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Comment Re:Go ahead (Score 1) 388

It ought to be possible to design an alternative based on interpersonal recommendation. But what do you use for a unique identifier? You need something. Phone number has possibilities, but that, too, is subject to centralized control, AND it identifies the individual, which effectively removes anonymity.

The problem is, you need SOME unique identifier, or nobody can find you to deliver the messages/webpages/etc. I can imagine a hierarchy of geographically based names with the lower level assigned on a collision avoidance kind of approach, which would allow anonymity to the lowest geographical level, say 1024 square kilometers on the average. But you need to remember all the id's you've used, and when you move there would be no way to carry your id (unless the system has some built in way of automatically forwarding calls, which has its own problems).

Comment Re:The US Internet Shutdown Switch (Score 2) 388

No. What you need is a system that is easy to clone, and which n countries can run independently, for n a positive integer.

DNS seems a good choice for the lower layers, but the top layer needs to have a round-robin resolution, such than any root server that don't find the site will pass you on to the next. You need to also, however, be able to specify the starting root, and possibly the 1st alternate, to avoid cache poisoning.

Comment Re:Can Actual Intelligence Solve This? (Score 1) 688

And if you go back further there was a period when nobody had a "job". Everyone worked at hunting, food gathering, or tool making. Nobody owned more than they could easily carry. And people were around as tall as today (which probably means as healthy). Then populations started increasing, somebody invented agriculture, and people started needing to work all the time. But agriculture supported larger populations, even if they were a lot less healthy, and, to all appearances, a lot less happy.

Time doesn't stand still. The question is always "what are the viable ways forwards from here?", and the answers MUST recognize the tendencies of populations to expand until their food supply is insufficient. (There *ARE* ways around that, some quite pleasant[*], but they need to be designed into the system.)

* TV, education of women, video games, etc. are pleasant ways to control the population growth. Some are more effective than others. Populations will inherently evolve to evade the restrictions, but biologic evolutionary time is so slow WRT cultural evolutionary time that this can almost be ignored.

Comment Re:Robot factories of the future? (Score 1) 688

Frederick Pohl:
The Midas Plague
The Man who ate the World

I think the first was originally a short story, or a novella, but that it was later expanded into a novel. I only saw the second as a novel.

I found them both unrealistic because they ignore the geometric expansion of populations. Still, they were well done. They should be seen, however, mainly as social criticism written as science fiction.

Comment Re:Well, shit. (Score 1) 688

My first reaction was "Gee, they noticed.".

The point is, to do most jobs you don't need a strong AI. Someting a bit smarter than a horse, but which was better at manipulation would do fine. The jobs that need more are unusual. (And, by the way, logic engines better than human aren't hard. Our strengths are in other areas.)

E.g., for me the hard part of programming is often writing the code. If it gets complex I can run out of short term memory. But for an AI it would be understanding the problem. (Modularizing the code helps me, but when it gets complex either the modules get too large, or there are too many of them to easily deal with. An AI could be designed to not have that problem. Resizable stack depths, etc.)

Comment Re:Luddites (Score 2) 688

Posting anonymously removes your credibility as an expert in the field unless your post contains internal evidence justifying this. Yours didn't.

Most jobs don't require all that much intelligence. Many jobs have (and are being) intentionally redesigned to deskill them. This allows wages to be cut, as it's easier to replace the employees.

Much of this is political decision, but they are political decisions enabled by advancing technologies, including AI. A scanner that can recognize the price of an item whatever orientation it is presented with that item in is more intelligent than one that can't. This is true even if part of the intelligence resides in the design of the system (bar codes).

Automated warehouses wouldn't be being built if they weren't cheaper to operate than manned warehouses. They are being built. Therefore the jobs that they would have provided had they not been automated have been removed from the system. This requires approaches that in even the 1990's would have been called AI, but which aren't called that any more.

This is still the leading edge. Google's automated car isn't up to city streets, but it can remove a lot of jobs without having that kind of general capacity. And it will be (is being) improved. Still, even at its current state of development it is quite capable of being extremely useful in many situations. And in those situations it will be removing jobs because if it didn't, it wouldn't be used. It will only be used where it cuts costs, which means removing enough jobs that it pays for not hiring the drivers.

The question then becomes "What new jobs are created by the removal of the existing jobs?" And the answer appears to be "only a few, and those highly skilled". The last time this kind of thing happened nearly an entire generation of horses got turned into dog and cat food. This time it's not horses being put out of work.

Comment A big boat! (Score 3, Interesting) 116

I live in a port city and see lots of ships, but I'm not sure this baby could even enter the harbour here.

It's far bigger than what the Panama Canal can handle (maximum 290 meters long), as well as the Saint Lawrence Seaway (225 meters). The Panama Canal was designed for the largest ships of the day, RMS Olympic and RMS Titanic.

...laura

Comment Re:Does the job still get done? (Score 1) 688

Replacing economists with tossing dice would be a significant improvement: academic research shows the more qualified an economist, the less accurate his predictions!

I leave it to the reader to suggest what to do with politicians (I expect nuking from high orbit to be the most popular suggestion)

Comment Re:Does the job still get done? (Score 5, Insightful) 688

Leaving aside the fact that economists are a hopeless case, at least here in the UK, we have massive problems with our jobs market - huge numbers of people are working insanely long hours for peanuts, while others are working shorter hours for peanuts, and a minute number of people are decently paid, and a few make millions.

On top of this is the widely reported problem of "shortage of skilled workers" caused by a combination of agism and lack of willingness to pay them to do the job, not an actual shortage of skilled workers.

For example, today's news is that we are importing medical staff from Portugal, because the local people cannot survive on the wages, and the Portuguese cannot imagine how high living costs are here (especially housing and travel).

The jobs market is in need of some serious fixing.

Comment Re:Dark Emitting Diode (Score 1) 100

I am not too sure about that: I had a colleague who worked for a firm that used to manufacture tunnel monodes - a kind of single terminal tunnel diode. The tunnel diode is noted for having negative resistance. the resistance of a tunnel monode is the square root of -1!

They were extremely useful for one particular application, and indeed the best available solution in 1963, but the 60's intervened, and I don't actually remember what the application was (LSD was legal then) - I vaguely recall I was working on a time machine when I first heard about tunnel monodes. That was shortly before the project to show the Ike and Tina Turner show in your own home.

Comment Re:And this is why there's traffic... (Score 1) 611

Well, I don't commute anymore, but my post was in reply to someone who was replying to someone talking about freeways.

FWIW, I consider busy city streets too dangerous to ride a bicycle on, but I notice that many people disagree with me. I've never used a moped, so I don't know about it's drawbacks, but back when I used to bicycle I once ended up in the street in traffic because the gears stripped. Not a pleasant sensation, even if that time I was only hurt by the pavement. Right about then I decided that bicycles are too dangerous in city traffic...and it's gotten a lot worse since then. (This decade my knees wouldn't let me ride a bike anyway, but...)

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