for businesses in the U.S. and South Korea. The attack started Saturday, and security experts have credited it with knocking the U.S. Federal Trade Commission's (FTC's) Web site offline for parts of Monday and Tuesday. Several other government Web sites have also been targeted, including the U.S. Department of Transportation (DOT)."

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